FOOL PLATE SPECIAL
Amazon, Wal-Mart Click Big Over Holidays

Where did you do your shopping over the holiday 2000 season? If you did it online, chances are some of it was done at Amazon.com, which for the second year in a row was the Web's strongest magnet for shoppers during the holidays. But the most impressive number belongs to Wal-Mart, which sports a growth rate big enough to make a dot-com blush.

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By Nico Detourn (TMF Nico)
January 10, 2001

It's no surprise that e-tail leader Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN) was the most popular online shopping destination this holiday season, but a just-released study of recent online e-tail traffic pointed out an even more impressive figure: the jump in visits to the websites of traditional retailers.

Amazon leads the traffic jam
The average number of daily visitors to Amazon.com reached 1.6 million during the five-week period ending Dec. 24, a 48% increase over the 1.1 million counted during the comparable period one year earlier. So says a study released last week by the Web-measuring division of Jupiter Media Metrix. Overall, an average of 34.3 million unique individuals visited retail sites during the holiday shopping season, an increase of 30.3% over 1999. Total Web usage, it should be noted, grew only 18.6% during the same period.

Also worth pointing out is that in 1999 about 51.8% of unique weekly Web users visited a retail site during the holiday season, a number that increased to 56.9% during holiday 2000. Not only are more people doing more shopping online, but the Amazon brand is one of the main beneficiaries as e-commerce goes mainstream.

Overall Traffic to the Web and Retail Sites
1999 and 2000 Holiday Shopping Seasons

                        Average Weekly Unique Visitors                       All WWW    Retail Sites  % Retail
1999 Holiday Season* 50,746,000    26,303,000     51.8% 2000 Holiday Season* 60,173,000    34,265,000     56.9%             % Change        18.6%         30.3%     9.8% * 1999 Holiday Season: weeks ending 11/28/99 through 12/26/00 2000 Holiday Season: weeks ending 11/26/99 through 12/24/00 Source: Media Metrix

Pure-play growers and shrinkers
As impressive as Amazon's year-over-year growth was, other online pure-plays showed even steeper gains. Comparison shopping site BizRate.com ranked as the fifth-most-visited retail site, with a 64.5% gain in average daily visitors. Online direct marketer MyPoints.com (Nasdaq: MYPT) saw a 60.7% increase in traffic volume, keeping it in the number two slot, well within clicking distance of Amazon. As the table below shows, the dominance of Amazon and MyPoints is evident by the gap between their visitor volume and that of the sites directly under them in the Media Metrix holiday ranking.

Showing up in the top 10 for the first time were greeting card site AmericanGreetings.com at number three with 538,000 average daily unique visitors, and eBay's (Nasdaq: EBAY) Half.com, with an average of 511,000 uniques. Even BizRate's strong growth was only enough to draw 510,000 average daily visitors to its site.

Not faring as well were online mall Buy.com (Nasdaq: BUYX) and eToys (Nasdaq: ETYS). The two were neck-and-neck during the 1999 holiday season, ranking fourth and fifth among retail sites, respectively. They now strain their necks in the number nine and 10 positions, their year-over-year-traffic volumes having dropped 9.2% and 8.3%, respectively.

eToys' change in fortune was reflected in its mid-December warning that it would miss revenue and earnings estimates, which was followed up in January with layoffs, warehouse closings, and hints that the company itself may soon be on the block. On a similar note, the top 10 holiday retail sites no longer finds shelf-space for barnesandnoble.com (Nasdaq: BNBN). Number eight on 1999's list, the company just yesterday warned that Q4 earnings will not live up to expectations. All in all, it was a sobering reminder that traffic flowing to a website does not automatically translate into dollars flowing through a balance sheet.

Top 10 Retail Sites, Unique Visitors
1999 and 2000 Holiday Shopping Seasons

Site     Avg. Visitors   Site           Avg. Visitors              Holiday 1999*                    Holiday 2000*
AMAZON.COM       1,071,000  AMAZON.COM            1,583,000 MYPOINTS.COM       869,000  MYPOINTS.COM          1,391,000 WEBSTAKES.COM      433,000  AMERICANGREETINGS.COM   538,000 BUY.COM            348,000  HALF.COM                511,000 ETOYS.COM          338,000  BIZRATE.COM             510,000 BIZRATE.COM        310,000  WEBSTAKES.COM           446,000 TOYSRUS.COM        294,000  WALMART.COM             370,000 BARNESANDNOBLE.COM 286,000  CDNOW.COM               320,000 CDNOW.COM          277,000  BUY.COM                 316,000 EGREETINGS.COM     219,000  ETOYS.COM               310,000 * Five-Week period ending 12/26/99 and 12/24/00 Source: Media Metrix

Bricks click
But what stands out most in these Media Metrix numbers is the increase in shopper traffic to the websites of traditional offline brands such as Best Buy (NYSE: BBY), Sears (NYSE: S), Staples (Nasdaq: SPLS), and most especially Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT). The website of the number-one U.S. retailer only ranked seventh in average daily visitors during the holiday 2000 period, but Walmart.com's 370,000 shoppers represented a whopping 640% increase over the 50,000 of the previous year.

Visitors to BestBuy.com jumped more than 200%. Also representing bricks-and-mortar in the top 10 were Staples.com and Sears.com, whose visitor growth of 134.8% and 95.9%, respectively, demonstrate that the dot-com pure-plays have miles to go before resting on their e-laurels.

Top 10 Gaining Retail Sites, Unique Visitors
1999 and 2000 Holiday Shopping Seasons

                        5-Week Avg. 5-Week Avg.   
Rank Site                   1999*      2000*  % Increase
 1  WALMART.COM            50,000    370,000      640.0%
 2  MYSIMON.COM            88,000    283,000      222.0%
 3  BESTBUY.COM            82,000    249,000      203.2%
 4  AMERICANGREETINGS.COM 216,000    538,000      149.1%
 5  DEALTIME.COM           74,000    175,000      137.0%
 6  STAPLES.COM            50,000    117,000      134.8%
 7  HALLMARK.COM           97,000    218,000      124.3%
 8  SEARS.COM             107,000    210,000       95.9%
 9  800.COM                68,000    114,000       67.1%
10  BIZRATE.COM           310,000    510,000       64.6%

* Five-Week period ending 12/26/99 and 12/24/00
Source: Media Metrix