Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM) Q3 2019 Earnings Call Transcript

Bright Horizons Family Solutions (BFAM 1.71%)
Q3 2019 Earnings Call
Oct 30, 2019, 5:00 p.m. ET

Contents:

• Prepared Remarks
• Questions and Answers
• Call Participants

Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Greetings, and welcome to Bright Horizons Family Solutions third-quarter 2019 earnings conference call. [Operator instructions] Please note this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the conference over to your host, Elizabeth Boland, chief financial officer. Please go ahead.

Elizabeth Boland -- Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Chantelle, and hello to everybody on today's call. With me today are Stephen Kramer, our chief executive officer; and Dave Lissy, our executive chair. I'll turn the call over to Stephen after covering a few administrative matters. As Chantelle just mentioned, today's call is being recorded and webcast and a recording will be available under the Investor Relations section of our website at brighthorizons.com.

As a reminder to participants, any forward-looking statements made on this call, including those regarding future financial performance are subject to the Safe Harbor statement included in our earnings release. Forward-looking statements inherently involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual operating results and financial results to differ materially and they are described in detail in our 2018 Form 10-K. Any forward-looking statements speaks only as of the date on which it's made and we undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements. We also refer today to non-GAAP financial measures, which are detailed and reconciled to their GAAP counterparts in our earnings release, which is available under the IR section of our website.

Stephen will now take us through the review and update on the business.

Stephen Kramer -- Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Elizabeth, and thanks to all of you who have joined us this evening. As always, on today's call, I'll review our financial and operating results for this past quarter and will provide you with our updated outlook for 2019 and initial view on 2020. Elizabeth will then follow with a more detailed review of the numbers before we open it up for your questions. As we near the end of 2019, we continue to be really pleased with the performance against our goals for the year and with the progress we're making in our various initiatives to drive both near and long-term growth across all of our business segments.

For the quarter, revenue grew 8.5% to $512 million. And adjusted earnings per share of $0.86, increased 18% from last year. We added 12 full-service centers this past quarter, including locations for Stanford University and Jackson Healthcare. And expanded our back-up care in ed advisory client portfolios with recent launches for Boeing and Cedars-Sinai Medical Center.

Our cross-selling efforts also continued to yield results. Our sales and account management teams are working diligently to broaden our existing client relationships by extending their investment into additional services. Several clients launched a second or third service with us in this past quarter, including Bayer, Charles Schwab and LinkedIn. At the same time, as it relates to clients deepening their commitment to existing services, Biogen and the University of California, both opened additional centers in Q3.

And we are thrilled to transition the management of two self-operated centers for The Walt Disney Company. This was a great example of the strength of our existing relationships with other Disney operating companies, including ESPN and Fox. Our expertise in managing complex client relationships and our reputation for operating high-quality programs. Opportunities like this illustrate the addressable market potential that exist within our existing client base.

Tracking our solid top-line growth, we also continue to deliver strong and consistent operating results across the business. In the third quarter, continuing the trend we delivered in the first half of the year, adjusted operating income grew 13% and expanded 50 basis points to 12.3% of revenue. In our full service segment, we continue to leverage solid enrollment gains for mature centers and from our newer client and lease/consortium centers that are ramping to mature operating levels. We also had strong utilization of services in both our back-up and ed advisory operations.

And we were gratified to see the benefits from our investments in technology and targeted marketing programs. These initiatives geared toward improving the end user and client partner experience, we'll continue to support the business in achieving our long-term growth and operating leverage targets over time. I am also excited to announce our acquisition of a small division of GP Strategies, focused on tuition program management earlier this month. This acquisition expands our EdAssist client portfolio by adding a mix of new and existing clients to the Bright Horizons family, including AMD and United Technologies.

