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Oil and Gas Buying Opportunities

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LONDON -- You've probably noticed that the shares of oil majors BP and Royal Dutch Shell have been cheap for some time. By "cheap," I mean they have low P/E ratios -- 7.5 and 8.5, respectively.

However, in both cases, earnings are expected to fall significantly in the current year and analysts are forecasting only modest growth for 2013.

So, BP and Shell's low P/Es might be said to be justified -- even if many long-term investors are happy to accept the quite tasty dividends (forward yields of around 5%) while waiting for earnings to grow again.

It's a different story for the picks-and-shovels companies of the oil and gas industry -- firms that aren't directly involved at the dirty end of the business but which provide the vital equipment and services the industry needs.

As you can see in the table below, the FTSE's five biggest equipment and services companies are on higher P/Es than the oil majors. But crucially for valuations, strong earnings growth is also forecast.

As such, on a P/E-to-earnings growth (PEG) valuation -- where a PEG ratio of less than 1 indicates growth at a reasonable price -- the equipment and services companies actually look better value than BP and Shell right now.


Market Cap
(billion pounds)

Share Price (pence)


Earnings Growth (%)


Dividend Yield (%)

Petrofac (LSE: PFC.L  ) 5.5 1,589 12.3 16 0.8 2.7
Amec (LSE: AMEC.L  ) 3.8 1,163 13.2 16 0.8 3.2
Wood Group (John) (LSE: WG.L  ) 3.1 827 13.9 25 0.6 1.6
Hunting (LSE: HTG.L  ) 1.2 799 12.6 29 0.4 2.5
Kentz (LSE: KENZ.L  ) 0.4 359 9.1 14 0.7 2.7

Figures based on rolling 12-month forecasts.

You may not get much of a dividend from these companies -- Amec's yield of 3.2% is as good as it gets -- but what you can expect is robust earnings growth relative to the P/E rating.

While it's true you could have picked up shares in these companies cheaper than they are today during the market slump of May/June, they still look decent value on a PEG basis, despite some strong rebounds in their share prices.

Let's have a closer look at them.

The biggest of the five companies -- ranked 60 in the elite FTSE 100 index -- oil-field services company Petrofac was established in 1981 when it employed just 25 people. The company has grown rapidly and now has some 16,500 staff worldwide.

In the last five years, Petrofac has increased its earnings threefold. This year, revenue is expected to break through the $6 billion mark for the first time, and the company is bullish on profit growth.

In a trading update in June, ahead of half-year results scheduled for this coming Monday, Petrofac said it was "on course to deliver net profit growth in 2012 of at least 15%."

For a company with Petrofac's track record, a PEG ratio of 0.8 looks pretty appealing. Estimated net cash of $700 million on the balance sheet at  June 30 adds to the attraction.

Another FTSE 100 company, Amec, which provides consultancy, engineering and project management services, is a little more diversified than Petrofac. Amec supplies the mining, clean-energy and infrastructure markets in addition to the oil and gas industry.

Amec started life as a humble U.K.-based construction firm in 1848, but today operates globally with 27,000 employees serving some of the world's biggest organizations, including BP and Shell.

Amec has half-year results scheduled for Thursday. In April, the company reported it had performed in line with expectations during the first three months of the year. Amec added it was continuing to see healthy demand for its services and was "confident that this will support double-digit underlying revenue growth in 2012."

Like Petrofac, Amec has a PEG ratio of 0.8 and a strong balance sheet. At Dec. 31, 2011, net cash stood at 521 million pounds and the directors earmarked 400 million pounds for share buybacks in 2012.

Wood, Hunting and Kentz
These three firms are all listed in the FTSE 250. They have somewhat more attractive PEG ratios than their FTSE 100 peers.

The PEGs in the case of Wood (0.6) and Hunting (0.4) are premised on very strong forecast earnings growth of 25% and 29%, respectively. In the case of Kentz (0.7), the smallest of the companies, the PEG arises as a result of a lower P/E and relatively modest earnings growth of 14%.

I particularly like Hunting. I've owned shares in the firm for several years. Hunting provides equipment and services to oil and gas operators in the areas of well construction, well completion and well intervention.

I wrote bullishly about Hunting back in March, when the shares were trading above their current level. Today, they are on a very attractive PEG of 0.4 and I expect the company to deliver on the forecast earnings growth.

Let me finish by adding that picks-and-shovels businesses can deliver very decent rewards for investors, but if you want to learn about really striking it rich in the oil and gas sector, you must download our very latest guide -- "How To Unearth Great Oil & Gas Shares" -- it's free. Simply click here to get the lowdown on an area of the market with the potential to give you truly spectacular returns.

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Further investment opportunities

G A Chester owns shares in Hunting. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
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  • Report this Comment On May 15, 2013, at 7:03 AM, trismigistus wrote:

    If only Americans knew about the Canadian Oil and Gas Dividend Model companies. Alas the articles about them rarely make it to the United States due to SEC rules believe it, or not.

    Lets me correct that for anyone who happens to read this. How does a sustainable 15% dividend yield sound to you?

    Spyglass Resources Corporation was born on March 26, 2013, and now trades on the Toronto Stock Exchange under SGL as well as the OTC in the United States under the ticker SGLRF.

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