Sonoco Products Co (SON) Q3 2021 Earnings Call Transcript

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Sonoco Products Co (SON 0.85%)
Q3 2021 Earnings Call
Oct 21, 2021, 11:00 a.m. ET

Contents:

• Prepared Remarks
• Questions and Answers
• Call Participants

Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Thank you for standing by and welcome to the Q3 2021 Sonoco Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]. I would now like to hand the conference over to your host, VP of Investor Relations, Roger Schrum. Please go ahead.

Roger Schrum -- Vice President of Investor Relations & Corporate Affairs

Thank you Keith and good morning everyone and welcome to Sonoco's Third Quarter Investor Conference Call. Joining me today are Howard Coker, President and Chief Executive Officer, Rodger Fuller, Executive Vice President and Julie Albrecht, Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.

A news release reporting our financial results was issued before the market opened today and is available in the Investor Relations website at sonoco.com. In addition, we will reference a presentation on our third quarter results, which also was posted on the website this morning.

Before we go further, let me remind you that today's call and presentation contains a number of forward-looking statements based on current expectations, estimates and projections. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to certain risks and uncertainties. Therefore, actual results may differ materially. Furthermore, today's presentation includes the use of non-GAAP financial measures, which management believes provides useful information to investors about the company's financial condition and results of operation. Further information about the company's use of non-GAAP financial measures including definitions as well as reconciliations of those measures to the most closely related GAAP measure is also available in the Investor Relations section of our website.

Now with that, let me turn it over to Julie.

Julie Albrecht -- Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

Thanks Roger.

I'll begin on slide 3 where you see that earlier this morning we have reported third quarter earnings per share on a GAAP basis of $1.12 and base earnings of $0.91 per share, which is just above the midpoint of our guidance range of $0.87 to $0.93 per share and $0.05 higher than the base EPS we delivered in the third quarter of last year. At a high level, we experienced strong volume growth in many of our businesses, but our third quarter operational results continue to be impacted by significant cost inflation and supply chain challenges. In terms of the $0.21 difference between base and GAAP EPS the largest item was the $0.30 per share benefit from the use of additional foreign tax credits on our recently amended 2017 U.S. income tax return. Next, we recognized $0.03 per share in GAAP earnings related to net restructuring and asset impairment expenses. And finally, there was a $0.06 impact from a variety of adjustments including approximately $11 million in discrete income tax expense items, partially offset by $5 million of after-tax net gain running through operating profit.

Now moving to our base income statement on Slide 4, and starting with the topline, you see that sales were $1.415 billion, up $130 million or almost 8% from the prior year period. I'll review more details about our key sales drivers on the sales bridge in just a moment. Gross profit was $258 million, a $1 million increase over the prior year's quarter. This resulted in gross profit as a percent of sales of 18.2% compared to 19.6% last year. SG&A expenses, net of other income were $135 million, an increase of $9 million year-over-year. This increase was expected and key drivers were higher expenses for normalized management incentives, group medical activity as well as strategic IT projects. So all of that resulting in third quarter 2021 operating profit of $122 million, and I'll discuss the key drivers on the operating profit bridge in a few minutes.

Net interest expense of $14 million was $5 million below last year due to reduced debt balances and a more favorable mix of fixed and floating rate debt. Income tax expense of $20 million was $7 million below last year due to our lower effective tax rate of 18.1% compared to last year's 24.1%. Much of this lower tax rate was anticipated, but we did recognize an increased benefit from project work related to R&D tax credit. Moving down to net income, our third quarter 2021 base earnings were $91 million, an increase of almost 5% compared to the $87 million that we generated last year.

Now looking at the sales bridge on slide 5, you see that volume was higher by $43 million or almost 4% for the company after removing the display and packaging sales divested from 2020. Overall, all segments experienced demand recovery or continued strong pandemic-driven volumes, although there was a diverse mix of volume trends within our various markets. Consumer packaging volume mix was up $6 million or 1.1% as very strong growth in Flexibles was mostly offset by lower demand in both global rigid paper containers and plastic foods. In our industrial Paper Packaging segment volume mix was up $25 million or just over 5% with a continued surge in post COVID economic recovery across most of these operations. Our global tubes, cores and cones franchise volume rose by approximately 12%, and our global paper business increased by almost 3%. Finally, our all other group volume mix growth of $12 million are almost 8% when excluding the impact of Display and Packaging from 2020 sales. This was primarily driven by a very strong rebound in Industrial plastics at almost 45% and solid demand at ThermoSafe, which grew by 6%.

Moving to price, you see that. Selling prices were higher year-over-year by $161 million as we continue to increase prices to battle inflation globally. This was mostly driven by our industrial segment as we work to recover escalating OCC, freight, labor and energy costs. In both our Consumer segment and all other group we have also been acting on price increases to recover the significant inflation in resins and other operating costs.

Moving to acquisitions and divestitures, you see a topline negative impact of $111 million, which is driven by the divestitures of our Display and Packaging Europe and the U.S. operations, partially offset by the can packaging acquisition completed in August of last year. And finally, the sales impact from foreign exchange and other was positive by $9 million. The primary driver is approximately $30 million of foreign exchange gain associated with a weaker U.S. dollar year-over-year.

Moving to the operating profit bridge on Slide 6 and starting with volume mix, our higher sales volume of $43 million combined with the impact of mix had a positive impact on operating profit of $13 million. Shifting to price cost, I will remind you that this category includes the earnings benefit from higher selling prices as well as the impact of total inflation. In the third quarter, we had a $14 million unfavorable price cost impact with most of this falling in our Consumer Packaging segment. In our Industrial segment we faced continuing increases in OCC costs during the third quarter. As usual, there is a slide in the appendix that shows recent OCC price trends and you'll see that Southeast OCC official board market pricing was $125 per ton in June and increased to $195 per ton in September, resulting in an average of $175 per ton in the third quarter. This represents a $105 increase relative to the third quarter of last year and a $68 per ton sequential increase just over this year's second quarter.

Next is the impact of total productivity, which includes all results from our productivity actions, including manufacturing, procurement and fixed cost. You see that our total productivity contributed $15 million year-over-year with the favorable impact being predominantly driven in our consumer segment.

Moving to acquisitions and divestitures, the $10 million decrease in operating profit is the net impact from the divestiture of our global Display and Packaging businesses and our Can Packaging acquisition. And finally, the operating profit change and FX and other was unfavorable by $12 million with various moving pieces, but mostly within SG&A expenses.

