PTC Therapeutics Inc (PTCT) Q3 2021 Earnings Call Transcript

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PTC Therapeutics Inc (PTCT 1.05%)
Q3 2021 Earnings Call
Oct 28, 2021, 4:30 p.m. ET

Contents:

• Prepared Remarks
• Questions and Answers
• Call Participants

Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the PTC Therapeutics Third Quarter 2021 Corporate Update and Financial Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Kylie O'Keefe, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Kylie O'Keefe -- Vice President, Head of Global Strategic Marketing & Business Intelligence

Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us today to discuss the PTC Therapeutics third quarter 2021 corporate update and financial results. Joining me on today's call is our Chief Executive Officer, Stuart Peltz; our Chief Development Officer, Matthew Klein; and our Chief Business Officer, Eric Pauwels; and our Chief Financial Officer, Emily Hill [Operator Instructions] With that, let me pass the call over to our CEO, Stuart Peltz. Stu?

Stuart Peltz -- Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director

Thanks, Kylie, and thank you all for dialing in. I'm excited to tell you about our progress this quarter as we have continued to demonstrate remarkable commercial revenue and have been making good progress across our robust pipeline. At PTC, we are committed to creating both short and long-term value for all our stakeholders. To accomplish this, we have built a company that discovers, develops, and commercializes therapies to treat patients of high unmet medical needs. We are building a sustainable pipeline that at steady state will develop new therapies that reach commercialization on a continuous basis.

This will allow us to substantially grow our revenue base so that it will continue to increase in the years to come. The results of all these efforts are bearing fruit. We see continuous and impressive commercial revenue growth of our products, and we now have five ongoing registration-directed studies, with an increasing number of preclinical and clinical studies in progress. We are building a sustainable, enduring biopharmaceutical company. Turning to this quarter's DMD franchise commercial revenue. We continue to deliver impressive year-over-year growth. The franchise has grown by 39% compared to the third quarter of 2020, with $114 million in total revenue.

This was primarily driven by new patient starts for both Emflaza and Translarna, and geographic expansion for Translarna. I'm pleased to announce that we are raising our 2021 revenue guidance for the DMD franchise to $400 million to $420 million from the $370 million to $390 million. Eric and Emily will go into more detail shortly. Now I'd like to highlight the significant milestones achieved in Brazil with both Tegsedi and Waylivra this quarter. In August, we were pleased to announce the approval of Waylivra in Brazil. This is the first approved treatment for familial chylomicronemia syndrome or FCS, and we're excited to be able to bring this therapy to patients in need.

This was not the only milestone for Brazil this quarter. I'm also happy to report that Tegsedi, which is for the treatment of hATTR amyloidosis, received category one pricing. Category one pricing is given to innovative treatments that show benefits over current standards of care. Due to the Portuguese descent, there is a higher prevalence of hATTR patients in the Brazilian population. Eric will go into more detail on the remarkable progress of the commercial team later in this call. Now let me turn to Evrysdi, which is the first commercial product from our innovative splicing platform. Evrysdi continues to show strong revenue this quarter and with approximately 20% total market share in just over a year after launch.

Arising in the most prescribed SMA treatment in the United States, and Roche expects further growth in 2021 with approval in 63 countries and its continued focus on the pricing and reimbursement efforts outside of the U.S. The success of our commercial portfolio demonstrates our ability to utilize our commercial engine to grow revenues to further invest in the pipeline, which I'll now discuss in more detail. In particular, I'd like to start with our near-term value drivers. I'm excited to announce that we have initiated the registration-directed trial called Aphenity or PTC 923 in PKU. We view this as a significant opportunity as there is a well-defined patient population through newborn screening, known centers of excellence, and a clear pathway to approval with a blood-based biomarker as an endpoint as well as having an enriched population through a run-in responder analysis that increases our chance of success. Let me talk about our next two registration-directed trials from our Bio-e platform.

The Bio-e platform targets excess electron and the activated stress that contributes to multiple disease states. The first compound from this platform, vatiquinone, inhibits 15 lipoxins, a key regulator that controls the access data stress response. The first of the registration-directed trials with vatiquinone is the MIT-E study in patients with mitochondrial disease associated with seizures. We expect results in the third quarter of 2022, and if positive, will be the basis of our NDA. Our second registration-directed vatiquinone trial, Move-FA, is in patients with Friedreich Ataxia, a mitochondrial disease that affects neuromuscular function. We're grateful for the collaboration and support from the FA community in helping us to drive enrollment.

We anticipate results in 2023. We're also moving ahead with the next-generation compound from the Bio-e platform, PTC 857. We have selected ALS as the first indication and are aiming to initiate the Phase two trial for PTC 857 in the first quarter of next year. I'll now discuss our innovative splicing platform with a focus on PTC 518 for the treatment of Huntington's disease. We recently reported results from PTC 518 healthy volunteer trial. We were able to show dose-dependent lowering of both HTTmRNA and protein and achieved the targeted 30% to 50% reduction.

We also demonstrated that the PTC 518 passes the blood-brain barrier and has minimal E plus. These are key attributes that treat Huntington's disease. We remain very excited about this program and are moving as rapidly as possible into Phase two. Moving into the Phase two trial. We will replicate safety, tolerability and pharmacology of PTC 518 as well as decreases in Huntington mRNA and protein levels in the Huntington's disease patients. Matt will go into more detail on our Phase two program shortly. Now moving on to AADC.

In Europe, we still expect to see each of the opinion by the end of this year and look forward to bringing this transformational therapy to AADC deficiency patients. I'm also pleased that we recently held a ribbon-cutting ceremony for our gene therapy manufacturing center of excellence in Hopewell. New Jersey. Our new state-of-the-art facility is well equipped and staffed to produce high-quality plasma and AV vectors for gene therapy applications. I'm very proud of the progress we've made over the past quarter with exciting commercial achievements and steady-state progress across our pipeline.

