Stratasys (SSYS) Q1 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

Stratasys (SSYS 0.66%)
Q1 2023 Earnings Call
May 16, 2023, 8:30 a.m. ET

Contents:

• Prepared Remarks
• Questions and Answers
• Call Participants

Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Greetings, and welcome to the Stratasys Limited first-quarter 2023 earnings call. At this time, all participants are on a listen-only mode. A brief question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded.

It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Yonah Lloyd, chief communications officer and vice president of investor relations. Thank you. Please go ahead.

Yonah Lloyd -- Vice President, Investor Relations and Chief Communications Officer

Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us to discuss our 2023 first-quarter financial results. On the call with us today are our CEO, Dr. Yoav Zeif, and our CFO, Eitan Zamir.

I would like to remind you that access to today's call, including the slide presentation, is available online at the web address provided in our press release. In addition, a replay of today's call, including access to the slide presentation, will also be available and can be accessed through the Investor Relations section of our website. Please note that some of the information you will hear during our discussion today will consist of forward-looking statements, including without limitation those regarding our expectations as to our future revenue, gross margin, operating expenses, taxes, and other future financial performance and our expectations for our business outlook. All statements that speak to future performance, events, expectations or results are forward-looking statements.

Actual results or trends could differ materially from our forecasts. For risks that could cause actual results to be materially different from those set forth in forward-looking statements, please refer to the risk factors discussed or referenced in Stratasys' annual report on Form 20-F for the 2022 year. Please also refer to our operating and financial review and prospects for 2022 and for the first quarter of 2023, which are included as Item 5 of our annual report on Form 20-F for 2022 and Exhibit 99.2 to the report on Form 6-K that we are furnishing to the SEC today respectively. Please also see the press release that announces our earnings for the first quarter of 2023, which is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to a separate report on Form 6-K that we are furnishing to the SEC today.

Our reports on Form 6-K that we furnish to the SEC on a quarterly basis and throughout the year provide updated current information regarding our operating results and material developments concerning our company. Stratasys assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements or information which speak as of their respective dates. As in previous quarters, today's call will include GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures. The non-GAAP financial measures should be read in combination with our GAAP metrics to evaluate our performance.

Non-GAAP to GAAP reconciliations are provided in tables in our slide presentation and today's press release. I will now turn the call over to our chief executive officer, Dr. Yoav Zeif. Yoav?

Yoav Zeif -- Chief Executive Officer

Thank you Yonah. Good morning everyone, and thank you for joining us. Before I discuss the business highlights, I would like to comment briefly on the three unsolicited proposals we received in recent months from Nano Dimension to acquire Stratasys initially for $18.00, then 19.55, and subsequently for $20.05 per share in cash. As previously announced, consistent with its fiduciary duties and in consultation with its independent financial and legal advisors, the Stratasys board carefully reviewed and evaluated each proposal.

Following each review, the Stratasys board unanimously rejected all three proposals because they each substantially undervalued Stratasys in light of the company's stand-alone prospects. As we have articulated previously, Nano is in the midst of multiple lawsuits with its shareholders involving the controlling governance of the company and, as a result, serious questions remain about the legal legitimacy of the Nano offer. The Stratasys board and management team are committed to enhancing shareholder value and continue to successfully execute on the company's growth strategy. We are making strong progress toward becoming a highly profitable $1 billion revenue company.

As part of its fiduciary duties, the board will review any bona fide proposal for the company and weigh it against our stand-alone plan. We are not going to comment further on this matter today. We appreciate you keeping your questions focused on our results as the focus of this call is our performance for the quarter. Our excellent results for Q1 2023 represent another consecutive quarter of solid performance, despite an increasingly challenging macro backdrop.

We continue to execute on our winning strategy driven by our broad global and diverse set of systems, materials and software solutions. With our leadership position, our five key technologies, resilient business model, and strong financial profile, we believe we are positioned to accelerate growth and drive shareholder returns not only for today but also for years to come. Our confidence is reflected in the medium term focus we are announcing today. Eitan will provide further details during his remarks, but we expect to surpass $1 billion in revenue in 2026 with substantial profitability.

In terms of our first quarter results, we are seeing stronger utilization by our customers than ever before, which drove all-time record revenues in both consumables and customer service. As we have noted in the past few earnings calls, macro related pressure on capex budgets are causing longer sales cycles and occasional deferrals of orders. Our OEM revenue was relatively flat to the first quarter of last year, adjusted for FX and divestments, primarily due to the impact of those factors on hardware purchases. The manufacturing trend of on-shoring, deglobalization and just-in-time production are driving opportunities for growth.

Stratasys is positioned to take advantage of these opportunities give our combination of proven market leading systems in FDM and polyjet, new technology offerings in P3, sub and stereolithography, the broadest set of polymer materials in the industry, a unified software platform across the portfolio, and unmet go-to-market capabilities. Along with our robust balance sheet, this sets us apart and will enable us to sustain organic growth and expand our reach via the pursuit of external opportunities. Engagement with both our installed base and new customers remains strong. We continue to expand our customer reach across our entire suite of technologies, particularly targeting manufacturing applications.

