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2-Star Stocks Poised to Plunge: lululemon athletica?

Based on the aggregated intelligence of 180,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool's free investing community, yoga gear retailer lululemon athletica (Nasdaq: LULU  ) has received a distressing two-star ranking.

With that in mind, let's take a closer look at Lululemon's business and see what CAPS investors are saying about the stock right now.

Lululemon facts

Headquarters (Founded) Vancouver, Canada (1998)
Market Cap $9.3 billion
Industry Apparel
Trailing-12-Month Revenue $874.7 million
Management CEO Christine Day (since 2008)
CFO John Currie (since 2007)
Return on Equity (Average, Past 3 Years) 33.4%
Cash/Debt $277.0 million / $0
Competitors Adidas AG
Nike
Under Armour

Sources: S&P Capital IQ and Motley Fool CAPS.

On CAPS, 26% of the 1,224 members who have rated Lululemon believe the stock will underperform the S&P 500 going forward.

Earlier this week, one of those Fools, All-Star MOSCapital, nicely summed up the Lululemon bear case for our community:

They have certainly grown their potential, but it would be a little dubious to say that a maker of athletic wear who really has no other competitive moat besides the fact that people know their name, and that they are obviously the largest fitness apparel company focusing on the yoga/pilates/etc. trend, is worth this much. ...

Those who are going to buy from lululemon most likely already have, and could certainly stay loyal, but realistically how much room is there for customer growth? This is not a company who is worth almost 60 times earnings. It may still be worth higher than a mature company, given that it still might have a little growing to do, but even a 20 times earnings multiple puts this company at closer to $20-$25. And who knows if that is even worth it if other companies come in and steal market share.  

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Fool contributor Brian Pacampara owns no position in any of the companies mentioned. The Fool owns shares of lululemon athletic and Under Armour. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of lululemon athletica, Nike, and Under Armour. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended creating a diagonal call position in Nike. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.

We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Fool's disclosure policy always gets a perfect score.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On February 09, 2012, at 5:24 PM, larrywarren wrote:

    There is a mistaken idea that LULU is confined to Yoga gear. That line is heading for $1 billion annual sales. They form very strong community groups of users. Still plenty of room to strenghten sales to men, chlldren, grandmas.

    And what's in development? Consider potential in bicycling, soccer, basketball, running et al.

    This firm is exceptionally well managed, with careful study going into each area of store location, expanding from cash, with no debt, no problems in receivables, and well-managed inventory. The top execs grew up with Nike and Starbucks, know how to manage growth and foreign markets. Sure the P/E is high,. but the reasons why are compelling. This management is not sitting still. Larry

  • Report this Comment On February 09, 2012, at 8:19 PM, TMFOrangeblood wrote:

    What's more, this was actually a one-star stock when I recommended it (twice) for my Rising Star portfolio. Now, after 78% and 65% gains, it has risen to two stars. To me, this is the stock the CAPS community has whiffed on the most. Its growth potential is still enormous, and the more bears around during this time, the better.

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DocumentId: 1777026, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 5/27/2012 8:58:31 AM

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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:00 PM
LULU $72.06 Down -0.61 -0.84%
Lululemon Athletic… CAPS Rating: **

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