This speaks to the dedication of our people who have worked incredibly hard in the face of the ongoing challenges brought by the pandemic. The past 18 months have required perseverance, I'm proud to say that we've continued to execute across all fronts. We have all the ingredients, research, development, and commercialization in place that positions us to be a growing, revenue-generating, enduring biopharmaceutical company. I'll now turn the call over to Matt for an update on the development program. Matt?

Matt Klein -- Chief Development Officer

Thanks, Stu. I'm happy to provide an update on the continued progress of our pipeline programs. I will begin with our PTC 923 PKU program. As planned, we initiated enrollment in the Aphenity trial, our global Phase three registration-directed trial of PTC 923 in pediatric and adult PKU patients. This double-blind, placebo-controlled trial will include a run-in phase to identify responders to PTC 923, who will then be randomized to receive either PTC923 or placebo for six weeks. As of previous approved therapies for PKU, the primary endpoint of the Aphenity trial is reduction of phenylalanine.

Following completion of placebo-controlled trial, subjects will then be enrolled in a long-term open-label extension study. We expect to have results from the placebo-controlled trial by the end of 2022. Turning now to our PTC 518 Huntington's disease program. Following the announcement of the successful Phase one study results in healthy volunteers, we are moving forward with our Phase two study in Huntington's disease patients. This study, pivot HD, will include a 12-week double-blind, placebo-controlled phase, followed by a one-year open-label extension phase. The study will enroll approximately 100 to 150 subjects who will be randomized to receive placebo for one of two dose levels of PTC 518.

The primary objective of the placebo-controlled phase is to demonstrate safety, pharmacology, and evidence of each HTT mRNA and protein lowering in HD patients. In addition, we will collect CSF, plasma, and CNS radiographic biomarker data in both the placebo-controlled and long-term extension phases of the study that could provide evidence of meaningful PTC 518 treatment effect. As we discussed in our program update last month, the inclusion criteria for the Pivot HD trial were carefully constructed to ensure enrollment of a study population in whom we can demonstrate treatment effect over the course of the study. The criteria for this Goldilocks population were developed based on extensive analyses of the HD clinical and biomarker natural history databases.

We look forward to initiating the Phase two study by the end of this year. Next, I'll provide updates on our Bio-e platform. As Stu mentioned, we are continuing enrollment in the two registration-directed trials of vatiquinone in mitochondrial disease-associated seizures, the MIT-E trial and in Friedreich Ataxia, the Move-FA trial. I am proud of the progress our teams have made in activating our global study sites to allow for enrollment of these trials during the pandemic. We expect results from the MIT-E trial in Q3 2022 and from the Move-FA trial in 2023. As we reported last quarter, we completed the Phase one healthy volunteer trial of PTC 857 and are now moving forward with a Phase two trial in patients with ALS.

As a reminder, PTC 857 inhibits the enzyme 15-Lipoxygenase, a key regulator of the inflammation and oxidative stress pathway known as. is a recently described cell death pathway that has been demonstrated to be key to neurodegenerative disease pathology, including ALS and Parkinson's disease. In a series of preclinical studies, we have demonstrated that PTC 857 is a potent protector of neuronal cell death and neuropathology in a number of in vitro and in vivo neurodegenerative disease test systems. We plan to initiate the Phase two study in the first quarter of 2022, and we'll provide additional details on the study design once it is finalized. We are excited about the progress we have been making in our ongoing registration-directed trials and look forward to initiating the Phase two trials for PTC 518 and PTC 857 in the near future. I'll now turn the call over to Eric for an update on our commercial business. Eric?

Eric Pauwels -- Chief Business Officer

Thanks, Matt. Our PTC customer-facing team has delivered another outstanding quarter in our global DMD franchise. We have built a strong foundation for our potential launch of the PTC AADC gene therapy, which will follow the anticipated EMEA approval and will continue to drive our geographic expansion across the globe to strengthen our commercial engine. Our strong revenue growth continues in our DMD franchise with a 39% increase year-over-year. This brings our year-to-date sales for the DMD franchise to $306 million. Our 2021 revenue guidance was originally at $355 million to $375 million at the beginning of 2021, which in Q2 was raised to $370 million to $390 million.

Based on the continued strong year-to-date performance, we are pleased to announce that we are raising our 2021 revenue guidance for the DMD franchise to $400 million to $420 million, a substantial increase over the original guidance. New patient starts, continued high compliance and a focus in operational excellence has fueled sustained growth of Emflaza. This quarter, we achieved $47 million in revenue, which is a 22% increase over the third quarter of 2020. Turning to Translarna. We achieved $67 million in revenue this quarter, a 55% growth over the third quarter of 2020.

As a reminder, especially in rare diseases, significant international markets like Brazil can produce large orders, create lumpiness due to the uneven government-driven orders that vary over the course of the year. This drives large quarter-over-quarter growth in comparison to others. In this quarter, the successful launch in Russia was a key driver of our growth as we received centralized reimbursement in Russia and obtained a significant order for a large group of nonsense mutation DMD patients. Additionally, we are seeing continued growth in main European markets and driving geographical expansion in Central and Eastern Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, and Asia Pacific, which remains important to our future growth.

We are also excited to recently share the real-world results from the Strive patient registry, demonstrating that treatment with Translarna delays loss of emulation by more than five years in boys with nonsense mutation Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy compared to standards of care alone. This is further adding to the totality of evidence for the benefit of Translarna. We are making continued progress for access to Translarna with reimbursement agreements now established for patients in Finland and the Netherlands and broader coverage for two to five-year olds for patients in Italy. Despite significant COVID-19 challenges in Brazil, we are pleased with ANVISA's approval of expansion of the Translarna label to include patients in the two to five-year-old range.

Across Latin America, we continue to see increases in newly diagnosed DMD patients and expect to fulfill an order for Translarna in Brazil in the fourth quarter this year to treat both new and existing DMD patients in the country. Now turning to Tegsedi and Waylivra. We are excited to announce that we have successfully received Category one innovation classification from CMED, the drug market regulation chamber in Brazil. CMED price categorization is the first critical step in getting pricing and reimbursement in Brazil. Category one classification is given to innovative treatments that provide greater efficacy than current standards of care and allows for pricing in line with international markets.

