Vertex Is on Its Way

Recs

12

For primarily development-stage drugmakers like Vertex Pharmaceuticals (Nasdaq: VRTX), the quarterly financial results announcement usually takes a back seat to medical conferences. At least, that's the case unless the company releases new drug data in the quarterly financial release.

Vertex's second-quarter financial results were not particularly interesting. The drugmaker continued burning through its cash faster than MC Hammer. Current assets were down over $165 million in the first half of the year to $660 million, and expensive pivotal phase 3 studies for hepatitis C (HCV) treatment telaprevir are yet to start.

The more interesting information in the earnings release came when Vertex announced new data for telaprevir -- additional results from its Prove 1 phase 2 study. In patients who completed 12 weeks of combination telaprevir therapy plus the standard of care treatment followed by another 12 weeks on just the current standard of care for HCV treatment, less than 10% had relapsed after an additional 12-week follow-up period.

This low rate of relapse following just a half year of treatment provides further evidence of the potential for telaprevir to shorten the duration of time that genotype 1 HCV patients have to be on therapy in order to potentially be cured of their HCV infection.

Normally patients have to take 48 weeks of the currently approved treatments to see if the drugs, Pegasys from Roche or Peg-Intron from Schering-Plough (NYSE: SGP), will help cure their HCV infection. As time goes on adverse events go up (not to mention the increased cost of the drugs), and many patients simply discontinue taking the compounds due to these issues. If telaprevir can lower the treatment duration to half the time, that in and of itself would be a huge selling point for the drug (not forgetting the much improved efficacy of the drug as well).

Vertex is still likely several years away from any potential telaprevir regulatory approval in the U.S. Phase 3 studies are expected to begin at the end of the year and will likely track patients over at least 48 weeks, which means data won't be available until 2009 at the earliest. If Vertex needs to rely on its phase 3 studies for regulatory approval, then that means telaprevir won't be on the market until late 2010 at the earliest. Even with that long timeline shares of Vertex aren't expensive when you consider the drug's sales potential or what shares of peer companies like Elan (NYSE: ELN) or PDL BioPharma (Nasdaq: PDLI) are trading at.

Vertex and PDL BioPharma are Rule Breakers selections.You can check out all our recommendations as well as get access to our message boards and exclusive content with a 30-day free trial.

Fool contributor Brian Lawler does not own shares of any company mentioned in this article. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

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11/9/2009 4:04 PM
ELN $6.51 Down -0.07 -1.06%
Elan Corp, plc (AD… CAPS Rating: ****
SGP $28.15 Down +0.00 +0.00%
Schering-Plough Co… CAPS Rating: ****
PDLI $8.19 Down +0.00 +0.00%
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VRTX $39.99 Up +0.77 +1.96%
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