Is This Why Companies Kept So Much Cash?http://www.fool.com/how-to-invest/personal-finance/savings/2011/07/28/is-this-why-companies-kept-so-much-cash.aspx Dan Caplinger
July 28, 2011
It's amazing how a day can change everything. Until now, investors seemed convinced that Congress would come to a resolution about raising the debt ceiling and preventing the U.S. from defaulting on its debt. But yesterday, investors finally flinched -- and started thinking about the ramifications that even getting this close to a default could have not just on the government but also on U.S. businesses for years to come.
Yet in light of current events, the moves that many companies made in the aftermath of the financial crisis three years ago to raise cash now look incredibly smart. Although cash-rich companies have taken a lot of criticism from shareholders wanting them to deploy their financial resources more productively, any disruption in the credit markets resulting from a default will make them glad that those companies took the steps they did.
With many continuing to believe that lawmakers will avoid default, these moves may seem unnecessary. But the Treasury market itself is handicapping the prospects for default -- and assigning a definite probability of a temporary disruption. Yesterday, rates on Treasury bills maturing on Aug. 4 -- the first maturity after the deadline set by Treasury officials for raising the debt ceiling -- quadrupled. Meanwhile, rates on T-bills maturing in late September stayed relatively flat, suggesting that everyone believes any crisis will end by then.
Of course, the bigger question for companies is what impact the debt crisis would have on the economic recovery. For instance, Ford has long sought to improve its credit rating to investment grade, but a fallback into recession could easily derail those plans.
An end to capital-raising