Tegsedi's categorization as an innovative treatment is a key milestone toward optimizing the value in Latin America. We will continue to provide main patient access and now commence reimbursement negotiations with Comatec, Brazil's health technology assessment body for inclusion of Tegsedi in the Brazilian Public health system or SUS. As a reminder, there are an estimated 5,000 patients with hATTR amyloidosis in Brazil. Tegsedi is the first antisense medicine available for patients in Brazil to address the underlying cause of the disease. We were thrilled to announce that Waylivra was approved by ANVISA in Brazil as of August 2021. Following the approval, we have commenced discussions with CMED, the Brazilian pricing authorities. Waylivra is the first treatment for FCS in Brazil. FCS is a rare metabolic genetic disease, which results in a significant disease burden to patients, including potentially fatal pancreatitis and other chronic complications.

We have been engaging in patient finding in Latin America with ongoing success and now have patients on treatment in LatAm through early access programs. I will now touch on the preparations for PTC's first gene therapy launch for PTC AADC. We have built the foundation to support a strong launch, which we anticipate to occur in Europe shortly after final approval. PTC continues to accelerate patient screening activities in enriched, high-risk population. Significant progress has also been made with the identification and preparation of expert pediatric neurological centers of excellence throughout the United States and the EU to ensure treatment center readiness at the time of launch, and we remain focused on identifying patients globally in markets where gene therapy access is available.

We are proud to have commemorated October 23rd as AADC Deficiency Awareness Day, together with the AADC family network, and look forward to bringing this much-needed treatment to patients very soon. The third quarter has been yet another strong quarter with sustained growth in the DMD franchise. I am looking forward to a strong Q4 as our global customer-facing teams continue to execute flawlessly against their strategic initiatives. I will now turn the call over to Emily for a financial update. Emily?

Emily Hill -- Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Eric. We have continued to see substantial revenue growth from our commercial portfolio this quarter, and we remain in a strong position to continue to support strategic advancement across our diverse pipeline. We look forward to continuing to deliver on important milestones across all of our programs. The press release issued earlier this afternoon summarizes the details of our third quarter 2021 financial results. I will take a few minutes now to review these financial results, but please refer to the press release for further details.

Beginning with top line results, total revenues were $138.7 million for the third quarter of 2021, a 17% increase over the third quarter of 2020. This revenue includes $115.6 million in net product sales and $23.1 million in royalty and collaboration revenue. The strong growth of the DMD franchise continued this quarter with Translarna net product sales of $67.2 million compared to $43.4 million in the third quarter of 2020. Continued geographic expansion, particularly in Russia, has been driving this growth. Year-over-year, Emflaza revenue is also up this quarter with net products revenue of $47.1 million, over $38.5 million in the third quarter of 2020. This has primarily been driven by better compliance and new prescription starts. Due to this strong performance, we have raised revenue guidance for the DMD franchise to $400 million to $420 million from $370 million to $390 million.

Turning now to Evrysdi, where our partner, Roche, has reported year-to-date revenue of CHF396 million, resulting in $33.3 million in year-to-date royalties to PTC. Royalties to PTC for the third quarter were $13.1 million in royalty revenue. As a reminder, PTC also retains sales-based cash milestones, and the $10 million milestone payment for the first commercial sale in Japan was received by PTC this quarter. In addition to this, PTC has an additional $325 million in sales-based milestones remaining, with a $25 million payment expected when the threshold of $500 million in revenue is reached.

Non-GAAP R&D expenses were $117.8 million for the third quarter of 2021, excluding $13 million in non-cash stock-based compensation expense compared to $83.8 million for the third quarter of 2020, excluding $9.2 million in non-cash stock-based compensation expense. Non-GAAP SG&A expenses were $56.4 million for the third quarter of 2021, excluding $12.8 million in non-cash stock-based compensation expense, compared to $50.3 million for the third quarter of 2020, excluding $7.6 million in non-cash stock-based compensation expense. We have lowered and narrowed the range of our non-GAAP R&D and SG&A expense for the full year 2021 to $715 million to $735 million from $725 million to $755 million. Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities totaled $867.9 million as of September 30, 2021, compared to $1.1 billion as of December 31, 2020. I will now turn the call over to the operator for Q&A. Operator?

Questions and Answers:

Operator

Our first question comes from Eric Joseph with JP Morgan.

Hannah Temiloluwa Adeoye -- JPMorgan -- Analyst

This is Hannah on for Eric. Just a few from us. So first, with respect to your oral slicing platform, just wondering if there are any other trinucleotide repeat disorders that you might be looking to expand into over the near term, such as mytonic dystrophy or Friedreich Ataxia? And then next with regard to PTC 299, the FITE19, COVID-19 study, just wondering if you're able to talk about powering assumptions for your primary endpoint of time to expiratory improvement? And just maybe what some of the entry criteria are as it relates to prior vaccine exposure or COVID-19 seropositivity?

Stuart Peltz -- Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director

Sure. Okay. I'll start with the oral splicing. I think that the splicing one and the platform, and as what we've been talking about in terms of the splicing, it's really quite interesting that we've been able to build the informatics program that allows us to identify, which sort of U one sites that we can monitor, we've been particularly interested in the nucleotide repeats as well. So I'll speak more generally and just say we've built a platform that's capable of looking at those, and we have a high interest in multiple other repeats like myotonic dystrophy that you said as well as others.

And we think that we can use the platform in interesting ways to be able to tackle other ones. We've talked previously about what we've disclosed as a SCA3 and meftal. So we have a bunch of other -- and then we probably have five or six more programs that we haven't disclosed yet. But we've always been interested in the ability to be able to reduce the expression of these using our technologies and that we can. So I think that's being used quite well. In the case of 299 and Fight'19, I'll ask that over to either Matt or Kiley on that one.