As part of this transaction, we've entered into a partnership with GP Strategies, a leader in customized training to collectively market to and support employers across the full continuum of education solutions. We welcome the GP Strategies tuition program management team and clients to the Bright Horizons family and look forward to growth opportunities in the future. In addition to this exciting opportunity in our ed advisory business, let me also touch on other strategic growth areas we focused on as we close out 2019 and start to look ahead to 2020. The headline is that we're really pleased with the momentum we have across all aspects of our business.

First, our organic growth strategy continues to be focused on cultivating new clients and expanding our existing client relationships through cross sells and additional use of current services. The sales pipelines in each of our services remains strong with interest across industries and with both new and existing clients. Next, our lease/consortium centers. We have now opened nearly 100 of these centers over the last six-plus years.

With focus on select urban settings where we see: one, a concentrated population of our targeted demographic; two, a limited supply of high-quality child care; and three, strong opportunities to meet the needs of our client partners in these locations. We're continue to be encouraged by the progress and positive contribution from this group of centers as they ramp to mature operating levels. And we are optimistic about the significant value-creation opportunity of this strategy. With our growing density of centers in major metropolitan areas, we are an increasingly attractive partner to leading employers located across these markets.

Finally, with regard to M&A. We continue to cultivate a solid pipeline of acquisition prospects that meet our high-quality and performance thresholds. While the timing of center acquisitions can be lumpy, our diversified model provide us opportunities from time to time to acquire non-center businesses, like My Family Care in the first quarter of 2019 and the GP Strategies' tuition management division earlier this month. While similar in scale to the tuck-in acquisitions we see in the full service business, these strategic additions enable us to further solidify our leadership position in our back-up and educational advising segments.

As we have throughout our history, we expect acquisitions to continue to be a key element of our growth plan in the years ahead. Now let me update you on our 2019 outlook. We expect continued strong performance with revenue growth projected in the range of 8% to 9% for the full year, including the ongoing effects of lower FX. And adjusted earnings per share in the range of $3.61 and $3.64.

Finally, I also wanted to provide some initial perspective on 2020. We believe we're well-positioned to continue the positive momentum we've demonstrated over many years. While we're not yet providing detailed guidance for next year, we anticipate a continuation of this year's performance with revenue growth in the range of 8% to 10% and sustained operating margin leverage driving low- to mid-teens adjusted earnings per-share growth in 2020. With that, Elizabeth can review the numbers in more detail and I'll be back with you during Q&A.

Elizabeth Boland -- Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Stephen, and once again, recapping the headlines for the quarter. Overall revenue was up $40 million or 8.5% in the quarter. On a segment basis, our full service business expanded 6.2% or $24 million driven by rate increases, enrollment gains and contributions from new centers, including about 1.5% from acquisitions. Foreign exchange rates created approximately 150 basis points of headwind to the full-service growth for the quarter.

So on a common-currency basis, this segment expanded 7.7%. Our back-up division generated another strong quarter with 20% top-line growth driven by new client launches, strong utilization and contributions from My Family Care in the U.K. Ed advisory services grew 15% on new client launches and expanded use by our existing base. In Q3, gross profit increased $12 million to $125 million or 24.5% of revenue, and adjusted operating income increased $7 million to $62.8 million or as Stephen mentioned, 12.3% of revenue, up 50 basis points from last year.

On a segment basis, full service adjusted operating income expanded 20 basis points to 9% on gains from enrollment growth in our mature ramping centers, contributions from new and acquired centers and tuition increases. The back-up and ed advising segments, both generated solid operating margins in the quarter, approximately 25% and 29%, respectively. As we've discussed in the past, the top-line growth in these segments contributes to margin expansion over time, even as margins can vary from period to period depending on the timing of our new client launches and the service utilization levels and the timing of certain marketing and technology spending, which supports the growth. In some other line items, interest expense of $11 million decreased $800,000 in Q3 compared to last year on lower average revolver borrowings and modestly lower interest rates.

Our current borrowing cost approximates 4% with $500 million or about half of our term loans fixed with an interest rate swap. We ended the quarter at 2.6 times net debt to EBITDA. With our improved operating performance and positive working capital movements, we continue to generate strong cash flow. Through September of this year, cash flow from operations was $273 million, up $33 million from last year.

