The Pricing Is Right for CSX

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Since eastern railroad operator CSX (NYSE: CSX) is the first for me to cover in this earnings cycle, there aren't a lot of comparisons to make. That said, this past quarter has been a little tougher on the rails as worries about volume growth, the ability to maintain pricing, and industry valuations have pressured the stocks.

Nevertheless, CSX posted strong second-quarter results after the bell yesterday. Revenue rose 12% over last year and ongoing operating improvements in this turnaround story continued to magnify that growth. The company's operating ratio improved once again and led to 23% growth in operating earnings (adjusted for the receipt of an insurance settlement). That, in turn, ultimately fueled adjusted EPS growth of about 21%.

Looking at incremental data throughout the past quarter, CSX will probably end up on the below-average side of the industry when it comes to carload growth. In fact, there was no volume growth this quarter. That 12% growth in overall revenue was purely pricing, with about half of that coming from true price increases (as opposed to fuel surcharges and product mix).

I was encouraged to see continued improvement in operating efficiency. On-time arrivals, dwell times, system velocity, and recrews all improved from year-ago levels. Remember, railroads have enormous fixed asset bases and even small incremental improvements in utilization can mean big things for operating income and cash flow growth.

With the whole industry having pulled back, investors who believe in the notion of sustainable improvements in this sector might want to take a look. You can select from quality operators like Burlington Northern (NYSE: BNI) and Canadian National (NYSE: CNI), or more turnaround-oriented ideas like Union Pacific (NYSE: UNP) and CSX. Although I still don't believe that we'll see attractive long-term returns on capital, for now at least companies are still willing to pay up to get their goods to market by rail.

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Fool contributor Stephen Simpson has no financial interest in any stocks mentioned (that means he's neither long nor short the shares).

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Related Tickers

11/10/2009 12:38 PM
BNI $97.58 Down -0.03 -0.03%
Burlington Norther… CAPS Rating: *****
CNI $53.51 Down -0.05 -0.09%
Canadian National… CAPS Rating: *****
CSX $47.58 Down -0.88 -1.82%
CSX Corp CAPS Rating: ****
UNP $61.82 Down -0.56 -0.90%
Union Pacific Corp CAPS Rating: ****

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