The Next Battle in the Smartphone Wars: Phone Subsidieshttp://www.fool.com/investing/general/2013/07/19/the-next-battle-in-the-smartphone-wars-phone-subsi.aspx Doug Ehrman
July 19, 2013
While there has always been healthy competition between the major wireless carriers, to date, the heart of the smartphone wars has been between devices. In March, T-Mobile (NYSE: TMUS) became the first to take a meaningful step away from phone subsidies, setting in motion what is becoming the next major battle for your smartphone consumption dollars. With AT&T (NYSE: T) and Verizon's (NYSE: VZ) recent announcements of their own "early upgrade" plans, the conflict is intensifying.
There are two central questions which this transition raises, namely, the need to understand what is really happening and who will benefit. Without digging into what these changes really mean, it is difficult to trace the impacts. Ultimately, it is the impacts of these changes that will affect us as both consumers and investors.
Spin versus reality
The clear conclusion for consumers is that, while these new plans allow you to upgrade more frequently, they are significantly more expensive than traditional options. This is no surprise to anyone paying close attention to the reality of what these plans represent: the end of phone subsidies by carriers. Where the added cost gets really out of control is if you choose not to upgrade as quickly as possible. Each of these plans contains an installment-payment feature, meaning that choosing not to upgrade forces you to keep paying toward your existing device.
In the case of Verizon Edge, this might make sense until you have reached 50% of the device's price -- if not, a lump sum payment is due at the time of upgrade to reach the 50% level. For the others, however, you continue to pay for a device you could replace. In the case of AT&T Next, which only permits an upgrade once per year, by the time you upgrade, you have already paid for more than half of the cost of the device, based on the example of having the device fully paid in 20 months.
For both of these carriers, there is no price break on monthly service fees, and some industry experts believe these rate plans already contain fees to offset the cost of phones. It is this last reality that led T-Mobile's Chief Marketing Officer Mike Sievert to suggest that, under AT&T's plan, customers pay for the same device twice.