Have you noticed any economic upheaval lately? The American economy has been sputtering enough to make it easy to wonder: Should you be investing more money abroad?
Why NOT to invest abroad
There are plenty of reasons not to invest abroad, at least not directly. Plenty of Fools have written about them before. A big one is that most of us know much less about goings-on abroad than we do at home. We just don't have a good handle on how well various foreign companies will perform given their local competition, national business laws and accounting practices, and the overall geopolitical stability in the region.
Bill Mann, an experienced international investor, has even warned about it, saying in 2000: "Go forth with care, dear Fools. I do not feel that one should explicitly avoid investing overseas, but you can gain significant international exposure by holding Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO ) , with 72% overseas sales, AIG (NYSE: AIG ) , with 58% of sales coming from international spaces, or even Cisco (Nasdaq: CSCO ) , which sees much of its revenue growth coming from offshore." You may not realize just how many companies derive significant revenues abroad -- eBay (Nasdaq: EBAY ) , for example, generates 13% of its revenues from Germany alone, with year-over-year revenue growth there around 15% in 2007.
Another reason not to invest heavily abroad is this: Even though we may be in a period of economic uncertainty now, it may simply pass. Economies don't necessarily keep deteriorating. Often, they advance and retreat, and then advance again. America may well maintain or regain its international leadership position in short order. It may be the best place for most or all of your investment dollars.
Why to consider it
All that said, there are still good reasons to contemplate international investment these days. First off, there's the weak dollar, which seems to be on a neverending downward spiral.
Next, while this isn’t meant to be a political article, some political issues do warrant concern -- such as budget deficits, continually growing consumer credit card debt, and our rapidly rising national debt. We're running annual deficits now, with our national debt hitting about $9.5 trillion, with little relief in sight. Further, significant inflation looms as another side effect of attempts to reduce our debts.
It's not that this isn't a great country, or that things can't turn around. Some nations in living memory have gone from pedestals to pits (or vice versa) in fairly short order. But right now, it might be smart to spread a little more of your savings abroad.
Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK-B ) Chairman Warren Buffett has expressed a bearish stance on the U.S. dollar and holds both Canadian and Brazilian currency.
How to invest abroad
If you're now eager to learn just how you might invest abroad, let's review some options.
First, you can let professionals do your international investing for you via mutual funds. Some mutual funds are expressly dedicated to investing in international stocks and/or bonds. And the managers of many other mutual funds have substantial freedom to invest at least some fund money in suitable international investments. Do a little research into funds that interest you and see how their managers are thinking about global economies and how they're investing.
Consider currency funds, which aim to profit as the dollar's value changes. They're risky, though, and may not be necessary if you take other steps, such as those listed above. Another option is buying American Express (NYSE: AXP ) travelers checks in euros (or some other currency). But you'll forgo earning interest, which is kind of a big deal.
Finally, remember that there are many good old American companies with substantial overseas operations and revenue. PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP ) , for example, took in nearly $40 billion in 2007, nearly half of it from outside U.S. borders. A SmartMoney article explained: "Certain sectors and industries that garner a large percentage of overseas sales should benefit more from the dollar's decline. Industrials (aerospace, defense, construction, farm machinery, industrial machinery, air freight), materials (gold mining, metal and glass-container makers), health care (pharmaceuticals, medical-device makers), and consumer-staples companies (soft drinks, tobacco, household products) are among the largest beneficiaries."
The bottom line
So what's the bottom line? Well, it’s impossible to tell the future precisely. After all, the dollar may well be at the beginning of a long climb. So for now, it’s good advice just to keep reading and learning -- and paying attention to the global reach of American companies you’re invested in or could invest in, as that's one good way to benefit from a troubled U.S. economy.
RSS Headlines
Fool UK