Post of the Day
August 31, 1998
Dell Computer Folder
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Subject: Self Fulfilling Prophecy
Dell goes up and the board lights up in cheers about how great it is, and where it's going, and the posts increase. We all forget how close we can to being stampeded into selling just 2 weeks, 10 days or only a few days previously. We all point out and share why Dell is so great and why we were smart to stay long. Some even share how they tripped and sold taking a hickey in the process.
Then bad things in the world happen, the media touts the gloom and doom. The media calls up all the bear analysts to tell us why we are getting ready to be flushed and we start looking for it and sharing it with more doom and gloom upon us. Next, we are all beginning to scramble and there is plenty of things to find and read about how bad things look, comparing how todays situation is nearly like 70 years ago or 2 years ago, etc.
|"We have the same fears and human emotions. They rule us and if we feed them, they will cause us to react just like before."|
Today is today, guys! There are lots of things about today that are not like yesteryear. Unfortunately, the one thing we have today that is the same as yesteryear is us. We have the same fears and human emotions. They rule us and if we feed them, they will cause us to react just like before.
Friends, don't you see what we are doing to ourselves? We are going to look in the tea leaves and see the end of the world, the doomsday repeated or more likely, we will think we see it and bring it to pass by our own emotions and fear. My God folks, we will think and react by what we read and with whom we associate because we have the fear and emotion of yesteryear. However, we have this internet and this board as a platform to support each other or to scare one another in to a panic. The choice is ours and it effects us all. We are simply feeding on and fueling the fear by looking under every rock for the worse case scenario.
How about doing some looking for the good things that may tell a different story or better yet, just stop sharing the stuff that is purely speculative to scare each other into believing the end is here. None of us know that and we know plenty who have said so and missed. Said enough times, someone will be right but there are plenty of analysts and media people who can and will fuel this fire.
|"How about doing some looking for the good things that may tell a different story or better yet, just stop sharing the stuff that is purely speculative to scare each other into believing the end is here."|
With all due respects to those on this board who are so far above me that I can't see the light of the sun coming over their heads, let me sound a note of concern. I am concerned that the bottom doesn't have to fall our from under us less we beat ourselves into believing it's coming and stampede in fear. Once the panic starts, we will have no one to blame but ourselves. I think a lot of our future is in our own hands and how it turns out is up to us. A little more encouragement and a little less scare talk may serve everyone better. As MaudDib said, it ain't here yet so no reason to react in haste. Don't let us all be our own worse enemy. Maud layed out the plan, now lets all see if we can find a reason why we don't have to implement it.
Go Dell and may we all have this burden lifted from our plate.
P.S. my wife just read this and says she doesn't believe I wrote it but I did.
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