Wall Street's Worst-Kept Secret

Recs

10

Hey, buddy, you want some personal investment advice? Investors who make the most money over the long term invest in common stocks – no matter what the doom-and-gloomers tell you.

At least, they have since Ibbotson Associates started keeping tabs in 1926. Investors who make even more invest in small-company stocks, also according to Ibbotson. But that’s not personal investment advice -- that’s Wall Street’s worst-kept secret.

The way I see it, there are few ways we can play it right now. We can roll the dice on a small-cap mutual fund. We can buy a small-cap exchange-traded fund (ETF) – I’ve owned a few myself for years. Or we can start building a small-cap portfolio of our own.

You're a Fool ... and so am I
Naturally, we favor the do-it-yourself approach. Well, sort of. I recently had the pleasure of discussing the subject with Motley Fool co-founder Tom Gardner -- a guy who's made a career out of digging up well-run small companies ahead of Wall Street.

I'm beginning to suspect that Tom is onto something, and that the team of analysts he assembled to run his Motley Fool Hidden Gems newsletter service has built a solid portfolio of small companies I couldn't have found on my own – including more than a dozen that have doubled at least.

What's their secret? I think it’s that, when searching out well-run small companies, these guys focus on fundamentals, while I tend to get wowed by story. More specifically, they insist on a few important criteria when searching for great small companies:

  • Solid management with significant stakes.
  • Great, sustainable businesses.
  • Dominant positions in niche markets.
  • Sterling balance sheets.
  • Strong free cash flow.

I know it's hard to imagine now, but many of these same traits gave investors the courage to follow a young Howard Schultz into Starbucks (Nasdaq: SBUX), a longtime Motley Fool favorite. The same goes for Sam Walton and Wal-Mart back in the 1970s. Both were pretty decent investments for years.

Good work if you can get it
I know what you're thinking: Who wouldn't want to own names like Starbucks and Wal-Mart -- at least in their prime? And you're right. That's why it's so hard to beat the pros with familiar stocks like those when they're hot; if they're really all that, they're going to cost you.

But what are you going to do? Take a chance on some fly by-night outfit? Good point. But notice I said well-known stocks -- not necessarily well-known companies. There's a difference.

For example, flashy tech outfits with sexy names like Level 3 Communications (Nasdaq: LVLT) and Tellabs (Nasdaq: TLAB) are often familiar tickers long before many traders figure out what they actually do. Companies like BJ Wholesale Club (NYSE: BJ), on the other hand, have strong regional or even national footprints long before they hit Wall Street's radar.

Need more proof?
Check out my buddy Tim Hanson's list of the best-performing stocks of the past 10 years. But don't expect to find a bunch of story stocks like Sirius XM Radio (Nasdaq: SIRI) or Suntech Power (NYSE: STP). In fact, I'm willing to bet you haven't heard of more than one from your broker, though you might recognize a bunch from "real life" -- Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (Nasdaq: GMCR), for example.

And that's your edge: You can always find established, profitable companies with unknown stocks. Some you've heard of; some you may not have. Peter Lynch was a master at digging up these gems. That's precisely how he earned his Fidelity Magellan (FMAGX) shareholders nearly 30% year after year.

Of course, beating the market with a mutual fund is a crapshoot. That's why I'm a fan of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) -- you get broad exposure to the entire group without the management fees associated with typical funds. I've done well with both the iShares S&P 600 Small-Cap Growth Index (IJT) and the value index.

Some more personal advice
Consider testing the waters with a low-cost fund like iShares S&P 600 Small-Cap Value Index (IJS) and then shift gradually into the stocks that Tom Gardner's guys tell you about each month in his Hidden Gems newsletter. Sooner or later, you want to be exposed to at least a few small businesses with big potential.

Even better, if you’re curious how Wall Street's worst-kept secret can help you beat the pros, think about this: Look into accepting a no-risk free trial to the complete Hidden Gems service. That way, you can look on for free as the team builds a real money portfolio of small-cap stocks.

You can even print out every back issue and check out all the recommendations, if you like. Best of all, the first month is on me, and there's never any pressure to subscribe. I haven't seen a market better suited to small caps since 2003. I bought then, and I'm buying now. To learn more about trying Hidden Gems for free, simply click here.

This article was originally published on Jan. 7, 2005. It has been updated.

Paul Elliott owns shares of the iShares S&P 600 Growth Index and the iShares S&P 600 Value Index, but no other securities mentioned in this article. Starbucks is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor pick. Wal-Mart and Starbucks are Inside Value picks. Suntech Power and Green Mountain Coffee Roasters are Rule Breakers choices. The Fool owns shares of Starbucks and has a full disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On July 07, 2009, at 9:02 AM, BullishBroker74 wrote:

    By Brandon Matthews

    Traditional forms of media including television, radio and print are threatened by the success of Sirius XM Radio (SIRI). There is absolutely no doubt in my mind that the organizations behind traditional forms of media have united on a single front to denigrate the Satellite Radio provider at any and all costs. I know this first hand as most of the negative comments left on Satwaves.com can be traced back to everything from terrestrial radio station operators to the National Association of Broadcasters. These traditional media conglomerates control everything most people see and hear. Consider if you will the number 1 hit by the Black Eyed Peas in which the words “Satellite Radio” have been bleeped out by terrestrial radio stations from coast to coast.