Moving to the segment analysis on slide 7, you see that Consumer Packaging sales were up by 9.7% driven by higher selling prices, which were mostly implemented to offset cost inflation. Consumer segment operating profits fell by 5,4% driven by unfavorable price cost, but with a positive impact from their strong productivity results. Our Consumer segment margin declined to 10.2% versus the third quarter of last year when the margin was 11.8%. Our Industrial segment sales grew by almost 30% due to year-over-year price increases as well as recovering demand from pandemic lows last year. Our Industrial segment's operating profit surged by 30% driven by the global turnaround in demand as well as procurement productivity. Our Industrial segment's margin profile was unchanged compared to last year at 8.4%. All other sales declined by just over 34% driven by the sale of the Display and Packaging businesses, but this was partially offset by volume mix growth as well as price increases. Operating profit in all other decreased by almost 68% due to the Display and Packaging divestiture and price cost headwinds. Margins declined to 4.5% from the prior year's 9.1%. So for the total company sales were up almost 8% and operating profit declined by 6% resulting in a companywide operating margin of 8.6%.

Moving to cash flow, in the middle of slide 8, you see that our year-to-date third quarter operating cash flow was $220 million compared with $490 million last year. But back to the top of this slide, I'll note that we had a year-to-date GAAP net loss of $150 million compared to a profit of $290 million in the prior year period. Most of this decrease relates to the $404 million after tax and non-cash settlement charge related to our pension termination process that was substantially completed in the second quarter. This leaves us with several primary drivers to our lower operating cash flow. One is the $133 million pension contribution related to the pension termination process. Next is the $59 million increased use of cash by working capital driven both by inflation and by a greater increase in business activity year-over-year. And finally, we had a $35 million negative impact related to last year's COVID-related FICA deferrals that were partially paid in this year's third quarter.

Moving down to our year-to-date capex spend, our net spend was $146 million this year compared to $108 million for the same period last year. This $38 million increase is mostly due to the spending on Project Horizon. This takes us to free cash flow of $74 million compared with $381 million for the same period last year. This $307 million decrease again is mostly driven by the pension termination process, increased working capital and higher capex spend. I'll note that we paid cash dividends of $35 million year-to-date this year compared to $129 million for the same period of 2020.

On slide 9, you see that our balance sheet and our liquidity position remains very strong and reflects several strategic actions implemented through the first 9 months of this year. Our third quarter ending 2021 consolidated cash balance was $160 million, a $405 million decrease from year-end 2020. This decrease was driven by significant deployments of cash this year which have included the accelerated share repurchase of $150 million, almost $500 million of long-term debt repayments and the already mentioned $133 million of pension contributions. These cash uses uses were somewhat offset by the Display and Packaging U.S. divestiture gross proceeds of around $80 million, operating cash flow generation, as well as commercial paper borrowings. Our consolidated debt was approximately $1.5 billion at the end of the third quarter, a decrease of $231 million from year-end and reflecting the debt portfolio actions that I just mentioned.

So finally, on slide 10 for your reference, we've included our quarterly earnings history for 2020 and for this year. I'll note that the now divested Display and Packaging businesses contributed $0.29 of EPS in full-year 2020 with $0.21 coming in the first 9 months of last year. This compares with this year when we earned $0.03 of EPS in the first quarter before the divestiture of these U.S. operations. But focusing on this year and our fourth quarter guidance, you see that our range for Q4 base EPS is $0.84 to $0.90 per share. This guidance includes several key assumptions. Starting with volumes we expect that demand will remain solid, but this is more than offset by 6 fewer days than in last year's fourth quarter. For price cost, our outlook is to have a positive overall result in the fourth quarter as various inflation driven price increases continue to be implemented. Also, while the Display and Packaging divestiture is an $0.08 headwind, this is more than offset by lower SG&A expenses, lower interest expense and reduced shares outstanding. I'll add that our expected effective tax rate in this year's fourth quarter is approximately 25%, slightly higher than last year's 23, 5%. So, based on our year-to-date actual base earnings plus our updated fourth quarter outlook we are updating our full-year guidance to be $3.49 to $3.55 per share.

Related to our cash flow guidance on a full year basis, we are not changing our full year free cash flow guidance of $270 million to $300 million, but we are reducing our outlook for operating cash flow by $50 million to be between #520 million and $550 million. This reduction is driven by our updated expectations for slightly higher year-end 2021 net working capital balances due to a combination of inflation as well as increased fourth quarter business activity in addition to our updated forecast for the timing and amount of certain tax payments. These operating cash flow headwinds are offset by our expectation for lower capital spending, which is now approximately $250 million instead of our original $300 million target. And as a reminder, our cash flow guidance excludes the $133 million of one-time pension contributions that we made in the second quarter.

This concludes my review of our third quarter results and our outlook for the 4th quarter and full year 2021 yeah. So, Howard I'll turn it over to you.

Howard Coker -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Well, thanks, Julie, and good morning everyone. Let me share thoughts on our third quarter performance. I would also like to provide a brief update on some important capital projects and what we see as we finish out the year.

Firstly, we were very pleased with the improved top and bottom line results delivered in the quarter as our team navigated through supply chain disruptions, raw material shortages and frankly unrelenting inflation to meet the needs of our customers. Sales reached a record level driven by an almost 4% improvement in volume mix despite the impact of the divestiture of the Display and Packaging business. We experienced solid demand in each of our business segments while facing numerous supply chain challenges. For example, we had a sizable consumer customer shut down for more than a week due to logistic problems. All other customers were impacted by labor and material shortages. Our team did a remarkable job in keeping our plants running despite similar challenges.

Base earnings per diluted share improved 6% and above the midpoint of our guidance. Operating profits in our Consumer Packaging segment declined 5% in the quarter, a strong productivity improvements were more than offset by a negative price cost relationship as we continue to chase inflation of critical raw materials and other inputs. Our Industrial segment experienced a 30% improvement in operating profit due to strong demand and the associated leverage through our operations. Finally, we were disappointed in results from our all other segment, which consist of our Industrial Plastics, Protective Health Care and Retail Security Packaging units. While the 58% decline in operating profit primarily reflects the divestiture of Display and Packaging, several of the business has struggled due to price costs as well as a high degree of COVID related volume impacts such as chip shortages.