In terms of our capital allocation strategy, our first priority continues to be investments in growth of the business, followed by share repurchases under our existing authorization. Through September of this year, we've invested $67 million on new centers and acquisitions. And $12 million on share repurchases. At September 30 of '19, we operated 1,083 centers with the capacity to serve more than 120,000 children.

And across all of our service lines, we partner with more than 1,100 clients. And now adding to the guidance headlines that Stephen touched on earlier, we're projecting top-line growth for the full year in the range of 8% to 9% over 2018. This reflects approximately 2% contribution from acquisitions, including around $8 million to $9 million from My Family Care, and $1 million to $2 million contribution from the GP Strategies tuition program management. In addition, we expect foreign exchange headwinds for the overall business of 1.25% to 1.5% for the full year on continued lower pound and euro rates.

On the operating side for 2019, we expect to add approximately 1% to 2% to the top line from enrollments in our mature and ramping centers and to realize price increases in the range of 3.5% to 4% across our P&L center network. Based on centers scheduled to open up or be acquired by the end of this year, we now expect to add approximately 40 centers. These drivers of top-line growth, coupled with cost management, efficiency in our service delivery, contribute to improved operating margin performance, which we project to be in the range of 50 to 60 basis points for the year. On some other key metrics for the full-year 2019, we're estimating amortization of $34 million, depreciation of $75 million, and stock compensation between $17 million and $18 million.

Based on our outstanding borrowings and estimates of interest rates for the rest of the year, we're projecting interest expense of approximately $46 million. On the tax front, we're now projecting the structural tax rate to approximate 22% for the full year. And lastly, weighted average shares outstanding are projected to be $59 million for the year. At this point in the year, we're estimating that we'll generate approximately $310 million to $320 million of cash flow from operations, and have $45 million of maintenance capital, yielding $265 million to $275 million of free cash flow to invest in the ongoing growth of the business.

We expect to invest $50 million to $55 million in new center capital for centers that are opening this year and in early 2020. The combination of all these factors lead to our projection of adjusted net income of $212 million to $214 million, and adjusted EPS growth in the low double digits to a range of $3.61 to $3.64 a share for 2019. So with that, Chantelle, we're ready to go to Q&A.

Questions & Answers:

Operator

[Operator instructions] Your first question comes from George Tong, Goldman Sachs. Go ahead, please.

George Tong -- Goldman Sachs -- Analyst

Hi, thanks. Good afternoon. Thanks for providing the preliminary outlook for 2020. You'd indicated expectations of revenue growth of 8% to 10% with low to mid-teens EPS growth helped by some margin expansion.

Can you discuss how the pieces for 2020 might look different in terms of the bridge to that growth compared to 2019? Do you expect, for instance, enrollment tuition or new center openings to have a different growth profile in next year versus this year?

Stephen Kramer -- Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. Good evening, George. Thank you for the question. So we have an expectation that we will continue to see very similar characteristics as we saw in 2019 as it relates to the composition of the growth in the margin improvement.

So again, I think that we're very excited about the prospects for 2020. And feel like those of you who have dialed in to 2019, will see similar type of performance in 2020.

George Tong -- Goldman Sachs -- Analyst

Got it. That's helpful. And then to switch gears to discuss Germany, can you provide some preliminary updates on how the PME partnership is progressing there and whether the initial expansion in Germany can potentially open up the market there further for BFAM?

Stephen Kramer -- Chief Executive Officer

Sure. So it is still very early days in the relationship. Obviously, we've known the folks at PME for a number of years, but now we have sort of a front row seat into the actual business and are getting a front row seat into the market. So first I'd say, it's early days.

That said, we have started to have some really good conversations with clients here in the U.S., who have demonstrated interest in Germany. And at the same time, we've started to get to understand the best ways to leverage the PME position that we have to the benefit of our client base. In terms of looking out into the future and the expansion in Germany, I would say it's still really early to make an assessment. But I'm very pleased to have the insights that we're already starting to garner about that market.

