Workshop Portfolio

<FOOLISH WORKSHOP>

Monthly Relative Strength      

by Jim Stevens (JimStevens@aol.com)

(FOOL GLOBAL WIRE)
by Jim Stevens (JimStevens@aol.com)

Burlington, VT (April 5, 1999) -- The first Friday of the month is behind us, Fools, so it's again time to update the monthly traded models I keep tabs on here in the Foolish Workshop. Scorching the competition, the Relative Strength-Investor's Business Daily screen again gets first billing.

You'll find a description of the RS-IBD at the Workshops Screen Explanations page. The model is tracked on an annual basis on the Workshop Returns page, but recent history has shown that updating the stocks on a monthly rotation has great promise. The companies are quite volatile, so new Fools beware! Money can be lost as fast as it's made. For more thoughts on Relative Strength, read TMF Bogey's recent Workshop Report, Respecting Momentum.

Below are the March 1999 RS-IBD companies from in my 03/08/99 Monthly Relative Strength report listed with their performances on the month through last Friday (the market was closed, so it's the same as the performance through last Thursday):

Schwab (Charles) (NYSE: SCH)    16.36%
Yahoo! Inc. (Nasdaq: YHOO)      12.48%
America Online (NYSE: AOL)      72.54%
VISX  Inc. (Nasdaq: VISX)       34.12%
Best Buy Co. (NYSE: BBY)        11.68%
Oracle Corp. (Nasdaq: ORCL)    -31.05%
EMC Corp. (NYSE: EMC)           23.01%
Quiksilver Inc. (NYSE: ZQK)      4.84%
Sun Microsystems (Nasdaq: SUNW) 20.61%
Amgen (Nasdaq: AMGN)            16.26%
                           Top 5        29.44%
                            Top 10      18.08%

Wow! Only one dud in the group. The 1999 performance tally for this hypothetical monthly model is now 62.66% for the 5-stock screen and 37.46% for the 10-stock version. The plain vanilla Standard & Poor's 500 Depositary Receipts (AMEX: SPY), are up a yawning 1.41% in the March period and less than 3 percentage points year to date.
Here's the RS-IBD stock list for the month of April, according to the most recent Workshop Rankings:
Yahoo! Inc. (Nasdaq: YHOO)
America Online (NYSE: AOL)
VISX  Inc. (Nasdaq: VISX)
Qualcomm Inc. (Nasdaq: QCOM)*
Schwab (Charles) (NYSE: SCH)*
Sun Microsystems (Nasdaq: SUNW)*
EMC Corp. (NYSE: EMC)
Uniphase Corp. (Nasdaq: UNPH)
Xilinx Inc. (Nasdaq: XLNX
Best Buy Co. (NYSE: BBY)
*Indicates a three-way tie for fourth place, according to the Workshop current rankings.

Check my Thursday column for the latest numbers on the Unemotional Growth model.

Have a great week!

New Rankings | Workshop Returns


Workshop Portfolio


9/28/01 as of ~5:30:00 PM EDT

Ticker Company Price
Change
Daily Price
% Change
Price
AETAETNA INC NEW0.943.36%28.94
BABOEING CO(1.04)(3.02%)33.36
CATCATERPILLAR INC1.112.53%44.91
COGCABOT OIL & GAS 'A'0.693.59%19.90
DDDU PONT (EI) DE NEMOURS0.992.74%37.14
DGXQUEST DIAGNOSTICS(0.45)(0.73%)61.42
EKEASTMAN KODAK0.421.31%32.49
GMGENERAL MOTORS1.393.38%42.55
LHLABORATORY CORP AMER HLDG(NEW)1.141.42%81.21
MOPHILIP MORRIS COS(0.76)(1.55%)48.24
NEWPNEWPORT CORP0.261.90%13.97
NVRNVR INC(0.54)(0.38%)140.41
PKXPOHANG IRON & STEEL ADS1.097.51%15.61
PVNPROVIDIAN FINANCIAL1.075.64%20.04
QCOMQUALCOMM INC(0.40)(0.84%)47.16
RJRRJ REYNOLDS TOBACCO HLDGS(0.69)(1.19%)57.31
SLESARA LEE CORPUnchg.Unchg.21.09
UNFIUNITED NATURAL FOODS0.563.18%18.15
WMIWASTE MANAGEMENT(0.01)(0.04%)26.74