A key element of our strategy is investing to drive growth and margin improvement. So let me provide you a brief update on some of our large capital projects starting with Project Horizon. We've made a tremendous amount of progress over the summer. We've completed much of the work on the new stock prep system, which will allow us to use a larger percentage of lower cost mixed paper. This should be operational by the end of this year and we expect the machine to be fully converted around the end of the third quarter. We will experience downtime during the conversion, but expect this will have only a minor impact on profitability in 2022 while providing of course significant savings going forward. Also in our industrial businesses, we are completing work on a new 100,000 square foot plant in Tulsa, Oklahoma, where we will be combining our current tube and core operation with two new fiber Sonoco's lines to serve growing appliance and HVAC customers in the Southwest. In the fall we are opening a new Sonoco's operation in Poland and are working on growth opportunities in Turkey as well as Mexico.

Our fiber protective business is attracting a lot of new orders as the market is looking for a more sustainable and durable protective alternatives. And our can business we recently approved approximately $15 million of new capital to develop additional capabilities to produce cans with new options including paper bottoms and paper overcast. As I mentioned previously we continue to receive interest particularly in Europe to convert products into a more sustainable type of can option. These new capital products, projects will go into our existing facilities in Belgium, Poland and the U.K. In addition we're making investments in renewable energy projects to help meet our target of reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 25% by 2030. Here in Hartsville we plan to spend $2.5 million to convert waste methane generated from our mill affluent system into to a fuel quality biogas, which will be traded compressed and injected in the pipeline to be used in industrial applications. We're also investing $1.5 million have to install solar panels on an East Coast can plan and expect to add further solar power projects in the near future. Combined, these projects will reduce approximately 5,300 metric tons of carbon dioxide annually while generating returns greater than our cost of capital.

Entering the final three months of 2021 we do remain upbeat as demand for our products globally remains strong despite those supply chain challenges we are facing. That said inflation continues to be a concern. We expect certain raw materials, energy and freight packaging and other pressures will continue well into 2022. We now project inflation excluding labor will rise an additional 1.2% of our previous estimate from last quarter. This means our costs globally this year will have an increase by more than $250 million or about 9%. As a result we will continue executing price actions and we will remain focused on controlling costs as we work to see successfully through this continued difficult operating environment.

As for volume we expect our Consumer Packaging segment to continue to benefit from elevated at-home eating trends driven by remote working and consumers particularly younger consumers adopting new cooking habits. In most markets demand for our global Industrial products has recovered to pre-pandemic levels and several of our businesses in the all other segment, which have been negatively impacted by supply chain interruptions are starting to see external conditions improve, and we've taken actions to improve the overall performance of several of these businesses.

Finally, we're pleased that our ThermoSafe cold chain packaging business has picked up significant new orders to provide temperature assured shippers for transporting COVID-19 vaccines. Sonoco is coming out of the pandemic well positioned, we have a strong balance sheet, we have strong businesses and we have a solid cash flow. We'll will continue investing in the long-term potential of our core consumer and industrial businesses while remaining committed to returning value to our shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, and as always acquisitions that fit our portfolio and expand our capabilities.

Let me close by inviting you to participate in our live virtual investor beginning at 8:00 AM Eastern on Friday, December 10th. While we will miss meeting with you face to face, we will do our best to facilitate an open discussion in this virtual manner. You can expect us to talk in more detail about our value creation strategy and we'll provide you a first look at our earnings expectations for 2022. Roger will be sending you electronic invitations after this call. So, please consider joining us again on December 10th.

Now with that, operator, would you please review the question and answer procedures.

Questions and Answers:

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Adam Josephson of KeyBanc. Your line is open.

Adam Josephson -- KeyBanc -- Analyst

Thanks, good morning everyone.

Howard Coker -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Good Morning Adam.

Adam Josephson -- KeyBanc -- Analyst

Good morning Howard. On the price cost situation can you just help us with--we know about all the price increases that you've been implementing in your industrial business, specifically URB and tubes and cores. Can you talk about what you're doing in Consumer and elsewhere and more broadly, try to help us frame the price cost drive that you're expecting this year or the EBIT margin hit that you're expecting this year and then give us some sense of what kind of recovery might be reasonable to expect next year based on all these price initiatives you have, and if you were to flatline current costs or however you would want to frame it for us.

Howard Coker -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, obviously, it tends to be the topic of the day on the industrial side as it relates to. I see, certainly we've spent a lot of time talking about rather than just simply stated in terms of actions we're taking. Certainly, we have been pretty public in the open market in terms of our non-contract accounts, but we have a pretty solid cadence of recovery across all of our businesses. I will say on the consumer side, particularly on the can business, we've got some pent-up increases that are coming, January 1 that not had the the opportunity contractually to pass through let's just say the second half of this year. So, not to give you specific numbers, we're feeling extremely bullish, I think you all know and see what's happening with the SEC side of things, we've seeing moderation if you will on the resin side and of course we do expect that we're going to be seeing increased inflation going into 2022, particularly as it relates to metals well publicized as it relates to energy, freight, labor, but frankly, I'm very comfortable that we're going to be they on top, if not ahead of that as we move through next year. So I hope that gives you some sort of color.

Adam Josephson -- KeyBanc -- Analyst

It does. Thanks Howard. Specifically on resin and OCC just given how how large they are for you, can you just talk about what you're seeing the magnitude of declines you're expecting in polyethylene, PET, OCC etcetera or in 4Q and even beyond, for that matter if you're willing to go out that far.

Howard Coker -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I mean, I'm trying to Roger get into hopefully more digital than I'm certainly able to, that you see what's happening OCC, our indications are that and our feelings are modeling right now as we look into the 4th quarter, as were going to fall more into that seasonal type pattern and that we do see some pullback and reflecting that in our guidance for the fourth quarter but Roger can certainly give you even more color on,

Roger Schrum -- Vice President of Investor Relations & Corporate Affairs

We're thinking mid 180's for the fourth quarter and then we'll talk more about next year in the SEC and in our December meeting but that gives you guidance for the for the fourth quarter. Our resin we are finally seeing some signs that the market is turning to be more balanced. We will get the basic raw materials like polyethylene and polypropylene. We've seen those top out. They are not announcing price increases, but they're not going through, they're being pushed out. So I think that's a very good sign we're seeing some material now in the secondary and spot markets. On the other hand, if you'll get farming resins like expanded polystyrene, EPP, polyurethane, we are seeing those continue to escalate in the fourth quarter and into the first quarter next year EPS. This is much demand is there is consolidation of the suppliers in the market place. And finally, the most impactful if that goes to PET market is about half of the basket of resins that we purchase we're seeing escalation continue in the fourth quarter for both virgin and recycled grades and we expect that to continue into early next year as well.

