5 Stocks Approaching Greatness

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Some companies are obviously great investments -- in hindsight. Yet for every stock out there screaming "buy me," others simply give us a nudge and a nod. How can we tell tomorrow's obviously great investments from the thousands of pretenders?

The stars' walk of fame
In the first 20 months we tracked Motley Fool CAPS, the data showed that stocks achieving five-star ratings outperformed the market by 12 percentage points, while newly minted five-star stocks represented the best opportunity to capture those returns. Let's sift through CAPS' proprietary ratings system and find the stocks most likely headed towards superstardom. Here are a handful of four-star firms approaching greatness.

  • ADC Telecommunications (NYSE: ADCT)
  • ModusLink Global Solutions (Nasdaq: MLNK)
  • Pain Therapeutics (Nasdaq: PTIE)
  • Reliant Energy (NYSE: RRI)
  • Sierra Wireless (Nasdaq: SWIR)

Some of these names might surprise you. ADC Telecommunications, for example, has been providing networking equipment for years. Almost great? Even familiar names can still offer some of the best opportunities. Perhaps we've just forgotten the potential they still hold. The 125,000-plus CAPS members chose these companies as less obvious sources for tomorrow's great buys, so let's see why they might merit your attention.

Good medicine
Undoubtedly, last month's FDA demand that Pain Therapeutics and King Pharmaceuticals (NYSE: KG) work up further analysis on their Remoxy set back plans to get the abuse-resistant variety of oxycodone into circulation in the first quarter. But with no further clinical trials required, it may just be a matter of when, not if, Remoxy will get approved. 

CAPS member SnoopyDancing thinks the joint venture might produce a blockbuster: "New joint venture with King pharma may bring an abuse-free oxycontin to market which would be a blockbuster for the legal pharma market."

Is Reliant reliable?
Sometimes, a company's greatness may hinge not on its future performance, but on its potential returns in the near term. That seems to be the case with Reliant Energy, which is in the midst of a "strategic review" -- code for selling itself or its assets to the highest bidder.

The energy provider recently completed a sale of the Northeastern electricity-marketing assets of its retail subsidiaries to oil and gas company Hess (NYSE: HES). After Hurricane Ike damaged some of its properties, and amid the roiled credit markets, Reliant was forced to raise $1 billion in new capital and cut its retail profit expectations nearly in half, to $350 million for the year.

Reliant found itself in further trouble when Merrill Lynch sued it for terminating a $300 million credit line, which Merrill claims triggered the default of an additional agreement. One analyst suspects Merrill may be trying to force the energy company's hand and possibly take control of its retail power business.

CAPS member bobclommer thought back in October that Reliant Energy had just been temporarily hurt by the hurricane damage, and that it would eventually turn itself around:

quality,regional utility provider, badly hit by Ike, recently downgraded, trading at a very low price, looks like a time to start a long term position.

A great opportunity for you
With these four-star investments on their way to five-star greatness, it pays to start your own research on these stocks on Motley Fool CAPS. Read a company's financial reports, scrutinize key data and charts, and examine the comments your fellow investors have made, all from a stock's CAPS page.

Sign up today for the completely free service, and let us hear what you have to say about the great and almost-great companies that interest you.

Beginning Jan. 12, 2009, Fool co-founder David Gardner, Jeff Fischer, and their Motley Fool Pro team will accept new subscribers to their real-money portfolio service. Motley Fool Pro is investing $1 million of the Fool’s own money in long and short positions in a range of securities, including common stocks, put and call options, and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). They also incorporate proprietary CAPS "community intelligence" data into their research. To learn more about Motley Fool Pro, and to receive a private invitation to join, simply enter your email address in the box below.

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Fool contributor Rich Duprey does not have a financial position in any of the stocks mentioned in this article. You can see his holdings here. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On January 26, 2009, at 2:04 PM, muleskinnerslide wrote:

    ADCT may still be around, but let's not forget the FORCED REVERSE 7 TO 1 STOCK SPLIT that broke many investors or at least gave them a massive write off on their taxes. They have never recovered, and it's not likely they will. My reasoning is that they have not recovered from the Telcom Crash (like many telcos) and this current economic crisis will probably deal a 2nd and possibly more deadly blow to them.

  • Report this Comment On January 26, 2009, at 2:11 PM, muleskinnerslide wrote:

    ADCT may still be around, but let's not forget the FORCED REVERSE 7 TO 1 STOCK SPLIT and FORCED SALE that broke many investors or at least gave them a massive write off on their taxes. The Telcos have never recovered, and it's not likely they will. ADCT is likely more headed to penny stocks then greatness. My reasoning is that they have not recovered from the Telcom Crash of 2002/2003 (like many telcos) and this current economic crisis will probably deal a 2nd and possibly more deadly blow to them.

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