Wall Street's Buy List

Recs

7

Disney Buys Marvel!

David Gardner called it. He’s up 1,334%! See what David’s recommending that you buy NEXT.

Actions speak louder than words, as the old saying goes. So why does the media focus so much attention on what Wall Street says about companies, instead of what it does with them?

Luckily for Wall Street watchers, the Internet brings us MSN Money's list of which companies the institutions are buying. True, we should be as skeptical of Wall Street's actions as we are of its words. But when the 145,000 lay and professional investors on Motley Fool CAPS agree with Wall Street's opinions, it just might be time for some buying.

Here's the latest edition of Wall Street's Buy List, alongside our investors' opinions of the companies involved:

Stock

Recent Price

CAPS Rating
(out of 5)

M&F Worldwide  (NYSE: MFW)

$33.51

*****

Hecla Mining  (NYSE: HL)

$6.44

***

Human Genome Sciences  (Nasdaq: HGSI)

$27.38

**

IAMGOLD  (NYSE: IAG)

$19.58

**

East West Bancorp (Nasdaq: EWBC)

$14.45

*

Companies are selected from the "Institutional Ownership Up Last Month" list published on MSN Money on the Saturday following close of trading last week. Recent price provided by Yahoo! Finance. CAPS ratings from Motley Fool CAPS.

Wall Street vs. Main Street
Wall Street traders are snapping up these stocks just as fast as they can hit the buy-button. But with IAMGOLD trading for 97 times earnings, and Human Genome, East West Bancorp, and Hecla so devoid of profit that they have no P/E, Main Street investors are beginning to wonder if the "experts" should just sit on their hands -- except in one instance. Turns out, both Wall Street and Main Street agree that M&F Worldwide is a buy.

Who is M&F Worldwide, and why does everyone love it so? That's what we aim to find out today, as we delve into ...

The bull case for M&F Worldwide 
Who is M&F Worldwide? CAPS All-Star kristm addressed the question last year:

M&F is a taped-together wad of unrelated businesses, but they're all profitable and dominate their respective markets. Check printing business is one of only two significant players in this space ... It throws off mad cash and doesn't require much capital to run. ... Their financial services division isn't much of a factor to the bottom line, and the licorice-producer subsidiary is kinda stupid to tie into everything else, it's small profits need to be sold to some bigger player in the candy space. Also owns Scantron, you should be familiar with them if you've ever taken one of those fill-in-the-dots No. 2 pencil tests. Strongly embedded in the educational market.

So, in summary, M&F Worldwide is a check-printing, bank software-writing, licorice-selling test-grader. As fellow All-Star Ak66 confides: "These conglomeration of unrelated businesses are hard to value and analyests do not like them because they are hard to describe."

And yet, cornpalace reminded us last year that M&F "is generating over 200 mm a year in [free cash flow] and earnings are improving ... The company has a lot of debt, but it has a blended average of around 9%."

And cornpalace is right. Interest payments for the last 12 months ate up less than half of M&F's operating profit, and the company managed to drop $133 million all the way to its bottom line. Free cash flow, meanwhile, surpassed $170 million. As a result, we're looking here at a stock selling for less than five times earnings, and less than four times free cash flow.

But as low as these numbers are, should buy the stock? Evidently, a lot of Fools think you should (and Wall Street is buying.) But me, I disagree.

A complex question, a simple answer
Ak66 tells us that analysts worry about M&F's complexity. But General Electric (NYSE: GE) amalgamated network television with jet engines, while Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK-A) proposed a strange marriage between auto insurance and chocolate candy -- and both those businesses have managed to survive pretty well.

My objection to M&F, though, isn't that it's too complex -- it's that it's too obviously indebted. Just because M&F makes enough money to pay the interest on its debt doesn't mean that debt doesn't matter. It does. Add the company's net debt to its market cap, and M&F's enterprise value is not five, but 21 times earnings. Similarly, enterprise value is not four, but 16.5 times free cash flow. Were M&F a fast-growing business, these valuations might be justified, but in fact, the sole analyst who follows this stock expects M&F's earnings to decline 11% next year -- and this analyst won't even hazard a guess as to how bad things might look in years farther out.

Foolish takeaway
Nor will I. There's just no need to, when the markets abound in easier-to-understand stocks, with cleaner balance sheets and stronger growth prospects. If Wall Street wants to buy M&F, I say let 'em. As for the rest of us, we're better off spending our time -- and money -- elsewhere.

Of course -- as always -- if you disagree, feel free to tell us why.

Love this article? Get our best articles delivered direct to your inbox at no cost. Sign up for Foolwatch Weekly by entering your email below.

Berkshire Hathaway is a choice of Motley Fool Stock Advisor and Motley Fool Inside Value recommendation. The Fool owns shares of it.

Fool contributor Rich Smith  does not own shares of any company named above. You can find him on CAPS, publicly pontificating under the handle TMFDitty, where he's currently ranked No. 805 out of more than 140,000 members. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On November 24, 2009, at 1:55 PM, noirblood wrote:

    "Hecla so devoid of profit that they have no P/E"

    Um, they just posted a $22.5 million profit in their last quarter.

    http://finance.yahoo.com/q/is?s=hl

    "In the U.S., Hecla is now the largest silver producer and the second and third largest producer of zinc and lead, respectively."

    I green thumbed it at $2.99 back on 8/31. Would do the same today at $6.50

  • Report this Comment On November 24, 2009, at 9:17 PM, BottomFinder wrote:

    IAG actually trades at 99x earnings....yes gold is way up but the price for this stock is just too high.

    Firms keep raising their price targets on speculation but IAG will eventually come back down to the $10-$13 range. If you want to invest in gold look at the ETFs, this is just too risky here.

  • Report this Comment On November 25, 2009, at 10:21 AM, cornpalace wrote:

    I just want to point out that when I wrote my bullish sentiment towards MFW the stock was at 13.55 now that it has risen to 34+ I am not as bullish. I still own the stock, but upside from here without a significant acquisition is probably not that much.

Add your comment.

Compare Brokers

TD AMERITRADE
more info
ShareBuilder
more info
Power E*Trade

more info
Scottrade
more info
Fool Disclosure

DocumentId: 1051849, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 2/10/2010 10:57:26 AM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

The Must-Read Story on Fool.com
Weekly Walk of Shame: Dick Durbin

Related Tickers

2/10/2010 10:30 AM
HL $4.73 Down -0.17 -3.37%
Hecla Mining Compa… CAPS Rating: ***
GE $15.59 Down -0.01 -0.06%
General Electric C… CAPS Rating: ****
EWBC $15.53 Down -0.01 -0.06%
East West Bancorp,… CAPS Rating: *
BRK-A $111569.00 Down -131.00 -0.12%
Berkshire Hathaway… CAPS Rating: *****
HGSI $26.36 Down -0.71 -2.61%
Human Genome Scien… CAPS Rating: *
IAG $13.86 Down -0.25 -1.77%
IAMGOLD Corp (USA) CAPS Rating: **
MFW $30.65 Down -1.43 -4.46%
M & F Worldwide Co… CAPS Rating: *****

Community: Investing Wiki

Term Of The Hour

Weighted average cost of capital: The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) for a firm is the weighted average of the cost of debt and cost of equity.

Want to learn more or edit this definition?
Click here to read more!