So on average, the fourth quarter is slightly up versus the versus Q3, but just being slightly up is so much better than we've seen in the first three quarters of the year from a quarter to quarter standpoint. As Howard said, we have seven resin-based businesses with some mix of price change mechanisms, but for those seven we'll turn price cost positive in the fourth quarter. Two will be closer to flat and one will still be negative in catching up, more to do with supply and demand versus price cost and price increases in the marketplace. So hopefully that gives you a little feel for where we stands and as Howard said much more positive going forward on recovery and what we're seeing in the resin market.

Adam Josephson -- KeyBanc -- Analyst

Thanks Roger, and just one last one perhaps for Julie on the capex guidance. Can you just talk about is that Project Horizon related, is it something else, and should we expect that to just come back next year such that capex would be elevated or just any details Julie or anyone else would be helpful. Thank you very much.

Howard Coker -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, Adam, Howard. Yeah, this is a big part of it is Horizon, but as you can only imagine that with all of the supply chain, freight, personnel availability to execute on the level of capital we had expected to have in place since this year we just don't think we're going to be able to get everything accomplished that we had expected. So to your point, yes, we do expect to see an increase in carry over into next year, but as Roger just noted as were together in New York will give you much more clarity in terms of what our expectation for the next year for capital spend.

Adam Josephson -- KeyBanc -- Analyst

Thanks a lot Howard.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Mark Wilde of Bank of Montreal. Your line is open.

Mark Wilde -- Bank of Montreal -- Analyst

Thank you. Good morning. Howard for my first question, I'm just curious, are you seeing any sign of these supply chain issues starting to ease at all?

Howard Coker -- President & Chief Executive Officer

You know, not much, but I would say that we're not seeing all that material issues in terms of impact to us and to our customers, we're seeing profits. So, I would say it's not a systemic type issue for us today, on Friday a case in the third quarter where we had our customer that couldn't get packaging materials that shut them down for a week. The ones that really are really sticky right now for us to have to do with the chips and that's impacting us on the automotive and our protective white goods space, we've got an example again that is showing that it's not systemic, but we've got an example going into the fourth quarter where we've got about a $3 million headwind having to fly critical components from Europe to keep operations going. So to answer question from a holistic perspective, it seems to be much broader across the economy in general, but not as material to us as advertised in the open.

Mark Wilde -- Bank of Montreal -- Analyst

Okay. Then the other question I had is just unpack sort of what went on in Consumer Packaging in the quarter and on the upside, I'm just, I'm curious about the benefit you got from a more normal Halloween this year. So, is there anyway to quantify that impact?

Howard Coker -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, sure. You know that obviously was an impact in our Flexibles business, and as we noted before Flexibles with all of eating at home was actually not benefited through last year and the heart of the COVID crisis. We saw a nice pick up, I would say somewhere around 13% to 15% improvement in volume in flexibles alone. If you look at our can business globally we were just 1% to 2%, 1.5% down. And then you dig deeper end of that the biggest impact there was on in North America and what I'd say there is, that was the case the example I gave in the commentary where we lost a major customer for a week, but back to, I guess Adam's question or your earlier question about the supply chain, It's not, we don't talk about a lot, but in our can business we are a very large supplier in the adhesives and sealants industry, probably 10% to 15% of our North American volume. So that is a case where we saw a lack of material availability to our key customers in that segment. And to carry-forward on cans, Europe continues to shine up about 4%, Asia was about flat, but that is truly COVID and that our largest operations are in Malaysia and they went through a series of shutdown last quarter and this quarter, tons of pent-up demand so we expect, as we're opening back up there that they're going to get right back on track with double-digit type type growth rates. Hope that helps to kind of get an understanding of what's going on.

Mark Wilde -- Bank of Montreal -- Analyst

That does. The one other question I had around consumer packaging, you just, you called out the weakness in fresh food and I wondered if you could unpack that for us a bit. How much of that would be just South markets and how much of that might be in some of these rigid plastic areas, like for Produce where you may be facing more competition from like fiber-based alternatives for Produce packaging or the decision by kind of supermarket chains to just try to reduce the amount of plastics that they're using?

Howard Coker -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I'll hand it over to Roger for more detail but this on the macro perspective, no we're not seeing any kind of shifts from format. Roger won't you thought that would really happen?

Roger Schrum -- Vice President of Investor Relations & Corporate Affairs

Yeah, Mark really two key drivers in the quarter. Number one, during the pandemic our egg business was very, very strong, and it's still far still good is back probably closer, slightly up on 2019 levels, but that was part of the biggest impact on that business is what we've been talking about for several quarters now about our restructuring of that business itself being very aggressive in the marketplace to get pricing where we think it needs to be to get a return on that business. You probably saw that we announced a set of our Williston North Carolina plant, ended up selling that plant, but that's the final piece of our restructuring that what we call our perimeter of the store business. It's not so much fiber, is not really fiber a competition, us being much more aggressive with pricing in the marketplace and walking away from business where we think it's necessary. So now we have ended where we wanted to end, which is one major plant in Florida, one major plant in California to service the market. And again, that business has restructured, but you will see that impact on volume, you saw in the fourth quarter and some of that will continue on into early next year. But all around getting the price in the marketplace where we thought it needed to be.

Mark Wilde -- Bank of Montreal -- Analyst

Okay. That's really helpful, Roger. Thanks. I'll turn it over.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from George Staphos of Bank of America, your question please.

George Staphos -- Bank of America -- Analyst

Thanks. Hi everyone, good morning, thanks for the details. I wanted to dig a little bit more into price cost, Howard and Julie, and Roger. Can you talk a little bit about within the Industrial businesses what price-cost was in the third quarter. I don't think you called it out obviously had a lot of pressure, but perhaps the pricing actions are starting to catch up there and then within your guidance for the fourth quarter, are you expecting price cost for the industrial businesses to be broadly positive, flat or negative, and if you could quantify that would be great.

Roger Schrum -- Vice President of Investor Relations & Corporate Affairs

Hi, George. Roger. Yeah, price-cost was actually slightly positive in Industrial in the third quarter. Quite frankly some of that driven by really good work across the board, but also our protective business as well as our wood and reels business. We are expecting it to be more positive in the fourth quarter, to your point as the price increases there into the marketplace come through the system. So we do expect about a well over $4 million positive in the 3rd quarter, we expect it to be more positive in the fourth quarter and headed in the right direction. So, yes, that's the, that's what we see for the fourth quarter coming up.