George Tong -- Goldman Sachs -- Analyst

Very helpful. Thank you.

Stephen Kramer -- Chief Executive Officer

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Manav Patnaik. Go ahead, please.

Manav Patnaik -- Analyst

Thank you. Good evening, guys. You know just on 2020, again, I mean it sounds like this year at least, none of the geopolitical events and uncertainties seem to have impacted your business really. And so I guess looking out next year, I'm presuming we should expect more of the same but these elections, one way or the other has any preference in your end?

Stephen Kramer -- Chief Executive Officer

Yes. So in terms of the global piece, obviously, the piece with the greatest amount of continued uncertainty that we have had this year, and it appears sort of not clarity going into next year is Brexit. Obviously, we have a strong portfolio that performs in the U.K. That said, as we shared on the last call and I'll share again today, we have seen pockets, where we believe that people are transferring out of the country and/or the uncertainty, has caused us some challenge on the enrollment side.

That said, it is at this point, still, again, in pockets as opposed to something that we're seeing more pervasively. In terms of the elections here in the U.S., I think that we continue to hear a lot around child care and other issues. Our experience suggest that both the Republicans and the Democrats have a long history of prioritizing and showing and sharing commitment around child care. With the biggest challenge over the years being the financial resources to back-up the promises that are often made during the election cycle.

So at this point, we continue to listen closely, but if our 30-plus years of history and listening to the rhetoric in the election cycles is any indication, we don't suspect that there will be large changes that would have any material impact on our business.

Manav Patnaik -- Analyst

Got it. And just to follow up on strategy and so forth, I think you guys just concluded your forum session internally there. And I was just curious like is there -- like cross sell, for example, that you called out earlier in the call. Is that more of an effort to get that going.

I mean, I know there's a lot more new logos, but if you'd like to cross sell, it should be an easier opportunity? Or am I wrong in thinking that?

Stephen Kramer -- Chief Executive Officer

Yes. So first of all, just to reference what I think you were referencing, Manav. So we just had our New York City client forum. We had over 120 of our clients in New York City at one of our clients, The New York Times, for a day of sessions around depending care strategies and benefit strategies in general.

It is the largest regional conference that we have held in terms of the number of clients who participated. It was a very energizing experience. There is a lot of conversation around employers wanting to differentiate themselves through their benefits and specifically in the area of child care, dependent care and workforce planning around education. So we're really excited to hear all of the energy around that.

What I would say in terms of cross-selling is we continue to see really good opportunities and closing opportunities in that area. This quarter, we are at -- nearly 25% of our client base are now multi-service client. So they buy more than one service and it's opportunities like these client forums where we really allow for our clients to tell our story, and their story. And so it was wonderful to hear the number of clients who were talking about wanting to invest across the services.

Manav Patnaik -- Analyst

All right, guys. Thank you, guys.

Stephen Kramer -- Chief Executive Officer

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Andrew Steinerman, JP Morgan. Go ahead, please.

Andrew Steinerman -- J.P. Morgan -- Analyst

Hi, Elizabeth. Did you say 50 to 60 basis point of margin expansion for 2019? And wasn't the range broader kind of earlier in the year? And as we look into 2020, is there anything to suggest that the range for margin expansion might be tightening up?

Elizabeth Boland -- Chief Financial Officer

Well, I did say 50 to 60. It's sort of the stage of the year where we have the visibility into how the year is playing out. And I think as Stephen alluded to, Andrew, the view next year is this preliminary will have more to say about the details of it on our next call. I think structurally, we feel good about the components of how the growth is, both in the pipeline to come in and what we -- what the factors of what we can deliver in terms of the contributions from the different lines of business, the different geographies and the continued leverage in our centers that are ramping in.

