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Will Internet Radio Always Be Free?

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App Store tire-kickers are a tough crowd.

Sirius XM Radio's (Nasdaq: SIRI  ) online-streaming application is one of the lowest-rated wares in Apple's (Nasdaq: AAPL  ) marketplace for iPhone and iPod touch owners. Its average rating is a measly two out of five stars, but that isn't a judgment on the functionality of the software itself. Most of the lowest one-star ratings come from folks who apparently have never even activated the app.

Here are just a few of the recent reviews:

  • "As an existing subscriber, I'm very disappointed that they will charge extra for this service."
  • "I'll take a pass on Sirius/XM trying to squeeze another $3 a month out of me just so I can listen to a content-crippled version of their service."
  • "What a joke. So we are going to pay MORE for this service and we don't get the two premier talk shows on Sirius."

Even some of the more favorable reviews, from users who apparently have activated the service, are noncommittal.

"Great audio quality and decent selections, but definitely not worth the $12.99 monthly premium to non-subscribers like me," writes one three-star reviewer. "I'll stick with free Yahoo! (Nasdaq: YHOO  ) Internet radio."

It appears that charging users will be a challenge for Internet radio -- and not just for Sirius XM. Even niche leader Pandora Music learned the hard way.

Shut that box again, quick!
"We originally thought it was a subscription business and did that for all of three weeks before we realized that it had to be an advertiser-supported free service," Pandora co-founder Tim Westergren tells TheStreet.com this week. "Consumers expect radio to be free, and that's not a habit we want to spend our time trying to change."

Unfortunately, ad-supported Internet radio doesn't make enough for larger operators with considerable overhead to run a profitable business.

Pandora caught a lucky break this month, when the industry won a reprieve from paying stiff royalties to the music industry. Pandora will now have to pay just 25% of its revenue to the labels, instead of as much as 70% under an earlier deal. The music-discovery site is still capping free usage at 40 hours a month, charging those who want more a modest $0.99 a month.

A monarchy of royalties
Pandora's not the only company breaking out cover charges under certain circumstances. CBS' (NYSE: CBS  ) last.fm already slapped a monthly fee of roughly $4 to listeners outside of the United States, United Kingdom, and Germany.

The new fees won't affect most listeners, but as more sites start charging for music, Sirius XM's demands of $3 a month for existing subscribers and $13 a month for non-subscribers will appear more reasonable.

Or perhaps subscription fees will go the way of the dodo. Most media heavyweights with Internet radio sites and App Store entries, like CBS, Time Warner's (NYSE: TWX  ) AOL Radio, and Clear Channel's iheart radio, are unlikely to charge consumers in cyberspace when terrestrial radio remains free. This should keep pricing honest, forcing Internet radio to evolve its model, perhaps toward something entirely ad-supported.

Music-streaming kids and young adults aren't the most receptive market for ads about legal downloads, concert tickets, or band merchandise, but they're a good place to start. Building social networks around the stations -- less bandwidth, fewer royalties -- could be even better for reinforcing those ads' messages, and padding operators' bottom line.

Until everyone erects a tollbooth, you can't blame music fans for going the legally free route.

Do you think Internet radio will stay free? Got ideas on how to monetize it? Post your thoughts in the comment boxes below.

More news than static on Sirius XM:

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Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz subscribes to both XM and Sirius. He does not own shares in any of the companies in this story. He is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early. The Fool's disclosure policy wouldn't touch that dial, even if there were still a dial to touch.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On July 30, 2009, at 6:13 PM, zeropointzero wrote:

    make sure you get all your shots in this week rick....keep them coming..all documented.....SEC alerted. you will not win.

  • Report this Comment On July 30, 2009, at 7:50 PM, king4life wrote:

    I'm confused, why does Pandora want to charge $.99 per month from it's best customers? You would think that it would charge the less frequent users who don't hear enough Ads. 25% of revenue sounds like a lot. How many subscribers/hours do they need to be profitable. You and The Street did ask them if they were profitable, didn't you? If the back office can charge for the Internet they will, and the rates will go up. Apparently Sirius has already figured out that they can get enough to pay up, to justify the effort.

  • Report this Comment On July 30, 2009, at 11:24 PM, BigVincent wrote:

    HMMMM thats funny. The motley Fool said something negative about sirius/XM. Yet the stock did not go down? I guess the TMF is just a form of entertainment, and not real news.

  • Report this Comment On July 31, 2009, at 12:15 AM, trammen0 wrote:

    The fool sucks,,, they report the same thing over and over...... I'll put money that the next article will be about car sales!!!!!! Then Sirius debt........ Then back to the app. I'm not sure how these guys keep this hedge fund scam going???????? Cramer you shouldn't waste your money supporting this crap..... Go SIRI...