George Staphos -- Bank of America -- Analyst

Okay, and then I assume you're not seeing any signs of this now because the demand is good, and that would be both for your products and what your customers are saying in terms of consumer behavior going forward. But why are you not worried, or are there any worries that you would have that at some point the pricing actions that your customers have had to make in the market and that you've had to take because of all the inflation will at some point start to back negatively on demand, I mean it's kind of hard to replace the tube and core I get it, but why are you not worried about that in any of your product lines and for your key customers product lines as well.

Howard Coker -- President & Chief Executive Officer

George, I'd say, because it's going to be across the entire retail chain. So the bigger question is what happens to the consumer spending power. I don't think it's a question of someone's ability to or willingness to not pass this inflation on and go for. Look, all commodities have to increase and you're seeing it right now and you're hearing it from the major CPGs and so we feel like we're going to be on a level playing field. So really turns into a more of a macroeconomic question and the ability for consumers to afford the products, if that makes any sense. So, what I would say if we look at fourth quarter it's typically a strong start and the glass half through the holidays. Last year played out, not that way this year looks to be exactly the same. Inventories are extremely low and that we expect to drive fully all the way through the three months and frankly not only concern but industrial and in the all other that this trend is going to continue well into next year. So, as we sit here and we look into the forward periods, extremely bullish that this top line demand profile that we're seeing, the price cost catch-up that we've been working on, and as Roger just spoke to getting there that we're just is highly encouraged about how things are going to play out end of this quarter and on into the better part of next year. Inventories are just extremely, extremely low, so demand is going to be there.

George Staphos -- Bank of America -- Analyst

Howard that's a great rundown and segue to kind of my last question. So as we think about fourth quarter I think you mentioned that volume would be solid and I know it's kind of hard to gauge quarter off a few weeks of volume and you have the 6-day negative comparison on volume as well, but what do you think adjusting out the 6 days, what do you think underlying volume is growing right now within industrial, within consumer. And then thinking about the things that are going to come back to you next year, the price cost, the initial productivity from Horizon, all the other things that you're doing, a working capital improvement. If we think out two years from now, if you had to stack rank or quantify, what do you think are going to be the biggest drivers of return on capital for Sonoco, you're down a little bit this year, but for obvious reasons. What do you think the biggest drivers are and if you could quantify them looking out two years what would they be given the volume productivity and so on.

Howard Coker -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, sure. George, we're thinking somewhere on a normalized basis of about a 3% improvement across the portfolio in the fourth quarter. That, and again, coming off of a very strong fourth quarter last year from a volume perspective. That gives you not micro the macro color. If we go out two years from now, you get little ahead of [Indecipherable], but I can just say that every capital investment that we've on a value-generating basis but we've approved to include Project Horizon and that one of course we've been very public in terms of what the economics are on it. We're going to be well, well above our cost of capital, and again, I wish I had that type of clarity of what two years are going to look like, but we think next year is going to be a rock solid year and with the benefit of the capital, and I appreciate the question because a dollar you spend a day sometimes takes 18 months to three years to see the yield and we expect that's going to be material going into 2023.

George Staphos -- Bank of America -- Analyst

Just the productivity offset, is that greater than price cost, I just want to, if you could stack rank it. And thanks, I'll turn it over.

Howard Coker -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I put a price cost, but from where we sit and lens that we're looking through, very bullish for next year but that lens can get crowded in a hurry dependent on again. I keep using the word macro. But what happens in the world today or two quarters from now I don't know, but from what we have visibility of the day, we're very positive about price cost, that being a major driver to performance certainly through the first half of next year and you'll start seeing that the productivity, the return from capital starting to show up later in the year and solidly into 2024.

George Staphos -- Bank of America -- Analyst

Thanks Howard. Good luck in the quarter.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Ghansham Panjabi of Baird. Your line is open.

Ghansham Panjabi -- Baird -- Analyst

Thank you. Good morning, everybody, and I'm sort of go back to price cost. But just to clarify, and I'm sorry if I missed this but the year to date price cost has been negative $65 million in 3Q, it looks like you came in at negative 14. Did you give us a formal outlook for 4Q. I know you talked about industrial being positive, but on a consolidated basis, what does that number look like, and based on all your recognized pricing and just assuming all else being equal in the raw material trajectory side including resin, would you recover the entirety of what you lost in 2021 and 2022.

Julie Albrecht -- Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

Hai Ghansham it's Julie. I'll start with your fourth quarter comment. As we've mentioned, we do expect the fourth quarter kind of on a consolidated basis to shift to be positive from a price cost perspective and I think Roger mentioned specifically some of that, really a lot of that in industrial. But I'd put that in that kind of mid-single digits to $10 million type of range is what we're expecting at this point. So it's trending positive, but not a, call it dramatic turnaround there, but, but obviously extremely I'd say we're optimistic right that we're going to shift into the positive territory versus what we've experienced so far this year.

Roger Schrum -- Vice President of Investor Relations & Corporate Affairs

Yeah. As we're looking to 2022 the expectation is will be fairly well called off, but we just have to see what happens. We've sort of this quarter really with a super strong July and then here we go again inflation, because we called it off, but inflation we don't expect that to happen. We don't expect that is all that will happen, but I mean, to be fair. It could. But what you're seeing today you should be seeing that we continue to increase price, non-material related price, I should add as well, for instance, we all know what's going on and energy, particularly in Europe. We are getting way ahead of that and we've put out 100 euro a ton on the paper side of our business. Well that's happening now, but also built pre-emptively of what we see coming into the first quarter. So we are very mindful, and are very active, to make the moves today that will prevent us from being into adjacent type environment going into next year.

Ghansham Panjabi -- Baird -- Analyst

Okay that's very clear. Thank you. And then in terms of the normalization you're seeing on the consumer side, I think you mentioned composite cans being a bit weaker, comparisons being difficult, the adjustments you're seeing in sales is that also a function of just inventory adjustments at the customer level or or is that not the case, It's just comps?

Howard Coker -- President & Chief Executive Officer

I'm sorry, I guess you kind of broke up at the end.

Ghansham Panjabi -- Baird -- Analyst

Yeah, just in terms of what you're seeing with composite cans, volumes, are you seeing inventory adjustment of the customer level?