So I think that the reason we give a range is that the performance is -- has components of it that are dependent on timing of a variety of things. So we feel good about the long-term opportunity in that range at this stage, and we'll just give more details next quarter.

Andrew Steinerman -- J.P. Morgan -- Analyst

OK. Thank you.

Elizabeth Boland -- Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. Thanks, Andrew.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Gary Bisbee, Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Go ahead, please.

Gary Bisbee -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

Hey, good afternoon. I guess the first question, Stephen, you had a comment about talking about lease/consortium strategy. And you said that as you are increasing the density in select markets, it's -- I don't know if you said increasingly attractive, but becoming viewed as attractive to employers across those markets. I guess that's -- are you referring to capacity to support continued back-up growth? Or are you seeing -- what I would term new but maybe you could tell me if it's not, opportunities for employees are taking capacity in the full service across multiple of those centers.

What are you really getting at? Thanks.

Stephen Kramer -- Chief Executive Officer

Yes. So Gary, thank you for picking up on that. Certainly, as we are densifying in these metro areas. And I did say exactly what you just quoted, "We are becoming an increasingly attractive" we've always been attractive, but increasingly attractive partner to employers that are looking to have capacity across centers.

And so, yes, the answer is certainly, from a back-up capacity standpoint, the density in these metro areas is increasingly important for us to fulfill on the commitments that we're making on the back-up side of our business. But in addition to that, we're seeing a real interest from employers who are interested in taking capacity in these centers for the benefit of their employees that are living and working in these metro areas. So I think it comes in both flavors, both back-up, as well as full service enrollment commitments that employers are making. And as we continue to build out and as this strategy continues to mature, we think that's a real competitive advantage in these markets.

Gary Bisbee -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

Thanks. And then it's been, I guess, a year and a half since you began -- more than that now since you began the stepped-up tech investments last year. Can you give us a look back now that we're further into it, like how your efforts around marketing and consumer absent what not? Is that having an impact on utilization? Are you seeing whether it's satisfaction scores or other improving? What's the update on how that's done a while later?

Stephen Kramer -- Chief Executive Officer

Sure. So as it relates to the tech investments, we've been really focused in two areas. One is around user experience, in making the user experience more seamless. And then the second has been around marketing efforts, digital marketing efforts, specifically that are personalized to the end-user.

And I think in both regards, we're seeing really good outcomes. So on making the experience more seamless, we're really proud. We just recently reintroduced and relaunched our mobile app on the back-up side. And again, the feedback has been quite strong.

We're already seeing nice increases in terms of the number of back-up users that are leveraging the mobile app as a complement to both our web portal, as well as contacting our contact center. So that's an example of creating that seamless experience. And we believe that with that, we have instant book and other ways that we're making our experience more real-time on-demand and ultimately easier for the end user. At the same time, on the digital marketing side, I think we are absolutely seeing good progress.

And I think it's already showing itself, for example, again, in the back-up growth rate, where we're starting to see a slight step up as it relates to use. And I think a lot of that comes down to the fact that we are finding strong personalized messages that are really resonating with the end-user and prompting them to use the service more than they would do on an unprompted basis. And so examples of that are, we're certainly going back to registered users who haven't used in six months or never used since they registered. We have examples where we're helping employers who are really focused on getting employees who are on maternity leave back to work, with maternity and transition to work programs.

And really targeting individuals that have a particular profile or need and helping them to see the value of using that service. So I hope that gives you a flavor of the kinds of outcomes that we're seeing in terms of use. And then also in terms of enhanced user experience and feedback.

Gary Bisbee -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

That's great. And then just one quick one for Elizabeth. Just any comment you can give on the size of this tuition program management acquisition?

Elizabeth Boland -- Chief Financial Officer

Yes. So they contribute on -- it's about $1 million to $2 million in the fourth quarter of this year. So sort of in that range of, call it, $5 million to $7 million, $8 million of annualized revenue.

Gary Bisbee -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

Great. Thank you.

