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1-Star Stocks Poised to Plunge: Zillow?

Based on the aggregated intelligence of 180,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool's free investing community, online real estate marketplace operator Zillow (Nasdaq: Z  ) has received the dreaded one-star ranking.

With that in mind, let's take a closer look at Zillow's business and see what CAPS investors are saying about the stock right now.

Zillow facts

Headquarters (Founded) Seattle (2004)
Market Cap $649.6 million
Industry Internet software and services
Trailing-12-Month Revenue $36.4 million
Management

Co-Founder/Chairman Richard Barton

CEO Spencer Rascoff

Trailing-12-Month Operating Margin (12.9%)
Cash/Debt $15.6 million / $0

Sources: Capital IQ (a division of Standard & Poor's) and Motley Fool CAPS.

On CAPS, 82.5% of the 120 members who have rated Zillow believe the stock will underperform the S&P 500 going forward. These bears include rymico and Jeffrey2012.

Late last month, rymico listed several of Zillow's negatives: "Another one of those dot-com bubble bursts. Company is not making profits, provides services easy to mimic, lower sustainability, many alternatives in the marketplace."

In fact, Zillow currently sports a lofty price-to-sales of 17.8. That represents a clear premium to other online real estate plays like China Real Estate Information (Nasdaq: CRIC  ) (4.6), LoopNet (Nasdaq: LOOP  ) (8.8), and Market Leader (1.9).

CAPS member Jeffrey2012 elaborates on the Zillow bear case:
 

The company is propped up right now by the prospects of high flying growth. However, they are not going to continue growing by up to 74% in the future. Their low base is allowing them to grow fast, but due to their reliance on the real estate industry, I find it hard to see their future being rosy.

They are also losing money and continuing to lose money due to their rapid growth and build out of their data centers and other capital equipment.

Lastly, I haven't heard much about their lawsuits being talked about, but the companies such as Lending Tree have been around way longer than Zillow has. It's quite possible they have infringed on some sort of patent. That is a big potential risk to the stock.

What do you think about Zillow, or any other stock for that matter? If you want to retire rich, you need to protect your portfolio from any undue risk. Staying away from dangerous stocks is crucial to securing your financial future, and on Motley Fool CAPS, thousands of investors are working every day to flag them. CAPS is 100% free, so get started!  

Interested in another easy way to track Zillow? Add it to your watchlist.

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Fool contributor Brian Pacampara owns no position in any of the companies mentioned. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of LoopNet. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.

We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Fool's disclosure policy always gets a perfect score.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On August 18, 2011, at 10:30 AM, cubanstockpicker wrote:

    there is nothing original about this stock. It provides no competitive edge and it is unusable

    for any REAL real estate investment transactions.

    ALthough the little houses on the maps look cool.

    I hope the owner was smart and started collecting his millions already.

  • Report this Comment On August 18, 2011, at 10:34 AM, catoismymotor wrote:

    According to Zillow my house is 200sqft smaller than it is, it sits on a lot three times the real size and I have a spare full bathroom.

    Perhaps innacuracies such as these are common enough to weigh on the stock price?

  • Report this Comment On August 22, 2011, at 8:11 PM, spitorswallow wrote:

    Keep talking trash you dopes. Fact - with all the crap that has gone on in this market, these guys are still trading 20% above their offer price. Do you think that just maybe the guys behind this company are smarter than the average bear??? And, consider this: how did such a crummy little company become the only single letter ticker (the Z) in the history of the Nasdaq Stock Market??? How the hell did they get that symbol when companies like Microsoft, Intel, Cisco, Dell, etc all failed??? Again, maybe the guys behind this company are smarter than the average bear!!!

  • Report this Comment On August 24, 2011, at 10:56 AM, brando555 wrote:

    I have been using zillow to track what has been going on in my home town and I just bought another home this year because of zillow. It was the best way to search for houses on the market and do my own research. I have bought 2 other houses in the past and with zillow I was able to know alot more about the houses that I was looking at all in one place. For me this was the best thing to happen to the housing market.

    There are alot of people who hate it in this business cause it does show alot of info and also some incorrect info. But for the average guy like me and my wife it helped us know we were making the right choice.

    Right now I will not invest in zillow until I see more stability in the company but I do see alot of upsite if the guys running zillow can make it happen.

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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:00 PM
Z $40.27 Down -0.59 -1.44%
Zillow CAPS Rating: *
LOOP $0.00 Down +0.00 +0.00%
LoopNet CAPS Rating: ****
CRIC.DL $0.00 Down +0.00 +0.00%
China Real Estate… CAPS Rating: *

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