Howard Coker -- President & Chief Executive Officer

The inventory, that they have the inventory. So yeah, there is some continuing catch up, but from a, just a general market perspective we are pretty comfortable with our position and don't expect to see anything other than continued strong demand well into next year or two as not only to get this should the retail outlets back in full, but also to get the inventories at the right level.

Ghansham Panjabi -- Baird -- Analyst

Okay and then just one final one on the $50 million delta in working capital for this year. Would that be an equal tailwind into 2022 based on what you see at this point?

Julie Albrecht -- Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

Hey Ghansham, the $50 million that we reduced operating capital by, is it all working capital, but you could say maybe about half of that is, we are also anticipating some higher tax payments in the fourth quarter than original and so I guess working capital year-over-year you might say $15 to $25 million higher, driven by the factors I've mentioned. We see it as possible that, that could continue into next year as well, but again, right now we're kind of starting to fine tune, sharpen our pencil on the outlook for 2022, but again depending on inflation, how that trends next year, and again we will be expecting higher demand as Howard has been talking about. So, while we're really feel very good about our inventory management, all of that inflation and increased activity, obviously does put some upward pressure on working capital.

Ghansham Panjabi -- Baird -- Analyst

Thanks so much.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Kyle White of Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.

Kyle White -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking my question. I wanted to go through the all other segment, you mentioned it was a bit below what you're expecting. I know you had experienced rather than headwinds, and you mentioned the chip shortage, but this is something that has been occurring throughout the year. I guess, was there any other notable headwinds that impacted the results or something that wasn't necessarily expected, any other details you can provide on that segment for 3Q.

Roger Schrum -- Vice President of Investor Relations & Corporate Affairs

Yeah, I think, the most significant was probably in our medical thermoforming business. I think Howard mentioned in his opening comments that business relies heavily on elective surgeries with packaging for the operating room. We had expected that to recover in the third quarter, and it did slightly, but we're nowhere near back to we were pre-pandemic levels. So we're starting to see that come back, but that will be a headwind to some degree again in the fourth. And then the other major impact was, if you think about the pandemic and the automakers, about half of our what we call our protective business services, the automotive industry, during the pandemic, they shut down for weeks at a time. And so we were able to shut down and take labor out of our plants. This past quarter they had rolling downtime, which made it very, very difficult for us to strip out cost and strip out labor. So from a quarter-over-quarter, year-over-year standpoint, that business really suffered around supplying the auto industry. So that was unusual for the quarter. And as I said earlier, with price actions with some self-help actions around taking cost out we see at least 150 basis point improvement in operating margins as we go into the fourth quarter and then we'll push it on from.

Howard Coker -- President & Chief Executive Officer

And Kyle let me add as well that talking about the negative impacts to the sector, I don't know, want to missed the opportunity to talk about the ThermoSafe business and the level of COVID activity. We talked from very beginning of the vaccine rollout that, the vaccines were being bulk shipped into central distribution points today, they're starting to be and smaller packs going direct to specific retail and hospital doctor outlets and that's our sweet spot. So we've received some significant orders starting this quarter and very, very, very bullish about how that may continue through the course of next year.

Kyle White -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

Got it. If I could actually follow-up on that, on the vaccines. Is it possible to either quantify the benefit you're received in the ThermoSafe business related to COVID vaccines, and do you expect with booster shots next year as well as other region still in the process of widespread distribution, do you anticipate next year's results could be even higher or similar comparable to this year. So, any thoughts there?

Roger Schrum -- Vice President of Investor Relations & Corporate Affairs

Kyle it's Roger. Yeah a big part of the order that Howard is talking about for the fourth quarter is around booster shots and it's around shots for children from 5 to 11. So that's happening. That will start delivering in November and will carry into the first quarter. You know, we've been saying we felt like COVID vaccines could reach the similar level for us as flu vaccines, which is $20 million a year. Obviously now we feel like we can do much better than that. We're still getting our arms around that with the major pharma companies. We just say we're going to have a very strong fourth quarter for COVID vaccines and as we get together in December we'll be able to do a better job of updating the impact for next year.

Kyle White -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

Got it. That's helpful. For my next question, can you just remind us of your thoughts on capital allocation as we sit here today. I know you completed the ASR program last quarter, but how attractive does the M&A pipeline look and absent M&A should investors expect you to kind of repurchase shares in the open market going forward?

Howard Coker -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah Kyle we're certainly active in the space. We are being very deliberate in terms of assets that we feel that a right and a good fit for Sonoco but on very much active. So M&A is a critical part of our go for the capital allocation strategy. Obviously dividend, we talk extensively about internal capital deployment. Yes, we did the share buyback and we'll certainly keep that as part of our capital to use depending on what's going on, particularly on as you point out, on the M&A side of thing.

Kyle White -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

Got it. I appreciate all the details.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Salvator Tiano of Seaport Research. Your line is open.

Salvator Tiano -- Seaport Global -- Analyst

Yeah. Hai, Howard, Julie and Roger. Thanks for taking my questions. So firstly, I wanted to come back little bit on the capex change. I do want to clarify that. Have there been any comes in any outright cancellations or major adjustments to any of your projects or is it solely delays that are pushing this $50 million?

Howard Coker -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. No. Sal there is no cancellations directly as you can imagine, being able to get orders fulfilled on the projects, getting the engineering, all the work done that needs, it's back to the earlier question around supply chain, you could think in terms of Project Horizon, the paper industry, most of those critical technologies are coming out of Europe and so we're just seeing those type of delays, but no pullbacks because we've had a lot of customer interest in the project or any items of that nature.

Salvator Tiano -- Seaport Global -- Analyst

Okay, and just following up on the capex. What inflation are you seeing in these projects, whether it's labor or raw materials, when you started kind of the year with a $300 million guidance, if there wasn't any timing changes where do you think the cost would have been just due to inflation now?

Howard Coker -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Sal right now, I don't know if I could quantify that. We have an example in Project Horizon, we saw some inflation still within scope. It hasn't been that material as we look at it go forward projects that were, some of which I talked to during during my script. Right now the costs that are built-in or reflective of the cost of our vendors are seeing today. So we'll have to see how it plays out over the long term, but right now we're pretty comfortable.

Salvator Tiano -- Seaport Global -- Analyst

Perfect. I just also want to touch base on energy and what we're seeing in natural gas. If you can just put a finer print first thing on natural gas consumption, energy consumption by region, but mainly Europe and North America and also what procurement models you have and what leverage do you have besides in your be discretionary price increases to offset this inflation sure.