    In the years since Howard Stern first joined Sirius, traditional media has made a point of downplaying Howard Stern's relevance. Just last October, the Los Angeles Times published this article which made the claim that Howard Stern was no longer relevant, and that his listeners had dwindled to a fraction of the number that once tuned in. The Los Angeles Times happens to be owned by Tribune; “America’s largest employee-owned media company, operating businesses in publishing, interactive and broadcasting.” The same article was syndicated and republished on an almost daily basis for several weeks that followed, assuring that the story would be told in every major U.S. market and maintain a top ranked listing in google news search results.

    That is why I could not help but laugh hysterically at the newest media attempts to control the American public’s view of Sirius XM Radio through new articles that claim Howard Stern will leave Sirius XM nearly two years from now. These articles now make the claim that Howard Stern is so important and popular, that Sirius XM’s survival hinges on whether or not Howard decides to stay with Sirius XM when his contract comes up for renewal in 2011! Unfortunately, some people seem to be buying into this manipulation and fear-mongering. The reach of these media outlets is unlimited in scope.

    As an example, on the eve of Sirius XM’s announcement that its iPhone application had reached a million downloads, a story was written suggesting that Sirius XM stock would be a good short sale candidate by a known writer who has denigrated Sirius for years. I recall writing that it seemed like a signal was being sent on the Satwaves forums the moment I read it. As trading progressed the following day it looked as if Sirius XM stock would rise precipitously on the iPhone application news. CNBC even picked up the story, but if you follow Sirius XM you knew what was coming next.

    It was then reported that the app, despite having over a million downloads, had a low rating based on the absence of The Howard Stern Show. The very same show that the media has been proclaiming to be irrelevant. The stock ended the day's session flat as a result. Out of nearly 19 million subscribers and out of 1 million iPhone app downloads, the app was given a low rating by a mere 38,000 people. It does not take a rocket scientist to figure out that anyone can bash the application, whether or not they even own an Apple device. I rated the application 5 stars, and I have no iPod nor iPhone. I simply signed up using my AOL account. It can hardly be deemed a reliable source of consumer sentiment compared to the fact that it remains the number 1 downloaded music application.

    As for Howard Stern, terrestrial radio is already on life support. Clear Channel is knocking on bankruptcy’s door. When it comes to radio companies, there is only one that is growing. There is only one that can offer Howard the freedom to do his show and produce new shows without fear of retribution from the FCC. By the year 2011, it is probable that no radio company in existence would be able to afford Howard Stern while offering him a minuscule percentage of his current national audience. Only one radio company can offer The Howard Stern Show a potential global audience in the years to come. That radio company is Sirius XM Radio.

    As for the media manipulation: People should make a stand. If you’d like to be told what to read and hear only that which is selected for you, you might want to consider a move to North Korea. Turn off your am/fm radios. Pick up a Satellite Radio and subscription. Send a message to traditional media that they cannot control what you see and what you hear. I have and in this lies true freedom.

    Position: Long SIRI

  • Report this Comment On July 09, 2009, at 11:44 AM, Netteligent09 wrote:

    Tellabs need new blood badly. Old timers are only interested in job security and politics. These middle management is terrible.

    The worst has yet to come..

Add your comment.

Compare Brokers

TD AMERITRADE
more info
ShareBuilder
more info
Power E*Trade

more info
Scottrade
more info
Fool Disclosure

DocumentId: 931768, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 11/8/2009 5:57:17 PM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

The Must-Read Story on Fool.com
Which Companies Can Buy It Like Buffett?

Related Tickers

11/6/2009 4:00 PM
STP $12.70 Down -0.26 -2.01%
Suntech Power Hold… CAPS Rating: ****
TLAB $6.14 Up +0.01 +0.16%
Tellabs, Inc. CAPS Rating: ***
SBUX $21.12 Up +1.42 +7.21%
Starbucks Corp CAPS Rating: **
LVLT $1.25 Down -0.01 -0.79%
Level 3 Communicat… CAPS Rating: ****
SIRI $0.63 Down +0.00 -0.63%
Sirius XM Radio CAPS Rating: **
GMCR $67.61 Down -0.43 -0.63%
Green Mountain Cof… CAPS Rating: *
BJ $35.69 Down -0.04 -0.11%
BJ's Wholesale Clu… CAPS Rating: ***

Community: Investing Wiki

Term Of The Hour

Covered call: The covered-call strategy of investing involves selling call options on a stock that you also own shares of for the long term. It's a way of trying to make a bit more money out of a stock in terms of generating some income now.

Want to learn more or edit this definition?
Click here to read more!