5-Star Stocks Poised to Pop: Dawson Geophysical

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Based on the aggregated intelligence of 125,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool's free investing community, oilfield services provider Dawson Geophysical (Nasdaq: DWSN) has earned a coveted five-star ranking. Our data has shown that five-star stocks outperform the market by a significant margin; conversely, one-star stocks woefully lag the market average.

With that in mind, let's take a closer look at Dawson's business, and see what CAPS investors are saying about the stock right now.

Dawson facts

Headquarters (founded)

Midland, Texas (1952)

Market Cap

$125.25 million

Industry

Oil and Gas Equipment and Services

TTM Revenue

$324.93 million

Management

Founder/Chairman L. Decker Dawson

CEO Stephen Jumper

Return on Equity (average, last three years)

18.5%

Competitors

OMNI Energy Services (Nasdaq: OMNI),

TGC Industries (Nasdaq: TGE)

CAPS members bullish on DWSN also bullish on:

Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL),

Chesapeake Energy (NYSE: CHK)

CAPS members bearish on DWSN also bearish on:

Monsanto (NYSE: MON),

Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT)

Sources: Capital IQ (a division of Standard & Poor's), and Motley Fool CAPS. TTM = trailing 12 months.

Over on CAPS, 96% of the 484 All-Star members who have rated Dawson believe the stock will outperform the S&P 500 going forward. These bulls include Tracksters and TMFselzhanik, both of whom are ranked in the top 15% of our community.

Two weeks ago, Tracksters wrote that Dawson "is down because the oil industry is down. Did not mean that the oil companies are going to stop drilling. Solid company with no debt."

In a pitch from two weeks earlier, TMFselzhanik breaks down the stock's bargain valuation (which is even cheaper today) in great detail:

The market price seems ridiculously low to me. Start with the $16.70 per share they are trading around right now. Subtract out their current assets and liabilities (their checkbook balance, basically), and we get $10.06. Take their property (seismic equipment, etc), cut its book value in half (likely crazy, but let's try to think like the market here), subtract that out, and we get $0.61 per share. Subtracting the full book value of the property, and that's ($8.84) -- that's right, negative.

Selling this stock is like saying the guys who just pulled in $1.21 per share in profit -- after depreciation and taxes -- in the last quarter (in these terrible, Great-Depression-like times, mind you) are somehow subtracting $8.84 per share from the value of the property they use. ....

 The analysts project $4.05 for 2009. $16.70 for a company with no debt, $23.86 on the books, making over $4 a year? I'll buy that.

What do you think about Dawson, or any other stock for that matter? Make your voice heard on Motley Fool CAPS today. More than 125,000 investors are waiting to hear what you have to say. CAPS is 100% free, so simply click here to get started.

On Jan. 12, 2009, Fool co-founder David Gardner, Jeff Fischer, and their Motley Fool PRO team will accept new subscribers to their real-money portfolio service. Motley Fool PRO is investing $1 million of the Fool's own money in long and short positions in a range of securities, including common stocks, put and call options, and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). They also incorporate proprietary CAPS "community intelligence" data into their research. To learn more about Motley Fool PRO and to receive a private invitation to join, simply enter your email address in the box below.

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Fool contributor Brian Pacampara owns no position in any of the companies mentioned. Dawson is a recommendation of Motley Fool Hidden Gems. Apple is a Stock Advisor pick. Chesapeake Energy and Microsoft are selections of Inside Value. The Fool owns shares of Dawson Geophysical. The Fool's disclosure policy always gets a perfect score.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On December 30, 2008, at 11:53 AM, ARJTurgot wrote:

    I'm there. Bought about a month ago. I ran the numbers again this AM and it still looks good.

    But, arguing with Mr. Market can be futile in the short-term and humbling in the long. Earnings for DWSN come in below some of their competitors, and this stock looks good mostly because of the beaten down price. If it were back where it started '08 it would be a woof. Small niche player with not huge capitalization. You wanna make money on this one ya gotta be patient.

  • Report this Comment On December 31, 2008, at 9:35 AM, loucanoe wrote:

    Yes, it is a value and yes it is cheap on recent earnings. However, the earnings outlook for the coming year is not so hot. Their biggest customer is CSK and they are dramatically scaling back their drilling program. Ditto other producers of unconventional gas. I think that the stock will continue weak until we see some uptick in gas prices. That doesn't appear imminent due to good volumes in storage and reduced industrial use--of course this could all change with two weeks of cold weather all across the US.

  • Report this Comment On December 31, 2008, at 10:42 AM, bargehead wrote:

    I agree with you. I just discovered that CHK and SD accounted for 36% and 20% of revenues respectively for 2008 and that both were cutting back significantly in 2009. Given this, I just baled out of a 2,500 share position. I think I'll get an opportunity later to buy back in.

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