Howard Coker -- President & Chief Executive Officer

For natural gas, obviously our main usage are in mill complexes both here and in Europe. It's not material necessarily in and China where I think we're actually on coal, but you know we talk about the U.S. we've had long-standing protocols in terms of balancing via hedging that as this inflation sort of come in lately at a pretty significant, call it, almost half of our usage hedged going into next year. As you talk about inflation recovery that will be part of the conversation obviously, at today we've put in non-OCC related inflation we announced just recently here in the US. Similarly in Europe. I'd say more exposure, but, so as the entire markets. We came out with a 100 Euro over time increase just several weeks ago, we'll continue to follow whether that's going to going to cover or not, but we're also seeing that the entire competitive landscape is falling and we all have to get recovery on this. We don't see this as a major headwind for us because of the things I just said that we've got a good position here in North America and we are putting price stand that's fully supported by all industry that uses natural gas in Europe.

Salvator Tiano -- Seaport Global -- Analyst

Okay, perfect. But to clarify, just in Europe on the procurement side, you don't have any hedges, you would just rely on resin prices there.

Howard Coker -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, we are not hedged in Europe. Correct.

Salvator Tiano -- Seaport Global -- Analyst

Okay, perfect. And just a little bit. My last question on the volumes in industrial Paper Packaging, they were up around 5% that you mentioned. In most markets now, you kind of have recovered from COVID, I'm just wondering, now that we've reached the pre-COVID level, how much volume leeway do you see going forward as the markets grow and now the base returns have been made.

Howard Coker -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, industrial it's hard to answer. Let me just put it for you, what we're seeing right now is really back to pre-pandemic levels, as I've said in my commentary, and pockets that or just extremely strong right now on top of that. So greater than. So, if you look at our URB network here in North America we still remain at very low inventories, the backlogs and allocations that we're having to put customers on, it continues to be an interesting dynamic. Where is it going to settle out, I think we're going to be in a pretty good place. Roger?

Roger Schrum -- Vice President of Investor Relations & Corporate Affairs

The only thing I'd add Sal is we've seen in our tube and core business, in a really nice pickup in the paper side of that business, So, internet sales around containerboard, our containerboard customers globally are very, very strong. We've seen newsprint really bottom out and actually show a little a few gains from here and there. So as you would expect [Phonetic] film is strong with the economy being strong. The only weakness as we've seen is textiles and we feel like that's probably more related to the chip shortage around automotive and some of the other supply chain constraints. So if textiles picks back up to Howard's point, if you look about just all the segments we serve from an industrial standpoint would pretty strong going into 2022. Okay, perfect. Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Josh Spector of UBS, your line is open.

Josh Spector -- UBS -- Analyst

Yeah, hi guys thanks for squeezing my question here. So just to follow up on consumer and the low inventory at the customer level, and supply chain. Just curious if you could quantify that. If there was no end market demand how much would the restock be in terms of the benefit from a volume perspective into next year.

Howard Coker -- President & Chief Executive Officer

I don't think we could give you a numeric answer to that. What I'd say is they're going to be full out and until they reach that point of full inventory back to normalization, all I can say is, our expectation is it's going to take a considerable period of time to get to that point, well into next year.

Josh Spector -- UBS -- Analyst

Okay, fair enough. And maybe just another medium term one here is, just looking at URB prices and where they're at, there are relatively high levels versus a few years ago and I expect, you want to continue pushing them higher to recover cost. Just assuming OCC prices eventually decline what's your view on the reaction of your repricing pricing and kind of anticipating you're going to say that they stay higher, what structurally would be your supporting points to kind of get you there?

Howard Coker -- President & Chief Executive Officer

I'd say there is no saying that price has nothing to do with cost. If you look at market dynamics right now as you are falling the demand, it is not. As I noted earlier, we're seeing allocation type scenarios in the marketplace that we're certainly have to put out. So, again not able to quantify, but we feel very good that again if we as we go into next year that demand profile is going to continue. We'll see where it takes us, but cost profiles go down, but demand is still strong and price remains strong.

Josh Spector -- UBS -- Analyst

Okay, thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Gabe Hajde of Wells Fargo Securities, your question please.

Gabe Hajde -- Wells Fargo -- Analyst

Hey guys, thanks for taking the question. I'm going to ask something more on the operational side and thinking about these energy issues over in Europe and I guess maybe that were heading to winter months and things become more pronounced and potentially industrial users get put on allocation or something like that. So two-part question, one is, do you have kind of secondary energy sources to run paper mills over there, or I guess contingency plans, if you will, and then or can these mills run, I guess at reduced energy supply situation. And then I kind of a corollary to that, have there been discussions about how the steepening I guess cost curve globally speaking for paper production or thinking about containerboard here may increase the attractiveness of US-born product and your customers kind of preparing for that on the tube and core side.

Howard Coker -- President & Chief Executive Officer

So, Gabe I'll take the first part. From our team of and discussions that we're having internally including members of our Board actually better based in Europe. It's not a supply issue. We're not anticipating any any issue being able to run our operations, the question really is or the issue really is around the inflation side of it. So we're not in the contemplating that but to say if we're wrong we're not necessarily set up, that's not an AV change to go from one substrate to another to run the facility, but we do not anticipate that to be an issue. On the cost curve and containerboard, I'm not sure if I truly understood your correlation there and influence on URB, would you like to ask that again.

Gabe Hajde -- Wells Fargo -- Analyst

No just I mean to the extent that energy is a big input component to the cost curve or cost of goods sold for product produced in Europe and even for your own URB, I don't think you have any excess capacity be exporting URB to Europe, but just if in fact it persist then product produced here in the U.S. would require more tube and core, so just if those discussions are being had.

Howard Coker -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I'm really don't know how to answer that one, but think costs are going to be I think George asked the question about relative inflation and I think that's important thing, relative inflation, not specific inflation, so as inflation through energy goes through the paper systems in Europe, all ships rise and that will be the case there. It's the question is related to maybe a lower cost position somewhere else in the world and moving paper around and take advantage of that. I don't see that happening at all, particularly in today's environment we are shipping into Mexico, we are helping our our own supply needs down in Brazil, but at the cost of the container today, it's just, we'll never make sense until that normalizes even contemplate cross border cross ocean supply chain on this type of commodity.

Gabe Hajde -- Wells Fargo -- Analyst

Okay. Just trying to think of maybe second third derivative impacts from higher energy costs in Europe. I guess maybe more hopefully simple and Julie, you mentioned, I think, and I'm sorry if I missed it, a 5% kind of one-time benefit and I wasn't sure if that was, you said it hit operating profit, but maybe is a Brazilian tax credit or something like that during Q3?

