Wipeouts, Left and Right

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Times are tough for companies related to board sports.

Companies that peddle board-sports-related fashions have had a hard time lately. It looks like investors didn't react too badly to Zumiez's (Nasdaq: ZUMZ) quarterly results last week, but of course, the retailer and its peers have been taking quite a few spills along the way.

Zumiez's second-quarter net income decreased 12.9% to $2.7 million, or $0.09 per share. Total sales increased by 12.5% to $92.3 million, and same-store sales slid 1.7%, a far cry from the 11.6% increase in comps last year at this time.

Still, Zumiez's second-quarter numbers beat analysts' expectations. Perhaps that looks awfully good, considering shares of another company that provides action sports fashion, Pacific Sunwear (Nasdaq: PSUN), plunged last week because of its lackluster outlook. (Check out my Foolish colleague Rich Duprey's coverage of Pacific Sunwear's quarterly tidings.)

Perhaps that's why Volcom's (Nasdaq: VLCM) shares wiped out 6.5% on Friday as well. Pacific Sunwear is a Volcom customer, and this wouldn't be the first time Pacific Sunwear's troubles have represented a potential thorn in Volcom's side. And of course, Zumiez is also a Volcom customer, and it didn't exactly have an optimistic take on the rest of the year, either.

Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF) also has a concept called Hollister that provides similarly inspired fashion. It's at least interesting to mention the fact that Hollister has stumbled lately; last quarter, its comps dropped by 9%. So the point is, it looks like the whole niche has been taking a hit (although Abercrombie has several concepts that have been struggling lately, including newer concept Ruehl).

Zumiez now expects earnings of $0.80 to $0.82 per share for 2008, versus its old guidance for $0.90 to $0.93 per share. Zumiez may look somewhat reasonable, trading at 16 times trailing earnings (at least compared with its heady past, since MSN Money's data says its five-year high P/E was 90), but I think there are better opportunities elsewhere in retail stocks while consumer spending remains soft. (And personally, I've long preferred Volcom as a potential investment to Zumiez.)

While I'm not convinced that companies like Volcom and Zumiez are part of a fad that's losing momentum, I do suspect the short term may be fraught with wipeouts, given the slow consumer climate. I think anybody who's yearning for a shot at Zumiez stock has some time to look for better opportunities as the next couple months wear on.

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Zumiez and Volcom are Motley Fool Hidden Gems picks. Pacific Sunwear of California is a Stock Advisor recommendation. Try any of our Foolish newsletters today, free for 30 days.

Alyce Lomax does not own shares of any of the companies mentioned. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Zumiez, Inc.

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$7.97

+0.59 (+7.99%)

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