Elizabeth Boland -- Chief Financial Officer

Welcome.

Operator

Thank you. [Operator instructions] Your next question comes from Henry Chien, BMO Capital Markets. Go ahead, please.

Henry Chien -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

Hey, guys, thanks. Good afternoon. I'm always very impressed by the consistency of the model. I was just curious to get your sense of, perhaps, the demand from corporate -- your corporate customers for child care, whether that's changing at all? And I'm just sort of thinking out loud in terms of whether demographics are having an impact of more families having children? Or perhaps more working mothers joining the workforce and so forth.

Just kind of, again, want to get your sense of that, just to add some color to the consistent guidance that you're putting.

Stephen Kramer -- Chief Executive Officer

Yes. So in terms of the corporate market and the employers that we are selling into and servicing, we see really good strength in their interest in the services that we provide. As you'll appreciate, we are in an environment where there is a real focus on the war for talent and differentiating yourself as an employer and being attractive to individuals that have different needs at different life stages. And so the proposition that we have whether that be in early childhood education, whether that be in the teens transitioning to college, whether that be employees going back to work -- sorry, going back to school, you will certainly see that employers are very interested in the kinds of things that we have on offer.

In terms of the backdrop to that, we are certainly seeing that as employees and parents are older when they have their first child, that has certainly been a positive trend for us over a number of years because certainly, they are more valuable to their employer as they are later in their career and losing them is a bigger financial challenge for the employer. I think the other piece of it is that as the benefits that we offer become more pervasive in employer's, it becomes a real competitive necessity whether that be on a geographic basis or whether it be within an industry. And so we are certainly seeing that play out geographically and within industries, where people are looking to be competitive from an employment proposition with other employers. So we're finding, certainly, the current market and the context to be a real positive for our business.

Henry Chien -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

OK. That's great. Thank you so much.

Stephen Kramer -- Chief Executive Officer

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Jeff Meuler from Baird. Go ahead, please.

Jeff Meuler -- Robert W. Baird and Company -- Analyst

Yeah. Thank you. Two follow-ups to the way you answered Gary's first question. How much of the lease/consortium center capacity has some sort of enrollment commitment from employer, partners or other sponsors across the system?

Elizabeth Boland -- Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. I think that it's a -- from a statistical standpoint, Jeff, its probably doesn't add up to much across the system. But in these particular markets, where we have this concentration. So looking at that as a subset, it may be anywhere from 5% to 10% of the capacity, may be taken up in this way.

And it, obviously, varies by center but that's probably the order of magnitude.

Jeff Meuler -- Robert W. Baird and Company -- Analyst

OK. And then just on the increased recognition to the value to the employer from having that density. I guess, is it extending the recognition of that? Is it extending into sales for full-service employer-sponsored centers, meaning getting over the hurdle that, I think, you faced in the past around benefits the quality, benefits envy, if you only have a benefit for headquarter employees?

Stephen Kramer -- Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. I think that is certainly the case, Jeff. So what we have in terms of the network and the breadth of our network is certainly something that is attractive to employees that have employees in disparate locations around the country. But likewise, for those who have concentrated populations that may not have real estate, for example, of their own, it also is another opportunity for them to get involved in child care without providing space that they have otherwise allocated in a different way.

So I think it comes in both of those two ways. One, for those that have disparate employees in making sure that network works for their employee base. And at the same time, for those that have a concentrated workforce and have a need within a particular geography. But may not have space, it also is very helpful to them.

Jeff Meuler -- Robert W. Baird and Company -- Analyst

Got it. And then just last for me. Can you just kind of give us reviews on how you perceive Brexit risk to the business either from potential lead clients moving headquarters out of the U.K? Or I don't know if there's any risk in your employee base. Thanks.

Stephen Kramer -- Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. So on the Brexit side, different from our business here in the U.S. where the majority of our centers are for a specific single sponsored employers. In the U.K., we have much more of a lease/consortium model.