Julie Albrecht -- Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

Well we did have, something that we anticipated in the third quarter was a 5% unique tax items that we booked in the third quarter and then in addition to that, we did have the lower tax rate from against expected 21.5%, so down about 18% and that was due to additional project work related to mostly the R&D tax credits. So Gabe I think that answers the question.

Gabe Hajde -- Wells Fargo -- Analyst

Yeah, so just to be clear, the $0.05 or $7 million or so that hit operating profit was part of your guidance.

Julie Albrecht -- Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

I think you're talking about maybe in our GAAP versus non-base items. Yeah, we did have, there was a net $0.06 add back that had about that was net about $11 million of a couple of one time, again GAAP, non-base tax expenses that were partially offset by again some GAAP net gains that ran through operating profit and that was just a variety of items. So net, net items that impacted GAAP not base, but there were some income tax items. Yes, partially offset by some net gains

Gabe Hajde -- Wells Fargo -- Analyst

Okay, but there was not included as part of base. Thank you.

Julie Albrecht -- Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

Those were GAAP. Yeah.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Adam Josephson of KeyBanc. Your line is open.

Adam Josephson -- KeyBanc -- Analyst

Thanks for taking my follow ups. I appreciate it. Howard, there have been some articles recently talking about renewed panic buying in the US, have you seen any signs of that? And then just relatedly sometimes at fiscal year-end some of your customers might reduce inventories to to show better cash flow I assume they're not going to be able to do anything like that, given how low everyone's inventories are, but can you just talk about kind of what's embedded in your consumer volume forecast for the fourth quarter and talk about what you're seeing now with respect to again any signs of panic buying or otherwise?

Howard Coker -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Yeah Adam. Here we go again. What we are seeing it is on the consumer side, but coming out of our URB network. As a reminder, we supply about 75% to 80% of all paper that goes into the tissue and towels product and that volume is ramping up rapidly and and it's all back to that hoarding environment that that we saw in the whole of last year. So that's the one that is going to clear, clearly it is in place right now. The other in terms of, this is my opinion, but I think it's, as we all get ready to do our seasonal holiday shopping, you're going to see a lot of stock-outs of consumer-type products, food related products for all the reasons that we've talked about through the course of this call. For us all that means is what we've already talked about is that normally we would see October is the prep months to fill the warehouses, get ready for for the holiday season and we just see this is going to be just full out all the way through the year through the holiday as you will see stock-outs. I couldn't possibly predict which exact products they would be and that's why again if we look into 2022 we say that we are expecting extremely bullish demand on the consumer side and I will repeat again our thought processes as it relates to the same situation going on the industrial and all other segments. So if I can tell you exactly what we need to buy today in anticipation of your Thanksgiving prep, but I would highly encourage you may want to go ahead and start thinking about that, but it all spells or we consider it a very, very good news as we finish out this year and going in the next year, sleep very comfortably that we're going to have a lot of continued strong demand going forward.

Adam Josephson -- KeyBanc -- Analyst

I appreciate that. And just two others, one on guidance, I mean you gave guidance earlier than most just at the Investor Day, and when you're dealing with unprecedented inflation, a supply chain mess, I mean there is so much going on, the China situation there so many factors, I mean that's always the case, but particularly, I mean this is an unprecedented on operating environment. Are you thinking any differently about annual guidance than you have historically just given these just myriad unknowns.

Howard Coker -- President & Chief Executive Officer

No We hope to give you guys some fairly-we will obviously be smarter in December than we are today that we're going to give you what we think we see coming in the for the year next year. So it's the question as we're thinking about pulling out maybe not giving us normal go-forward look, the expectation right now. Will be again smarter by December is to provide what we think 2022 and how it will unfold.

Adam Josephson -- KeyBanc -- Analyst

I appreciate that. And just one last one on sustainability. I mean, in light of the shortages of seemingly everything, are your customers any less concerned about getting recycled resin or otherwise than they were perhaps before all these shortages existed and all these prices spiked?

Howard Coker -- President & Chief Executive Officer

You know, let me talk, I'm going to flogger kind of direct to the revenue side of things, but no, our customers are still very, very engaged in terms of sustainability, in terms of the actions that we're taking some of which I've talked about as a supplier and our actions in terms of our carbon emissions, but not from a format perspective I also spoke to, which I have several times in recent quarters about what's going on in Europe in our can business, the capital that we're putting in place now and as customers are coming to us, I'm not going to name formats, but other other substrates that they are anxious to move into a paper forms of, all that is continuing, but more direct to your question around this larger has clear visibility of [Indecipherable] recycled PET resins, Adam, they're are more expensive than Virgin now. So what's happening is, many of our customers have tried to implement minimum amounts of recycled resin into their products into the manufacturing of product, they simply can't get enough and then at this point is driving that price up. So there's just not enough recycled bottles coming back to the system at this point. So today recycled resins in PET is more expensive than Virgin, and that's really put a damper on some of the activities. And I don't see that changing anytime in the near future, hopefully, as we get in the next year and and we see some recovery and PET bottle recycling that will change, that's the situation today.

Adam Josephson -- KeyBanc -- Analyst

Thanks so much. Roger. Best of luck.

Operator

At this time, I'd like to turn the call over to Roger Schrum for closing remarks, Sir.

Roger Schrum -- Vice President of Investor Relations & Corporate Affairs

Thank you again, and again thanks everyone for joining us today. As Howard mentioned we will be sending out electronic invitations for our December 10th Virtual Investor Day next week. If you'd like to RSVP for the event in advance, you can contact Robin Hyder in our investor relations office at 843-383-3450 And again, we appreciate your interest in the company as always. If you have any further questions don't hesitate to reach out to us. Thanks again for joining us.

Operator

[Operator Closing Remarks]

Duration: 82 minutes

Call participants:

Roger Schrum -- Vice President of Investor Relations & Corporate Affairs

Julie Albrecht -- Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

Howard Coker -- President & Chief Executive Officer

Adam Josephson -- KeyBanc -- Analyst

Mark Wilde -- Bank of Montreal -- Analyst

George Staphos -- Bank of America -- Analyst

Ghansham Panjabi -- Baird -- Analyst

Kyle White -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

Salvator Tiano -- Seaport Global -- Analyst

Josh Spector -- UBS -- Analyst

Gabe Hajde -- Wells Fargo -- Analyst

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