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4-Star Stocks Poised to Pop: Xinyuan Real Estate

Based on the aggregated intelligence of 180,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool's free investing community, Chinese residential real estate developer Xinyuan Real Estate (NYSE: XIN  ) has earned a respected four-star ranking.

With that in mind, let's take a closer look at Xinyuan's business and see what CAPS investors are saying about the stock right now.

Xinyuan facts

Headquarters (founded) Beijing (1997)
Market Cap $192.3 million
Industry Real estate development
Trailing-12-Month Revenue $519.24 million
Management

Founder/Chairman/CEO Yong Zhang

Co-Founder/COO Yuyan Yang

Return on Equity (average, past 3 years) 4.2%
Cash/Debt $333.9 million / $318 million
Dividend Yield 4%

Sources: Capital IQ (a division of Standard & Poor's) and Motley Fool CAPS.

On CAPS, 97% of the 675 members who have rated Xinyuan believe the stock will outperform the S&P 500 going forward. These bulls include All-Star mrindependent, who is ranked in the top 15% of our community, and EinstiensBastard.

Earlier this summer, mrindependent tapped Xinyuan as just too cheap to pass up: "Although I am a little leery of chinese real estate, the 67% discount to book value is very attractive for this Chinese real estate company that possesses cash assets which are greater than its debt. No foreseeable liquidity issues."

In fact, as mrindependent points out, Xinyuan currently sports a particularly paltry price-to-book of 0.33. That represents a wide discount to U.S. counterparts such as D.R. Horton (NYSE: DHI  ) (1.2), Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL  ) (1.0), and PulteGroup (NYSE: PHM  ) (0.8).

CAPS member EinstiensBastard elaborates on the bargain opportunity:

Thus far at least, most of the problematic Chinese companies have been small reverse merger stocks which use less reputable investment bankers and corporate auditors. Xinyuan does not fall into this category. ...

The other concern weighing on XIN is the perception that Chinese real estate is in a bubble. One notable proponent of this is Jim Chanos, who expects the China bubble bursting to be 1,000 times the Dubai bubble. While we are concerned about possible fraud and excess leverage and debt, we have reached the conclusion that some fears are overblown. Specifically in regards to XIN, rental yields in tier II & III cities where XIN operates exceeds 5%, in addition high down payments and tight lending rules continue to keep a lid on the market.

What do you think about Xinyuan, or any other stock for that matter? If you want to retire rich, you need to put together the best portfolio you can. Owning exceptional stocks is a surefire way to secure your financial future, and on Motley Fool CAPS, thousands of investors are working every day to find them. CAPS is 100% free, so get started!

Interested in another easy way to track Xinyuan? Add it to your watchlist.

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Fool contributor Brian Pacampara owns no position in any of the companies mentioned. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.

We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Fool's disclosure policy always gets a perfect score.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On September 12, 2011, at 1:25 PM, mikecoursey wrote:

    Another thing about this stock is that it has actually paid a dividend and begun a stock repurchase, 2 things that indicate the stock is trading very cheaply and that the board intends to "show investors the money".

    The stock currently trades at about 2.5 times earnings and they are poised to exceed the Q3 TTM earnings by more than 100% for the next reporting quarter.

    I think there is tremendous upside on this stock.

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DocumentId: 1551489, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 5/28/2012 3:15:34 AM

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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:04 PM
XIN $3.19 Down -0.05 -1.54%
Xinyuan Real Estat… CAPS Rating: ***
TOL $28.20 Up +0.24 +0.86%
Toll Brothers, Inc… CAPS Rating: **
PHM $9.33 Down -0.07 -0.74%
PulteGroup, Inc. CAPS Rating: **
DHI $17.01 Down -0.14 -0.82%
D.R. Horton, Inc. CAPS Rating: *

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