5 Stocks That Just Won't Quit

Recs

5

Disney Buys Marvel!

David Gardner called it. He’s up 1,334%! See what David’s recommending that you buy NEXT.

Stock Advisor

In my weekly Fool column "Get Ready for the Fall," I run Nasdaq.com's 52-week highs list through the "wisdom of crowds" meter we call Motley Fool CAPS. The result: a list of stocks that have flown so high, investors are starting to get nervous about that whole "gravity" thing. But while many stocks will indeed plunge back to Earth, some seem immune to gravity, steadily riding a rising megatrend to ever-greater heights.

Today, we'll move beyond stocks that have hit 52-week highs, and identify companies now surpassing five solid years of outperformance. Which of these will thrash the market averages for another half-decade? Here are this week's leading contenders:

Stock

Recent Price

CAPS Rating
(out of 5)

Bull Factor

DirecTV (NYSE: DTV)

$28.57

***

92%

Check Point Software  (Nasdaq: CHKP)

$32.61

***

93%

DG FastChannel

$27.26

**

91%

IAMGOLD (NYSE: IAG)

$17.40

**

88%

VistaPrint  (Nasdaq: VPRT)

$55.15

*

68%

Companies are selected from the "New 5-Year Highs" list published on MSN Money on Monday. CAPS ratings from Motley Fool CAPS.

"Everybody loves a winner"
So they tell me, but to be honest, Fools, I'm not seeing a lot of love in the table up above. To the contrary, the higher these stocks soar sunwards, the more investors expect to see their wings scorched. Sure, two of the companies get at least a half-hearted, three-star rating on CAPS.

But can either one overcome the skeptics and extend its winning streak into a sixth year? Perhaps. After all, one of these companies already bears the Fool seal of approval -- Motley Fool Rule Breakers tapped Check Point Software to join the portfolio in its May issue. But it's the other three-star stock that has me feeling most optimistic. I'll tell you why in a moment; first, let's let the CAPS community lay out ...

The bull case for DirecTV
Writing back in April, CAPS member Turbo91 spotlighted DirecTV for its "[l]ow P/E and price/cash flow than average industry. Lower capital investments than industry because their infra is "shoot it up to the sky and rake in the bucks" (e.g. they are not pulling wire). They will get increased competition from FIOS, but their HD lineup is better ..."

Last year, ryanassist suggested that "[a]s the economy slows people are going to turning to more home entertainment options. Instead of going to the movies and dropping $30-$40 they will get a pay per view for $3. Instead of going to 1 football game and dropping $300 plus, they will get the NFL package and watch the entire season, invite some friends over and have a BBQ."

And so far, that seems to be the way things are playing out. As CAPS All-Star antonioexpo wrote last month, this "company is spitting cash flow like crazy and using it to buy back stock."

Think antonioexpo is exaggerating? Think again -- and read fellow Fool Anders Bylund's write-up on DirecTV's most recent quarter. DirecTV boasts 18.4 million total subscribers now signed up, and signing over monthly subscription checks. Its free cash flow totaled a monster $1.65 billion over the first three quarters of this year, and looks destined to crest $2.2 billion by year's end.

Foolish takeaway
What does this mean to investors? Well, if you look at the most basic numbers, DirecTV sells for a 21 P/E, making it look a whole lot more expensive than rival telecoms like Verizon (NYSE: VZ), AT&T (NYSE: T), or Comcast (Nasdaq: CMCSA). But here's the thing: DirecTV is projected to grow at 23% per year over the next half-decade, more than twice as quick as any of those three other names.

Now look even closer, and you'll see that the company generates a whole heckuvalot more free cash flow than it gets to report as "net earnings" under GAAP. Value DirecTV on its presumed $2.2 billion in free cash flow this year, and the stock turns out to be bargain-priced at just 12.5 times free cash. More simply put, if DirecTV comes anywhere near the growth rate Wall Street has laid out for it, this stock is a steal, even at its five-year-high.

Time to chime in
Of course, that's just my opinion ... and what do I know? I've got Comcast. Perhaps there are "issues" surrounding DirecTV that upset the buy thesis I've laid out above. If you know of any, here's your chance to set me straight.

Click over to Motley Fool CAPS now, and fire away.

Like this article? Get our best articles delivered direct to your inbox at no cost. Sign up for Foolwatch Weekly by entering your email below.

Check Point Software Technologies is a Motley Fool Rule Breakers pick.

Fool contributor Rich Smith does not own shares of any company named above. You can find him on CAPS, publicly pontificating under the handle TMFDitty, where he's currently ranked No. 625 out of more than 140,000 members. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

Be the first one to comment on this article.

Compare Brokers

TD AMERITRADE
more info
ShareBuilder
more info
Power E*Trade

more info
Scottrade
more info
Fool Disclosure

DocumentId: 1039590, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 11/22/2009 7:40:58 PM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

The Must-Read Story on Fool.com
An Open Letter to the Federal Reserve

Related Tickers

11/20/2009 4:02 PM
IAG $18.93 Down -0.21 -1.10%
IAMGOLD Corp (USA) CAPS Rating: **
T $26.02 Down -0.09 -0.34%
AT&T, Inc. CAPS Rating: ****
VZ $30.43 Down -0.09 -0.29%
Verizon Communicat… CAPS Rating: ****
CHKP $32.48 Down -0.29 -0.89%
Check Point Softwa… CAPS Rating: ***
CMCSA $15.01 Down -0.03 -0.20%
Comcast Corp CAPS Rating: **
VPRT $49.80 Down -1.19 -2.33%
VistaPrint Limited CAPS Rating: *

Community: Investing Wiki

Term Of The Hour

Stop order: A stop order is a specialty brokerage order that triggers an action when the stock hits a specified price.

Want to learn more or edit this definition?
Click here to read more!