We have demonstrated a resilience and recurring business model that delivered gross margins this quarter that were flat compared to the year-ago period, and also kept opex spending as a percentage of revenue nearly flat to the corresponding period last year even with a reduction in revenue. As a result of our efforts and despite the headwinds faced, I'm proud that we delivered positive adjusted earnings per share for the seventh consecutive quarter. Our vision for the future of additive manufacturing and, in turn, our ability to deliver greater returns for our shareholders is more robust than ever. We ended the quarter with a strong balance sheet that includes no debt and 288 million in cash and equivalents.

This continues to support our growth through organic investments and accretive acquisition opportunities, including early stage but highly compelling technology-driven businesses, which we believe will improve results as we leverage our infrastructure and experience to strengthen operations. Now, let me turn to the exciting achievements and milestones reached since the end of 2022. In February, we introduced monolithic multicolored 3D printer dental solution through our TrueDent resin, our first-ever FDA cleared medical device. As a reminder, dental overall is a 50 billion TAM and is a fast growing industry for additive manufacturing.

The TrueDent solution enables labs to create permanent natural looking dentures with accurate tooth structures, gum shade and translucency in one continuous print. The resin is designed for exclusive use in our J5 DentaJet printers using GrabCAD print software and provides dental labs the ability to scale manufacturing with simplified work flow and reduced processing time to deliver the best quality dentures available in the market today. We already have several new customers and many of the largest dental labs are actively evaluating the solution. In February, we launched the new J3 DentaJet printer, opening up more opportunities for Stratasys such as implant models and surgical guides for dental labs.

It recently received an excellent reception at the dental industry's largest trade show. Our superior accuracy provides an entry point for customers ready to step up from lower quality solutions. One of the world's largest dental labs said it tripled its daily production volume with the J3 relative to the previous system. Moving to our medical highlights, in February we signed an agreement with Ricoh USA to provide on-demand 3D printed anatomic models for clinical settings.

Our patient-specific 3D printed solutions combine our 3D printing technology, the cloud-based segmentation as a service solution from Axial3D, and precision additive manufacturing service from Ricoh into one convenient solution. This represents an expansion of the relationship between Ricoh 3D for healthcare and Stratasys. After quarter-end, we forged a joint development and commercialization agreement with CollPlant Biotechnologies to transform healthcare with industrial-scale bio printing of tissues and organs. The initial focus of the relationship will be around development of bio printing solutions for CollPlant's regenerative breast implants, a 2.6 billion opportunity.

Further, the combination of our P3 technology-based bio printer with their RH collagen-based bio ink is also ideal for future innovation and production of additional human tissues and organs. Both companies agreed to cross-promote our respective bio printing products. On the industrial side, in March we secured a multisystem opportunity with Gotz Maschinenbau for our mass production H350 printers. The sale involved four additional systems to help the German Service Bureau meet growing demand for high quality end use parts.

Gotz is already a valued partner that also deploys FDM and polyjet-based Stratasys printers. In addition, in early April we closed the acquisition of Covestro's additive manufacturing materials business which expands our differentiated 3D printed material offering in stereolithography, DLP and powders to address more manufacturing industry applications. Covestro is expected to be immediately accretive and includes R&D facilities, global development and sales teams, and a portfolio of 60 materials for additive manufacturing. Together, we will be able to address more applications faster, pushing the boundaries of what is possible in additive manufacturing.

We are also growing our focus on adding value for customers while increasing recurring revenue through significant software announcements. Last month, we introduced GrabCAD Print Pro, which provides a major productivity boost for our customers. The initial rollout is for our SAF and FDM systems, applicable for end use parts and production scale volume, tooling and prototypes. We plan to make this software update available across our other three technologies as well.

The annual subscription package includes quality management capabilities from our recent acquisition as well as added functionality from third party partners. Three value-add plug-in partners available in the initial release as we continue growing our ecosystem are Castor, AlphaSTAR, and Cognitive Design Systems. These advances in software are helping Stratasys integrate into scaled up industry 4.0 infrastructure. In fact, the Advanced Manufacturing Research Center at the University of Sheffield has been able to successfully incorporate Stratasys' data into its factory-plus architecture right alongside CNC machines, robot arms, and other mainstream factory equipment.

In addition, Stratasys' expansion into software is helping drive opportunities with systems and materials. Our previously announced OpenAM software is now widely available to customers, and we are seeing it help unlock Fortus 450 printer opportunities with manufacturing customers that are interested in FDM for end use part applications due to the greater flexibility it provides in material selection. That is also a key driver of customers' interest in Origin One printers as well. Our technological innovations, best-in-class sales channels, and key partnerships are contributing to our efforts to build on our meaningful foundations for growth that will drive our industry leadership for the long term.