So the majority of our centers that we operate in the U.K. are lease/consortium that have the benefit of sponsorship either from a broad range of clients and/or individuals, who are enrolling in the community in which they live and work who work at different employers. So I would say that the risk concentration in the U.K. related to Brexit is fairly modest.

So the number of centers that are for single sponsors, who may decide to exit London, for example, is pretty low. So we believe that if, for example, certain employers started to exit, our hope would be that individuals that are working for other firms would come in behind them and enroll in our centers. So again, because we don't have as many single sponsored relationships in the U.K., we think that the risk is much more federated.

Jeff Meuler -- Robert W. Baird and Company -- Analyst

Thank you.

Stephen Kramer -- Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Jeff.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Toni Kaplan, Morgan Stanley. Go ahead, please.

Toni Kaplan -- Morgan Stanley -- Analyst

Thanks very much. In your comment on the guidance, you mentioned that you're expecting to open 40 new centers this year. And I think last quarter, you had given a number of more like 45 to 50. And so I was just wondering what the cadence is in terms of the change? What's driving that slower change of -- pace of opening centers?

Elizabeth Boland -- Chief Financial Officer

Right. Yeah, it pretty much comes down to the number of acquisitions in the full service segment that we expect to complete this year, Toni. Typical year, we would be looking to add acquisition, overall acquisition growth that contributes to revenue in the range of about 2% of our top-line growth, 1% to 2%. We have that this year, but it's coming from some acquisitions in the back-up in Ed Advising business.

And on the full service side, we think we will complete somewhere more like six to eight center acquisitions this year rather than maybe a more normalized range of 13 to 15 in a typical year. So it really comes down to the numbers of acquisitions that we're closing in. Just as a note, I think its one of the hallmarks of our strategy, we certainly do grow through acquisition. There's a lot of great high-quality providers out there but we want to be very disciplined about the centers that we're adding to the portfolio.

And so that takes a fair amount of cultivation of prospects and sort of really a lot of screening. So it will be -- it will continue to be a bit lumpy even though we plan to execute on them each year.

Toni Kaplan -- Morgan Stanley -- Analyst

That's great. And that seasons perfectly my next question. So just given your leverage is comfortably within your target level. Could you talk about your propensity to do a large deal, if there are any adjacencies that you'd be particularly interested in or at geographies? And just how to think about your M&A strategy?

Stephen Kramer -- Chief Executive Officer

Sure. So we absolutely are open-minded as it relates to the acquisitions that we do assuming that they are high-quality and meet our financial parameters. What I would say is that in the geographies in which we currently operate, there are really good examples of smaller tuck-in acquisitions, some larger acquisitions, as well as especially outside the United States. Certainly, our propensity as we think about expansion beyond the countries that we currently operate in, that would likely be through acquisition.

And so could very well be through a small, medium or a larger sized acquisition. We also work very closely with our clients to understand what are the services that they would naturally be looking for from us to be delivering on. And so the client forum that Manav mentioned earlier was a great example of us being out in the market, listening to our clients to understand what adjacencies exist to our existing services to be really thoughtful about how we broaden our portfolio of services.

Toni Kaplan -- Morgan Stanley -- Analyst

Thank you.

Stephen Kramer -- Chief Executive Officer

Thank you. All right. Well, thanks, everyone, for joining the call, and I hope everyone has a great night and a night Halloween tomorrow.

Elizabeth Boland -- Chief Financial Officer

Yes. Thanks, everyone. See you on the road.

Operator

[Operator signoff]

Duration: 48 minutes

Call participants:

Elizabeth Boland -- Chief Financial Officer

Stephen Kramer -- Chief Executive Officer

George Tong -- Goldman Sachs -- Analyst

Manav Patnaik -- Analyst

Andrew Steinerman -- J.P. Morgan -- Analyst

Gary Bisbee -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

Henry Chien -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

Jeff Meuler -- Robert W. Baird and Company -- Analyst

Toni Kaplan -- Morgan Stanley -- Analyst

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