  • Report this Comment On July 31, 2009, at 1:40 AM, nerios wrote:

    Yet another TMF article where they don't bother to do their research.... or didn't want to report it: the facts are that Pandora remains free for anyone. On a free account, you can't listen to music for more than one hour at a time, unless you click on the popup window to say that you are still listening. Paying subscribers ($39/year) don't have that once an hour window, and can listen to music to gods content. Free subscribers get "visual" ads banners displayed on their computer or iPhone - no more, no less - NO "audio" ads between songs like the article seems to imply, and like you would be bombarded on normal over-the-air radio stations. Paying subscribers don't get the visual adds on their computers or iPhone.

    What do you want more? Promote Sirius because the poor company is going down the drain for their lousy programming, bad marketing, and high payroll? Didn't the BOD of Sirius just "adjusted" the president (Scott Greenstein) on July 28th, his paycheck to +$1M figures for the next 4 years???? It takes over 65 thousand Sirius subscribers to pay for his sole salary.... + the thousands of other subscribers to pay for Mel's salary, bonuses, stock options, etc.

    Enough is enough!

  • Report this Comment On July 31, 2009, at 3:10 AM, nnwiii wrote:

    I was in an AT&T store a month or so ago. I was playing around with the iPhone they had on display and decided to read the reviews people had posted concerning Sirius' service. I must've read 100, or so, of those reviews. How many did you read, Rick? Did you read enough, as I did, to realize that after around the 20th review (the majority of which were actually positive or neutral) every other review posted was a copy/paste job? Seriously, take some time and read the reviews. You'll see that those who wrote negative comments decided that the number of stars Sirius had was unacceptable and decided to resubmit their earlier negative reviews multiple times. So, the 2 out of 5 star rating you site is, to say the least, skewed.

  • Report this Comment On July 31, 2009, at 12:00 PM, JPS007 wrote:

    If this article is correct, then how could Sirius XM have close to 20 million paying subscribers? With Free Radio, how is it possible that Sirius XM has 20 million subs? it can be?

    This article is a joke. The more ad based music services the better. People gravitate to Sirius Xm because they are SICK of comercials. I'd pay $20 per month to not listen to comercials.

  • Report this Comment On July 31, 2009, at 12:06 PM, ByrneShill wrote:

    I think satellite radio does something to one's brain. Anytime anyone writes a piece about SIRI that's anything but pure cheerleading, the brainwashed crowd gets here and start accusing the guy of hating SIRI and bashing the stock.

    In the meanwhile, Rick is actually bullish on the stock, pays 2 subscription to the services, and recommended (lousily, I must say) XM at 25$ to RB subscribers. Personnaly I feel like Rick is biased toward SIRI, not against it. You guys need to pay more attention to what's actually written in the article.

  • Report this Comment On July 31, 2009, at 12:20 PM, lilshill wrote:

    Sorry to be off topic,but, ByrneShill, if that's your name it is extremely close to mine, and i just thought that was funny.

  • Report this Comment On July 31, 2009, at 1:41 PM, mrwizard555 wrote:

    IR is already not free. or is over the airwaves. unless you can tune out audio or visual advertising, you are paying for it by being bombarded by sales pitches.

    can advertising support IR? probably not without massive concentration, like Google and search.

    i remember 1960's tv ads for good n plenty(born in 56). i got a few from a friend, and they were ok, but i never bought any just because "Charlie said".

    i have been bombarded by advertising for my entire life. easy to turn it off. even Billy Mays, may he RIP.

  • Report this Comment On July 31, 2009, at 3:01 PM, beatnik11 wrote:

    ByrneShill is right, it seems like any times a person makes a blog that is less than stellar about SIRI some sort of mob comes out to loudly denounce it. I personally have nothing against investing in it, it still has some good years left in it, but honestly It seems to me as very overrated. For the same reason why I dont pay for cable TV, I see no point in paying for tons of channels that I will never listen to and even for the ones that I will have lackluster at best programming. I guess its not so hard for me to exist without the radio since I stopped listening to nausiating commercial radio back in the late 90s, I can find my own music and play it without some shill of a DJ setting up a playlist containing crappy albums they want me to buy. SIRI is a bit better than that terrestrial radio, but even still their content really does leave much to be desired and an extra fee for people who already subscribe for crippled app seems to be contemptuous. If I am at work I can just start up pandora and tell it what bands I personally like and have it play such stuff and similar artists all for free, why would I even want to pay for SIRI?

  • Report this Comment On July 31, 2009, at 3:04 PM, beatnik11 wrote:

    nausiating = nauseating

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