Matt Klein -- Chief Development Officer

So thank you question on the FITE19 trial. So as you mentioned, our primary endpoint in that trial is time to sustain or time just stay, which is defined as an oxygen saturation of 94% on lumer, which is sustained until discharged from the hospital or the end of the study, which is day 28. Basically, the powering assumptions here were based on a estimation of median time to respiratory improvement in the placebo group, which we've taken, which is based out of existing data, which was roughly 11 days, and then we had a hypothesized treatment effect and then basically looked at a hazard ratio of 1.3 two-sided type, which had us to our sample size of 380 subjects, which we believe gives us more than 80% power to detect that difference. In terms of your question regarding the vaccination, we don't have any criteria that include or exclude that previous proximation or -- and when that relates to seropositivity.

Hannah Temiloluwa Adeoye -- JPMorgan -- Analyst

Okay great. Thanks for taking the questions.

Operator

Our next question comes from Danielle Brill with Raymond James.

Danielle Brill -- Raymond James -- Analyst

I guess, first, on the doses for Phase two, the 518 study, I'm presuming 30-milligram will be one of the two doses you're thinking of using. Are you contemplating going higher or lower for the second dose? And then do you think it's reasonable to assume we may have data, 12-week data next year?

Stuart Peltz -- Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director

Yes. Maybe I'll start and then pass it on to Matt. You might remember that we did the Phase one study where we we did a 15 and 30 milligram, and we saw in the 30-milligram up to 65% of the RNA that was reduced, and we would anticipate that at steady states of protein levels, which go down as a number. I think what we'd be initially targeting is what we've said is the 30% to 50% of that to be able to get to that. And the way we're thinking about this as well as probably also thinking about taking advantage of some of the fact that we see a bit higher levels in the CSF, so that gives us really an opportunity to actually look at a range of doses. So Matt, maybe I'll pass on to you now, give the thinking on that.

Matt Klein -- Chief Development Officer

Yes, absolutely. So the 30-milligram dose was the dose that we used for the protein cohort, as you said, which really got us to at least 65% mRNA and model protein reduction. And as you said, all while, we've been using the inputs from Phase one, which was the blood mRNA and protein reduction as well as plasma exposure and CSF exposure to come up with a range of dose levels that would put us in that 5% to 20% -- I'm sorry, the 30% to 50% range, which we believe will be somewhere target dose is somewhere between 5% and 20%. We generally don't give out all the details of the design until the protocol is up and running, and we're ready to start.

So we'll have more specific information on that as we get closer, but needless to say, we'll be leveraging the type tradability of the molecule. And as we learned from the first placebo-controlled phase about the relationship between dose so PK/PD in terms of Huntington mRA protein reduction in patients, we'll have the opportunity to titrate that dose if, in fact, there's any differences between what we observed in Phase one and what we observed in HD patients. In terms of the design and data, you alluded that the 12-week placebo-controlled phase.

We said that we are looking to plan to start that study before the end of the year. Those subjects will then roll over to a long-term extension, where we'll be focusing on measuring changes in important biomarkers of disease, including the reduction in Huntington mRNA, and protein in the blood as well as in the CSF, and look at other important biomarkers of disease, including NFL as well as volume after changes on MRI In terms of timing to data, I think we'll have more detailed information on time to results once we get the trial started. So we will be giving you more information on that in the future.

Danielle Brill -- Raymond James -- Analyst

So, sorry, just to clarify, Matt, would you intend to provide data after the placebo-controlled portion? Or would you wait until the one-year crossover completes?

Matt Klein -- Chief Development Officer

Yes, I expect we'll share the data after the placebo-controlled phase because that first part of the study is very important in terms of establishing the PK/PD relationship in Huntington disease patients. That will be very important and formally the dose level for the efficacy trial, whether that's done as a Phase three or we're able to take advantage of the accelerated approval pathway as opposed to marketing. So we do believe that datasets our employees would share.

Danielle Brill -- Raymond James -- Analyst

Okay, makes sense. Thank you so much for clarifying.

Operator

Our next question comes from Tazeen with Bank of America.

Tazeen Ahmad -- Bank of America -- Analyst

A question for you, Stu. How are you thinking about the Translarna franchise in Europe, specifically, given that it's a relatively mature product now, where do you see most of the new uptake coming from these days? And then I have a couple of follow-ups.

Stuart Peltz -- Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director

Yes, sure. So I think you're seeing still growth, which is predominantly in new patients, and geographic expansion, which we're continuing to do, and it's been quite -- it's been going quite well. Eric, why don't you go through what the team has been to?

Eric Pauwels -- Chief Business Officer

Yes. Thanks, Stu. So Tazeen, yes, right now, a lot of our growth that we've seen in the quarter has continued to come from a lot of the main markets. We're seeing very high compliance. We're also implementing a lot of dose adjustments as patients are getting older and heavier. And we're seeing growth in many of the main markets where we have been quite mature and have launched the product over at least five, six, seven years. But we're also seeing growth in other parts of Europe and in the international markets. As I mentioned during the call, we have recently launched in Russia.

And very quickly, we were able to get centralized reimbursement in Russia. And also very quickly, a significant order came in for a group of patients. So that dynamic is quite interesting as its similar to Brazil. So it's -- they're large orders for a number of patients, which creates a little bit of lumpy revenues quarter-over-quarter. But what we see continued growth with Translarna is that patients are staying on drug for a long period of time. They're dosing with the dose. There are as long -- there are patients that we are seeing, new patients that are coming in in areas in Central and Eastern Europe and Latin America and many other areas. So the collective around Europe and international is extremely important.

And in some of the tough payers, even some payers that we've had to fight with for a number of years and months have shown that they're willing now to pay, which have been more restrictive in the past. And then there's obviously a lot of the label expansions that have occurred. We had label expansions for children at beginning of two years and really broadening the number of eligible patients. And then the number of less restrictions that are going on right now in terms of patients who go nonambulatory. So physicians are making, if you will, a sort of risk-benefit decision before taking patients who are not off drugs before nonambulatory. So if I had to actually look at it collectively, it is a combination of good patient compliance, dosing adjustments, geographic expansion, and particularly in key markets. And this quarter, clearly, Russia and our main markets have really driven Translarna in what is probably one of our strongest revenue quarters to date.