Overall Return -- total % Gained (Lost)
  Day Week Month Year
To Date
Since
Inception
(12/24/1998)
Workshop1.30%7.32%(12.02%)(20.66%)(18.91%)
Comparable S&P 500n/an/an/an/a(19.07%)
S&P 500 (DA)1.95%7.48%(8.33%)(21.22%)(14.88%)
NASDAQ2.02%4.71%(17.46%)(39.68%)(31.41%)
DJIA (DA)1.68%7.07%(11.07%)(17.86%)(2.22%)

Internal Rate of Return -- Annualized Rate of % Gained (Lost)
  Since Inception (12/24/1998)
Workshop(17.62%)
vs. S&P 500(17.63%)

Trade Date # Shares Ticker Cost/Share Price Total % Ret
1/8/0126MO40.9448.2417.82%
1/8/0122RJR50.1057.3114.39%
1/8/0167UNFI16.4518.1510.34%
12/24/9824CAT43.0844.914.24%
1/8/018NVR136.63140.412.77%
1/8/0140WMI27.4426.74(2.54%)
1/8/0150SLE22.5421.09(6.42%)
1/8/0161PKX17.8315.61(12.46%)
1/8/0115DD48.8337.14(23.95%)
1/8/0129AET38.1728.94(24.19%)
1/8/0139COG28.7519.90(30.79%)
1/8/0114QCOM75.5447.16(37.57%)
1/8/018LH134.6981.21(39.70%)
12/27/9918GM73.2642.55(41.92%)
1/8/0118BA59.5333.36(43.96%)
1/8/019DGX114.4961.42(46.35%)
12/27/9920EK65.0932.49(50.08%)
1/8/0120PVN55.5020.04(63.89%)
1/8/0115NEWP74.9613.97(81.36%)

Trade Date # Shares Ticker Total Cost Current Value Total Gain
1/8/0126MO$1,064.50$1,254.24$189.74
1/8/0122RJR$1,102.25$1,260.82$158.57
1/8/0167UNFI$1,102.12$1,216.05$113.93
12/24/9824CAT$1,034.00$1,077.84$43.84
1/8/018NVR$1,093.00$1,123.28$30.28
1/8/0140WMI$1,097.50$1,069.60($27.90)
1/8/0150SLE$1,126.88$1,054.50($72.38)
1/8/0161PKX$1,087.75$952.21($135.54)
1/8/0115DD$732.50$557.10($175.40)
1/8/0129AET$1,107.00$839.26($267.74)
1/8/0139COG$1,121.37$776.10($345.28)
1/8/0114QCOM$1,057.62$660.24($397.39)
1/8/018LH$1,077.50$649.68($427.82)
1/8/0118BA$1,071.50$600.48($471.02)
1/8/019DGX$1,030.44$552.78($477.66)
12/27/9918GM$1,318.62$765.90($552.73)
12/27/9920EK$1,301.75$649.80($651.95)
1/8/0120PVN$1,110.00$400.80($709.20)
1/8/0115NEWP$1,124.37$209.55($914.83)
 
Cash: 
Total: 
$10.80
$15,681.03
 

Key
• S&P 500 (DA) = dividend adjusted. Dividends have been added to the total return of the index.
• DJIA (DA) = dividend adjusted. Dividends have been added to the total return of the DJIA.

Note
Note: The Workshop Portfolio was launched on December 24, 1998, with $4,000 which was invested in the Foolish Four strategy. Approximately $15,000 was added on January 8, 2001, to support five additional mechanical strategies. At that time approximately $1000 was transfered out of the Foolish Four strategy to bring the Foolish Four into balance with the other strategies. (That's why the Foolish Four's overall return is not consistent with stock values.) Such rebalancing will take place each year among the strategies so that each will start out with approximately the same value at the begining of the year. No more cash additions are planned. The first four tables above show the overall performance of the portfolio. Below that we also track the performance of each component strategy. All transactions are announced publicly before being made, and returns are compared daily to the S&P 500 and the Dow. (Dividends are included in the yearly, historic and annualized returns.) Stocks are chosen using strategies developed by the Workshop community.