When I looked at Stone Energy
Most of the time, the market doesn't give you a chance to wait. Bad news beats shares down. Beaten down company is acquired. It happens all the time. It will happen to Stone Energy.
The purchase
Stone Energy has received an unsolicited bid of $52 per share from Energy Partners
Buying Company |
Purchased Company |
Price: $/BOE* |
---|---|---|
Norsk Hydro |
$42 |
|
Helix Energy |
$30 |
|
Energy Partners |
Stone Energy |
$20 |
It appears that Energy Partners is paying a discounted price, but there's a big difference between Stone and the other two companies. Stone Energy focuses on shallow water Gulf of Mexico, and the other two were deepwater companies. Deepwater companies command a premium because there are huge reserves -- estimated by the Minerals Management Service to be 71 billion BOE -- in the deepwater Gulf of Mexico. The shallow water continues to be a major producing region, but expectations of finding a giant field are limited.
Also, as I pointed out in March, Stone Energy is just recovering from an entire year of difficulties. Spinnaker and Remington were both on the top of their game when they were acquired. Combine the two factors, and the premium for Spinnaker and Remington makes sense. Beyond that, this is only one metric, which doesn't account for production rates, unproven but estimated reserves, or unexplored acreage.
The wild card
This deal between Energy Partners and Stone Energy might not go through. In April, Stone Energy agreed to be acquired by Plains Exploration
Conclusions
The bidding for Stone Energy shows that mergers and acquisitions continue in the oil patch. Smaller production companies with prime properties are being snatched up by bigger fish looking to build their reserves and production. Furthermore, both Plains Exploration and Energy Partners looking at Stone Energy shows that a company with problems can deliver gains, if you buy it at the right price.
I'm not sure which other companies are discounted with problems like Stone Energy had. However, if I had to guess who the next target would be, I'd pick a deepwater Gulf of Mexico producer. Two smaller companies probing the depths are Bois d'Arc Energy
For related Foolishness:
Looking for beaten-down stocks that could become buyout candidates? In February, Bill Mann recommended TransMontaigne to subscribers of Motley Fool's Hidden Gems . Like Stone Energy, the terminal operator was down and out. A few short weeks after the recommendation, TransMontaigne received a purchase offer, delivering a 42% gain to subscribers who bought at the original recommendation price.
Fool contributor Robert Aronen does not own shares of any company mentioned. He's hoping for an unsolicited bid for his company and its vast unproven reserve portfolio.