Tazeen Ahmad -- Bank of America -- Analyst

Okay. So related to what you just said, the guidance and sales that you introduced today, would you say that's coming more from confidence in Translarna or from uptake for Emflaza? And then my last question, probably for Emily here is, can you just talk to us about your expense estimates, it looks like they're going lower relative to last year? And why is that?

Matt Klein -- Chief Development Officer

Sure. Okay. So yes, obviously, there's a lot of confidence in both Translarna and Emflaza, and they both have been growing. So Eric, do you want to talk a little bit about growth of both of those two?

Eric Pauwels -- Chief Business Officer

Yes, absolutely. I mean, we saw 22% quarter-over-quarter growth with Emflaza, and then we got $47 million in the quarter. We've seen that again, a combination of different things, but primarily, again, very high compliance. We've been also working on dose adjustments. We've minimized dropouts, but we've also seen a lot of new patients from -- that have gone on to Emflaza, not only new patients who are naive, but many patients who are switching based on a number of key publications and scientific data now.

And of course, the experience that we generated that shows that Emflaza is superior to prednisone. So we see a lot of those tailwinds that implied the continuing as the base of patients is growing with Emflaza. For Translarna, I think we are equally confident based on the things that I mentioned. And we're looking forward to continued geographic expansion. Keep in mind, all the work that we did over the last probably a year, a year and half to expand in many of these markets is paying off, and we've continued those investments in Asia Pacific and also in other places in Latin America, and we expect those to continue to provide us growth. So overall, I think we're very confident.

Emily Hill -- Chief Financial Officer

And then, this is Emily, Tazeen, when it comes to your OpEx question, I think it's really just a result of 2021 being a full year impact of COVID versus 2020. So obviously, we've greatly reduced our travel expense, and then Eric's team has very successfully transitioned to holding most of their physician seminars and consortiums virtually.

Tazeen Ahmad -- Bank of America -- Analyst

Helpful, thank you.

Operator

Our next question comes from Alethia Young with Cantor Fitzgerald.

Nina Daniels -- Cantor Fitzgerald -- Analyst

This is Nina for Alethia. We are wondering what gives you confidence in the MIT-E readout in the third quarter of 2022? And how do you think of risk for that trial? And also another one. We were curious how you were planning to update us on the FDA feedback for the Phase two PTC 518 trial next year?

Stuart Peltz -- Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director

Sure. The MIT-E, Matt, do you want to go through that?

Matt Klein -- Chief Development Officer

Yes, absolutely. That's our -- so MIT-E trial is the registration-directed trial in children with mitochondrial disease-associated seizures. And as we've talked a bit about before, this is a highly morbid and severe symptom mitochondrial disease that occurs across many different other disease subtypes. And so the trial, this Phase 2/3 trial was really constructed based on a number of mechanistic data as well as previous clinical data we have in the treatment of mitochondrial disease, children with seizures who have a variety of different genotypes and phenotypes. And so what we've been able to demonstrate in our previous studies is that we are able to reduce seizure frequency, reduce the occurrence and arrest the occurrence of status epilepticus, which is the condition of continued seizures in one specific subtype of mitochondrial outlets.

So we've been able to demonstrate that we can reduce disease-related hospitalizations in that cohort, the children on average had 52 days in the hospital over the course of the year. That was reduced to 0 days in the hospital, following two and three years on therapy. And in that cohort, we were also able to demonstrate a mortality benefit. So when we looked across not only that one subtype and again, across all the different subtypes we treated, we've been able to demonstrate that we're able to affect seizure frequency and seizure-related morbidity in children.

And again, the fact that vatiquinone targets the 15-lipoxygenase enzyme and the oxygen stress response pathway that is common to the disease pathology, regardless of the underlying genotype phenotype is what gives us further confidence that we're able to demonstrate the treatment benefit across the whole family of mitochondrial disorders, again, independent of the specific mutation. So that trial is enrolling 60 children at centers around the world. We've been able to work closely with that global network and close relationships with patient foundations around the world that we've been able to develop over the course of many years and are moving forward with enrollment in that trial. And as we said, expecting the data and results in the third quarter of 2022. I missed the second part of your question, if you could just repeat it related to that trial.

Nina Daniels -- Cantor Fitzgerald -- Analyst

Just how do you think about risks for that trial?

Matt Klein -- Chief Development Officer

Yes. So I think, obviously, in constructing this trial, we leveraged our many years of experience in doing trials in children with mitochondrial disease. And I think when you talk about mitochondrial disease, one of the biggest challenges in drug development is the heterogeneity of disease, not only heterogeneity in genotype but also heterogeneity genotype, phenotype relationship. And so we took that into careful consideration in designing this trial. And to overcome that, we, again, are pleased that we're focused on a symptom that's common to all of these different subtypes. So we don't have to worry about different constellation of symptoms.

We know that all the children in the trial have the symptom of seizures, and we're also employing a strategy that's been using several successful approval trials for pediatric epilepsy syndromes. That's utilizing a running phase to ensure a minimum frequency of seizures and then having the subsequent parallel arm only enrolling those children who met that threshold. In addition to account for any heterogeneity that might still come into play, we're stratifying the randomization for the most common subtypes so we ensure balance across both the placebo and the control group. And we think all of those are very good measures at addressing what we know could be potential risks in the design of that trial.

Nina Daniels -- Cantor Fitzgerald -- Analyst

Got it. And I guess for the second question, just how do you plan on updating us on the FDA feedback for the Phase two trial for PTC 518 next year?

Stuart Peltz -- Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director

So I think what we'll be doing is, obviously, once we initiate the trial, we'll be telling you, we'll let everyone know. And also, after we get the results after the 12 weeks, we would actually talk about that as well.

