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1-Star Stocks Poised to Plunge: Sears Holdings?

Based on the aggregated intelligence of 180,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool's free investing community, embattled retailer Sears Holdings (Nasdaq: SHLD  ) has received the dreaded one-star ranking.

With that in mind, let's take a closer look at Sears' business and see what CAPS investors are saying about the stock right now.

Sears facts

Headquarters (Founded) Hoffman Estates, Ill. (1899)
Market Cap $6.09 billion
Industry Department stores
Trailing-12-Month Revenue $42.7 billion
Management Chairman Edward Lampert
President/CEO Louis D'Ambrosio
Return on Equity (Average, Past 3 Years) (0.6%)
Cash/Debt $624 million / $4.55 billion
Competitors Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN  )
Target (NYSE: TGT  )
Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT  )

Sources: S&P Capital IQ and Motley Fool CAPS.

On CAPS, 31% of the 2,155 members who have rated Sears Holdings believe the stock will underperform the S&P 500 going forward. These bears include gatzbp and mrkhan1024.

Just last month, gatzbp succinctly summed up the Sears Holdings bear case: "Business model that will become more and more obsolete."

In fact, Sears Holdings sports a particularly paltry three-year average return on capital of 2.1%. That's much lower than that of competitors like Amazon (15%), Target (9.4%), and Wal-Mart (12.8%).

CAPS member mrkhan1024 expands on the Sears Holdings underperform argument:

Black Friday was a disaster. $6.2B market cap is still too high. Net tangible assets down to $3.2B as of last quarter. The value of their real estate will continue to plummet if Barnes and Noble, Best Buy, or other [bricks and mortars] close stores or fold. They may be in bankruptcy before commercial leasing and the economy turn around. Craftsman and Kenmore branding opportunities are worth something, but will possibly kill off what little foot traffic remains.

What do you think about Sears Holdings, or any other stock for that matter? If you want to retire rich, you need to protect your portfolio from any undue risk. Staying away from dangerous stocks is crucial to securing your financial future, and on Motley Fool CAPS, thousands of investors are working every day to flag them. CAPS is 100% free, so get started!

Interested in another easy way to track Sears Holdings? Add it to your watchlist.

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Fool contributor Brian Pacampara owns no position in any of the companies mentioned. The Fool owns shares of Amazon, Wal-Mart, and Best Buy. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Amazon and Wal-Mart, as well as creating a diagonal call position in Wal-Mart and writing covered calls on Best Buy. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.

We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Fool's disclosure policy always gets a perfect score.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On December 12, 2011, at 12:20 PM, oldgregg wrote:

    why on earth, would anyone own this stock? yes, eddie saved kmart during it's bankruptcy; but it was just a vehicle to buy sears, via the stock deal. i worked at the old kmart h.q. during the whole fiasco. the management prior to eddie was clueless and it has been since. they've lost complete focus on the retail world. it's a sinking ship. shame the public has no clue on all the missteps that transpired during my time there; they were numerous and showed the true failings of the company. what a shame, to two former iconic retail giants.

  • Report this Comment On December 15, 2011, at 11:23 AM, xnicholas wrote:

    I believe it was said best by NHWeston (26.59) Submitted: 12/11/201.

    ""Years ago, I used to go to K-Mart once every six months to remind myself of why I NEVER shopped at K-Mart. Today, I blundered into Sears and found the same tragic dreariness that no blue-light special could ever illuminate. How very sad. Sears has lost its way and seems unable to find a niche that doesn't smack of either desperation or banality. Unless management does something drastic [and Eddie Lampert has not delivered of yet], Sears will sink relentlessly doen from mere retail dinosaur to that of trilobite. Sad...the arrival of the Sears catalogue used to be one of the great memories of the 50's childhood. ""

    NHWeston has it correct. Every time i go to sears, i feel sorry for what was a great company. I see overpriced goods with questionable quality, being sold by a company that wont be in business another year. The problem is that sears now must compete a losing war against target, walmart, amazon, and high end clothing retailers.

    SEARS CANNOT BEAT WALMART, TARGET, AMAZON, OR HIGH END CLOTHING RETAILERS. maybe sears could do this 15 years ago, but not now, not in 2011. Might as well pack up shop, and do a 50% off sale every Thursday.

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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:00 PM
SHLD $56.84 Up +0.25 +0.44%
Sears Holdings Cor… CAPS Rating: *
WMT $65.31 Up +0.24 +0.37%
Wal-Mart Stores CAPS Rating: ****
TGT $57.62 Up +0.37 +0.65%
Target CAPS Rating: ****
AMZN $212.89 Down -2.35 -1.09%
Amazon.com CAPS Rating: ***

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