The Cost of Waiting

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A while back, I gave our Foolish calculators a spin, to check how much I'd have to save to retire securely. I knew that the earlier you start to save and invest, the better off you'll be. But I didn't realize just how huge a difference a few years can make.

The numbers tell the story
Suppose you begin saving at age 45, and invest $5,000 per year for 20 years, earning 10% per year and experiencing 3% annual inflation. You'll end up with an expected $286,375 before inflation, and $204,977 after inflation. If you put all this off for 10 more years, and don't begin saving and investing until age 55, you'll have to sock away $18,000 a year -- or delay your retirement until age 75 -- just to end up with the same amount of money!

In contrast, if you begin at age 25 under otherwise identical conditions, in 40 years you'll end up with $2.2 million before inflation, and nearly $1 million after it. Delay your retirement until age 67, as many 25-year-olds today will likely end up doing, and you'll end up with more than $450,000 extra. Meanwhile, an investor who starts at age 45 will have only 22 years until they turn 67, and will have to sock away more than $37,000 per year to amass the same ultimate sum. I don't know many people who could do that.

The big picture
Are you about to bash your 50-year-old head against a wall? Please don't -- all is not lost:

  • You may be able to save more than $5,000 per year. One rule of thumb is to save and invest 10% of your income, but the higher your percentage, the better off you'll likely end up.
  • Even if you start investing at age 50, you have a good amount of time in which to accumulate wealth. If you can invest $10,000 per year for 20 years, earning the market's historical average return of 10%, you'll end up with more than $570,000 before inflation, and more than $400,000 after. Not too shabby, eh?
  • On the other hand, remember that that 10% return is very hypothetical. Sure, it's the market's historical average, but recent events amply illustrate that you can't count on it.

Find good investments
Good returns aren't always hard to find. Even well-known companies can give you market-beating performance over the long haul. PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP), for example, has advanced by an annual average of 13% over the past 20 years. Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG) boasts a 15% return, as does Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ). (How they'll do over the next 20 years is unknown, of course.)

And while many mutual funds underperform the market, the best of them can really pack a punch, giving you outstanding returns during good times and helping you defend your portfolio when times are bad. Until it stumbled this year, the Fairholme Fund (FAIRX) averaged annual gains of more than 18% from 2003 to 2007. Its recent top holdings included Pfizer (NYSE: PFE), Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK-A) (NYSE: BRK-B), and St. Joe (NYSE: JOE).

Whether you go with stocks or funds, don't wait. Start investing today, and get yourself on the path to higher returns.

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This article was originally published on Oct. 3, 2006. It has been updated by Dan Caplinger, who owns shares of Berkshire Hathaway. Pfizer and Johnson & Johnson are Motley Fool Income Investor recommendations. Pfizer and Berkshire Hathaway are  Inside Value picks. Berkshire Hathaway is a  Stock Advisor recommendation. The Fool owns shares of Pfizer and Berkshire Hathaway. Try any of our Foolish newsletters today, free for 30 days. The Motley Fool is Fools writing for Fools.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On December 11, 2008, at 2:43 AM, jjun0366 wrote:

    I don't quite agree with this. Sure compounding will do great but 10% returns is an ideal figure and one that most investors cant beat let alone funds.

    However, if you wait patiently in cash and make good decisions and hold, that's when the compounding, dividends or capital growth will kick in and make you happy later on.

    Too many garbage funds to slim out your wallet.

    cheers,

    http://www.oldschoolvalue.com

  • Report this Comment On December 12, 2008, at 12:23 AM, sikiliza wrote:

    I totally agree with jjun0366 - if you are an astute enough investor and understand the marketplace dynamics, then you stand to gain more by doing your research and picking the right stocks for your situation. Too many funds out spitting out dismal returns and you end up in a lose, lose situation, after costs.

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2008, at 2:37 PM, cbvclub wrote:

    Good math...no way to execute.

  • Report this Comment On December 20, 2008, at 8:36 PM, RunFin wrote:

    Average annual returns, even over a longer period, are end point sensitive. The companies sited, PEP, PG, and JNJ, have done well, on a relative basis, in this market and I would venture that they had some very big years along the way. To get this return, the position would need to have been well timed, and timing the market is easier said than done.

    If we have seen the bottom, then new cash in nearly any blue chip has an extremely good chance of returning 30% during the next 12 months. The "if" is the operable word!

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Related Tickers

12/2/2009 11:35 AM
JNJ $63.96 Up +0.45 +0.70%
Johnson & Johnson CAPS Rating: *****
PG $63.34 Up +0.43 +0.69%
The Procter & Gamb… CAPS Rating: *****
PFE $18.74 Down -0.11 -0.60%
Pfizer, Inc. CAPS Rating: ****
BRK-A $100090.00 Down -360.00 -0.36%
Berkshire Hathaway… CAPS Rating: *****
BRK-B $3336.50 Down -15.80 -0.47%
Berkshire Hathaway… CAPS Rating: *****
PEP $63.58 Up +0.16 +0.25%
PepsiCo, Inc. CAPS Rating: *****
JOE $25.93 Up +0.67 +2.63%
The St. Joe Compan… CAPS Rating: *

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