Nina Daniels -- Cantor Fitzgerald -- Analyst

Okay, thank you. That was helpful.

Operator

Our next question comes from Raju Prasad with William Blair.

Raju Prasad -- William Blair -- Analyst

Thanks for taking the question. I know you guys recently opened the gene therapy facility. Can you talk a little bit about your plans for scaling that up with, obviously, the AADC program as well as some of the follow-on gene therapy programs? Just kind of getting a sense of what type of scale you'll have in GMP compliance and things of that nature?

Stuart Peltz -- Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director

Yes, sure. In terms of compliance, and it's a fully operating facility. We have about 220,000 square feet of both suites where we can grow and prepare the viral vectors as well as the ability to do both as well in that manner. And so we've built -- the team is now fully capable of not only a preparation of our own plasma in-house, but also preparation of all the viral vector that's required to do that, and we have all of the manufacturing capabilities to do that in-house as well as all the quality and analytical to be able to perform those as well.

So that's all being done, and we've been doing this for our other programs that are going on like what we talked about for FA as well as for Angelman syndrome and others as well. So the team is capable of doing that, both in the GMP manner, can do it from 30 liters to 1,000-liter facility and make the plasmas as well. We've also been, as I said, and I think I talked about in the past we'll be doing it for external -- potential external customers. We don't anticipate yet we'll be -- it will take a little bit time to be fully functional.

And so we use some of the extra space we have to be able to bring in potential customers, especially with plasma, where, in a sense, we'll be able to bring in, not only work through that, but also be able to bring in revenue as well. So the system itself is now -- the site is all up and running, capable of making both plasma, some DNA, and we've been making both vectors as well as plasmas now. And we're confident we can do this, and so we're going to be doing -- fulfill all the needs we have as we grow and do more and more and then also be able to have some customers on the upside.

Raju Prasad -- William Blair -- Analyst

Great. And with regards to Aphenity, I may have missed this, but do you have a sense of the number of patients that you're trying to try and enroll in the arms and just given kind of the penetration of generic Kuvan into the market. Just wondering if you think the delta that you've seen kind of Phase two, do you recapitulate that? But do you think that will be enough to convert most patients over? Or do you think that you'll need kind of a bigger effect or you're going to go into Kuvan failures? Just kind of curious to know the strategy based on what you may see in the registration trial.

Stuart Peltz -- Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director

Yes. So I think that's an excellent point and that while there's a large number of patients, both patients that have been on Kuvan and have failed or have never shown any improvement on it. So there's a large number of patients where Kuvan doesn't do well, for patients. So we don't think even with the generic that it's going to be a problem to bring in. To be able to bring in enough patients to do this, we're targeting about 80 patients for the primary analysis cohort. Obviously, just to remind everyone, we'll have a run-in for that. So we'll know people will be responsive to it.

North So it's already set up, I think, for a high chance of success. We've enriched the study population of patients who are -- who respond to it. And just to remind everybody, we had done a previous Phase two study show directly comparing Kuvan to our drug. And so -- and I think what we've shown is that we see a higher number of patients, about 50% more of responded, and they had a greater effect of reducing phenylalanine than we saw patients on Kuvan. So we think it's obviously better. We view this as really a, quite a significant opportunity. Really, if you think about it, it's a very well-defined patient population.

There's newborn screening centers of excellence is, the pathway to approval is well known. It's a blood-based biomarker where you can measure phenylalanine in a large number of patients in which many of them are need for improvement of a better drug. So we're excited about that and we think that there obviously we'll see increasing success because we have a run-in into responder analysis in the Aphenity study. So in our view, there's a very high unmet medical need in PKU as the majority of patients remain untreated and are not well controlled, even though there are two commercial products that are available. So we think this is a significant opportunity.

Raju Prasad -- William Blair -- Analyst

Great, thank you.

Operator

Our next question comes from Brian Abrahams with our RBC Capital markets.

Steve -- RBC Capital Markets -- Analyst

This is Steve on for Brian. On 518 and building off an earlier question, I'm curious, can you speak a bit more on what you might have to show for safety there? How long you might have to follow patients for potential accelerated approval? And if you looked at differences in transcriptome or protium, caused by 518 in preclinical models or clinical tissue comparing healthy and Huntington samples? And does that hinted any possible differences in safety?

Stuart Peltz -- Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director

Yes. So we -- I'll make a couple of points. One is, obviously, safety is usually dependent upon both how it does in patients as well as the safety toxicology. These -- I will say that these molecules are highly selective molecules. And I think we spend a lot of -- and I think that's really a differentiating factor for us, it's an early but available small molecule, where we really worked on to have selectivity and specificity of 518, so that it's very highly specific for HTT and for that particular U one site. And so obviously, what we're going to do is well, we'll review the results in terms of the safety, we'll be following that. And what we're going to be doing is in the placebo-controlled study will review the results on the Phase two study to see how patients do in terms of the levels of reduction, both the blood -- within the blood of TTR and they have protein in the levels that change within the CSF as well, and we'll be monitoring a number of other biomarkers as well.

And then to your question of potential accelerating of approval, that's why we -- why we're actually going beyond the 12 weeks. Following that, they transition on to an open-label study for -- in which they'll be on for a total of 15 months, and that gives the long-term safety as a consequence of that. So we think if there's a potential for an accelerated approval, what we're interested in that is that we'll have not only the -- looking at the hTT RNA and protein levels, but other biomarkers as well. And so what we've found in the transcriptome, we've looked in a lot of cells and we've seen that at concentrations, I see, we see really only very few changes in gene expression or in alternative splicing. So it's highly selective and specific.

Steve -- RBC Capital Markets -- Analyst

Great, thanks for that. Really helpful, appreciate it.

Operator

Our next question comes from [Indecipherable] with Barclays.

Sheldon -- Barclays -- Analyst

This is Sheldon on for Gina. We have maybe two questions. First, congrats on the good quarter. Could you frame for us how big is the Brazilian order and also the Russian launch contribution in Q3 number? And how should we think about the going forward run rate? And my next question is about 518 Phase two trial. Have you got any feedback from the FDA on what biomarkers will be deemed good predictor of clinical benefit?

Stuart Peltz -- Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director

Yes. Sure. So obviously, in terms of the FDA for Huntington's diness, we have not yet talked to them on the biomarkers. Clearly, it's important, we think. though. We will be measuring the biomarkers of both RNA and protein and blood as well as the changes in Huntington protein and the CSF and then other biomarkers like neurofilament, and then we'll be looking at other MRI measurements and biometric measurements as well. Both end up at the CSF and plasma as well. So I think that along -- and obviously, if you think about Huntington's disease versus, say, Alzheimer's. It's a monogenetic disorder that we know is a gain of function, and we know that it's a consequence of the HDT with the CAG repeat and that lowered levels -- and there's both animal data as well as natural history and clinical input patients that show that reducing that improve the outcome for patients.

So I think if there's ever a biomarker where you could show a reduction of HTT levels, and you know that the consequence of the disease is due to the hTT RNA and protein and that lowering that level actually helps patients in terms of lower levels delays the progression of the disease. You're in a pretty good spot to be able to say that you know you're hitting the -- in a sense the -- lowering the levels of protein and RNA and the result of that should be better outcome. So I think there's pretty good arguments that would make. And that's then coupled with looking at the CSF and other biomarkers. Preservation of brain volume and others, there's a package of information that we think would be important.

In terms of the growth, yes, I think Eric already gave a little bit saying that we're obviously -- the beauty of continuing to grow and have geographic expansion is that while things may be lumpy, different groups are ordering at different times. It helps move it out a little bit more. And so while Brazil in this year was hit relatively hard with COVID, the commercial team has been working tirelessly with the Minister of Health to secure a group purchase. We do expect one in the fourth quarter of this year. And maybe, Eric, you want to talk a little bit about this, Russia?

Eric Pauwels -- Chief Business Officer

Yes, Stu. I think you have to characterize Russia in this quarter, very similar to what perhaps four or five years ago was Brazil. So in these -- some of these countries, the government will order or will provide access and reimbursement, and we'll provide a single order for a very large number of patients for a number of months. So that creates the lumpiness. And while we don't necessarily provide a specific -- the size and the orders and the revenue of the orders that -- within that quarter, you can easily go back four, five years and start to look at where we've had some lumpy quarters, particularly when we started adding new patients in Brazil and getting multiple orders or at least one or two orders a year for a large group of patients.

The dynamic in this quarter was that Russia was a key driver of that growth. And a centralized reimbursement in that order is what helped us have one of our best quarters ever. And as Steve mentioned, we anticipate and we're working tirelessly right now. We have an agreement in Brazil, and we anticipate filling that order for a large group of patients as well in the fourth quarter. So it's very hard to predict. These governments tend to have erratic buying patterns, and they do sometimes pick the number of patients in a number of months, which is not always predictable. So it's kind of hard to say what would that be in sort of long quarter-to-quarter forecast. But what I'd like to emphasize is that on an annualized basis, you see trends line growing consistently.

Stuart Peltz -- Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director

And we're seeing like what Eric said before, so we opened up new areas in like Russia, but also Central and Eastern Europe, Middle East, North Africa. We just got in Latin America, Asia Pacific, we're working on. So the -- on top of maintaining all of the patients who've been on it, we've had incredible compliance. And there's just continuous amount of data that we're adding to, like the STRIVE data that Eric talked about, where kids are at five and a half years longer in terms of ambulation, better capabilities in terms of lung function. If the data is becoming -- is just so strong that patients are on for a long time. We keep those -- we maintain them. And then we're getting more and more patients as we get geographic expansion.

Sheldon -- Barclays -- Analyst

Got it, thank you very much.

Operator

Our next question comes from [Technical Issues] Company.

Unidentified Participant

The first one, just on the AADC submission in the U.S. Can you just let us know sort of the cadence of interactions with the FDA, if there are any expected before the BLA submission? Have they signed off on the surgeries that have happened? And then second, just in the Friedreich Ataxia study. Can you just remind us a little bit how you arrived at that -- the 72 endpoint? I know at six months, we maybe saw a little bit of a high placebo response in the prior study. So maybe what were the changes that were made in this pivotal to potentially limit that placebo response?

Stuart Peltz -- Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director

Matt, you want to take some of this?

Matt Klein -- Chief Development Officer

Yes, sure. So first, to the question about the BLA, as we've talked about, we were going to complete the surgeries, collect those data and then meet with the agency to align on the package, ensure everything is in place to make this submission. We have not had that interaction yet. We expect that we'll have the interaction to be able to submit the BLA in the first quarter 2022. In terms of the Move-FA study, as you alluded to, we have based a lot of this study on our previous Phase two trial of vatiquinone Friedreich Ataxia, which had the six-week placebo-controlled phase, followed by the long-term treatment duration where patients were treated out to 24 months.

Importantly, we recorded a placebo effect in that six months, which prevented us achieving statistical significance. And by the way, that's common. If you look across, for example, the trial, had that trial been stopped at six months, they would not have hit their primary endpoint, again, because of a known placebo effect on that outcome measure. But also importantly, when we look at the patients in our Phase two study, we found that over a two year period, we were able to demonstrate an overall improvement in disease, that is a reversal in disease progression and that really reinforced the important concept that one we're able to achieve a therapeutic benefit; and two, that over longer treatments of time, you can actually see a meaningful impact.

And so when we put that together along with the concern of placebo effect, we believe that the 72 week study put us in a very strong position to not only have limited and perhaps a placebo effect that would impact our results, but importantly, be able to reinforce the long-term potential benefit of the vatiquinone therapy in Friedreich Ataxia with regards to not only disease progression as measured by the MPAR scale, but other of the key secondary endpoints that we're collecting in this study.

Stuart Peltz -- Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director

I think we're -- we're learning a lot in terms of neuromuscular diseases where you're not necessarily seeing necessarily kits and prove, but you're stabilizing that you're going to -- you need more time within the trial to be able to get better clinical results?

Unidentified Participant

Yes. I think that makes a lot of sense. And then just last quick one. Now that the gene therapy facility is up and going, and we were on Friedreich Ataxia. Are there any updates on the Friedreich Ataxia gene therapy program when we can maybe see that one into the clinic?

Stuart Peltz -- Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director

Yes. There is -- yes, that one was, obviously, hit by COVID as well in terms of getting the animals completed. The long-term toxicology studies is ongoing. And we -- as we said, we're still on track and expect to dose the first patient in the first half of 2022. So that's where we're at right now. Obviously, the key here will be demonstrate safety of the gene therapy product and then the surgical procedure that we'll be using within the pivotal trial. So that's the goal of those experiments, and it's ongoing. It's just -- we're looking forward to get this going as rapidly as possible.

Unidentified Participant

Perfect, thank you and congrats on the progress.

Operator

Our next question comes from Karnauskas with Truist Securities.

Kripa Devarakonda -- Truist Securities -- Analyst

This is Kripa on for Robyn. I had a question about the Huntington's program. So in deciding what you call the Goldilocks population for your study, you said that you've looked at natural history databases. Firstly, how comfortable are you that or what sort of feedback did you get from the FDA? If you've already talked to them about it, that a natural history study that you do yourself does not need to be a part of the package? And when we see data from the controlled part of the trial, the 12-week part, what can we expect in terms of readouts? Will it be safety and the Huntington RNA and protein levels? Or do you think that is enough time to see a separation in some of the other biomarkers, for example, like NFL?

Stuart Peltz -- Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director

Yes. Thanks for the question. In terms of the -- for the study in natural history, obviously, there's the HD community has a lot of natural history that helps us define where there's over -- in one database, there's over 20,000 patients that one could look at, and it will help us define that. Obviously, within the trial that we're doing, we're doing a placebo control to compare within the first 12 weeks, and then if it goes over, so we'll have that much information. So the natural history of what we're using is and what is critical is really to help us inform the criteria of which patients you can actually see a change in response, right?

Because what you need to -- and the globule acsess, as Matt has talked about for some time now is like it's very much true in many of these types of places where there's an area -- there's a time where if they don't change, you won't see a change, if that's not useful. And then there's a -- what normally happens is if they're so far down the line, it's very hard to see any changes in the two-part, going very similar to how we've seen this in DMD. So we're trying to make sure we pick the right population where there's a decline, the decline is in so is that you can actually -- if you change the course of that, that you would see -- you would be able to measure that difference. So the globulet population really helps to ensure that we're enrolling those subjects that are not too early in the disease progression, but have a higher risk of declining over the course of the trial, and therefore, treatment versus that gives you the possibility to see that.

And so we're hopeful that as we measure that, obviously, when we mentioned the biomarkers, and we'll see the reduction in hTT RNA and protein, that will be important. But we would also then anticipate seeing changes in the CSF as well as [Technical Issues] we're look in both the CSF and plasma. And then, of course, monitor the preservation of brain volume as assessed by MRI imaging. So we think that package will be quite interesting. And so the the short-term 12 weeks will allow us to get that in the longer-term safety and pharmacology and pharmacodynamic measurement of all the others that will go on for the year, we think we'll be able to see something there in terms of the biomarkers.

Kripa Devarakonda -- Truist Securities -- Analyst

Great. That was very helpful. And then I had a quick follow-up question on the PKU program. BioMarin has said that a lot of the PKU clinics are still not operating at full capacity. Do you see any challenges in terms of being able to find enough patients for the trial, for your pivotal trial? Or are you seeing that you're -- it's easy to enroll?

Stuart Peltz -- Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director

So we just initiated the trial. So it's hard to give you any hard numbers of what we're looking at. But we think -- and this we're doing is -- the good news, obviously, we have a global infrastructure. So we'll be able to get only sites not only in the U.S. but global, but globally as well. And there's -- we have a lot of investigators. And so obviously, that's -- I think that's one of the things to make sure is that if you have to expand the number of investigators that will help pull-through so that you can get those patients, and that's why we're doing that. So that's -- we still expect the results by the end of 2022.

Kripa Devarakonda -- Truist Securities -- Analyst

Great, thank you so much.

Operator

And I'm showing no questions at this time. I'd like to turn the call back over to Stuart Peltz for closing remarks.

Stuart Peltz -- Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director

Well, great. So thanks for joining us today. And I think as you can see, we're continuing to build PTC into a revenue-generating company, and I'm proud that the PTC has made what we've done this quarter. I think you can see we've delivered substantial continued year-over-year revenue growth. And once again, raising our DMD franchise 2021 revenue guidelines. The revenue growth in addition to the continued advancement of our pipeline with the initiation of our fifth registration-directed trial in PKU. The progress -- this progress really allows us to continue the mission that we have in delivering life-changing therapies to patients around the globe. So thanks for taking the time to listen, and thanks for your questions.

Operator

[Operator Closing Remarks]

Duration: 71 minutes

Call participants:

Kylie O'Keefe -- Vice President, Head of Global Strategic Marketing & Business Intelligence

Stuart Peltz -- Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer & Executive Director

Matt Klein -- Chief Development Officer

Eric Pauwels -- Chief Business Officer

Emily Hill -- Chief Financial Officer

Hannah Temiloluwa Adeoye -- JPMorgan -- Analyst

Danielle Brill -- Raymond James -- Analyst

Tazeen Ahmad -- Bank of America -- Analyst

Nina Daniels -- Cantor Fitzgerald -- Analyst

Raju Prasad -- William Blair -- Analyst

Steve -- RBC Capital Markets -- Analyst

Sheldon -- Barclays -- Analyst

Unidentified Participant

Kripa Devarakonda -- Truist Securities -- Analyst

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