I will now turn the call over to our CFO, Eitan Zamir, to share the financial results, update our outlook for the rest of 2023, and outline our medium term focus. Eitan?

Eitan Zamir -- Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Yoav, and good morning everyone. As Yoav mentioned, we achieved solid results against the increasingly challenging macro backdrop in the quarter. We are particularly proud of how we held the line on both growth and operating margin, maintaining profitability in a challenging environment due to the right infrastructure and tight opex management as we continue to drive efficiencies across the platform. Our results demonstrate the resilience that our diversified offering provides.

Despite the expected slowdown in new printer sales, we saw continued utilization of our systems by our customers, driving record recurring revenues from consumables and customer service, helping us deliver our seventh straight quarter of adjusted profitability. Now, let me dive deeper into the numbers. For the first quarter, consolidated revenue of 149.4 million was down 2.6% compared to Q1 2022, adjusted for divestitures and at constant currency and down 8.6% compared to the unadjusted revenues. Revenue in our OEM business, which excludes MakerBot, as well as FDM, was down 0.9% at constant currency from the prior-year period.

Product revenue in the first quarter declined by 10.7% to 101 million compared to the same period last year, or by 5.1% excluding divestitures and on a constant-currency basis. Within product revenue, system revenue declined 25.8% to $40.5 million compared to $54.5 million in the same period last year. Excluding divestitures and on a constant-currency basis, revenue was down 19.2%. Consumables revenue rose by 3.3% to 60.5 million compared to the same period last year, rose by 5.2% on a constant-currency basis and grew by 7.5% in our OEM business at constant currency.

This represents a record level for Stratasys and signals that utilization rates of our systems we have sold are strong. Services revenue including FDM was 48.4 million, down 3.9% as compared to the same period last year. After backing out FDM, it was up 2.4% and up 3.9% at constant currency. Our customer service revenue was the highest ever, a further testament to the growing utilization rates of our systems.

Within service revenue, customer support revenue grew 4.9%, compared to the same period last year and increased by 6.4% on a constant-currency basis. Now, turning to gross margin. GAAP gross margin was 43.8% for the quarter compared to 42.6% for the same period last year. Non-GAAP gross margin was 47.3% for the quarter, flat compared to the same period last year.

Our ability to hold gross margin unchanged despite the decrease in revenue is a testament to our relentless focus on cost savings across the platform. Gross margin also benefited from the divestment of MakerBot last year, partially offset by the FX impact. GAAP operating expenses were 82.2 million, compared to 89.3 million during the same period last year. Non-GAAP operating expenses were 69.2 million, compared to 75.3 million during the same period last year.

Non-GAAP operating expenses were 46.3% of revenue for the quarter, compared to 46.1% for the same period last year as we continued to focus on operational efficiency improvements. We continue to efficiently manage our costs, delivering relatively low opex despite lower revenue, reflecting the scalability of our model. Regarding our consolidated earnings, GAAP operating loss for the quarter was 16.8 million, compared to a loss of 19.6 million for the same period last year. Non-GAAP operating income for the quarter was 1.5 million, compared to 2 million for the same period last year.

The change reflects the decline in overall revenue offset somewhat by an 8.2% improvement in non-GAAP opex. GAAP net loss for the quarter was 22.2 million or $0.33 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of 20.9 million or $0.32 per diluted share for the same period last year. Non-GAAP net income for the quarter was 1.1 million or $0.02 per diluted share, compared to net income of 1.2 million or $0.02 per diluted share in the same period last year. Again, this was our seventh consecutive quarter of delivering positive net income on an adjusted basis.

Adjusted EBITDA was 7 million for the quarter, compared to 8.1 million in the same period last year, which reflects a flat result year over year on a percentage of revenue basis. We used 17.9 million of cash in our operations during the first quarter, compared to the use of 16.1 million of cash from operations in the same quarter last year. The use of cash was primarily driven by increased inventory purchases. We expect our inventory levels to decline in the back half of the year, contributing toward returning to positive cash flow from operations for 2023.

We ended the quarter with 287.6 million in cash, cash equivalents, and short term deposits, compared to 327.8 million at the end of 2022. Our balance sheet and cash generation remains strong. Specifically, we are well capitalized and well positioned to capture value-enhancing market opportunities as they are identified. Now, let me turn to our outlook for 2023 and the medium term.

We expect the ongoing challenging macro backdrop to most likely persist for much of 2023, continuing to cause delayed purchases, longer sales cycles, and overall inflationary and recessionary concerns reflected in buyers' behavior. Based on our first quarter results and current visibility of our end markets, we are updating our full-year revenue guidance as follows. We are raising the low end, narrowing the range now expected to be between 630 million to 670 million with sequential quarterly revenue growth. While we are still experiencing continued softness in the second quarter, we expect that we will see notably higher growth in the second half.

From a gross margin perspective, we continue to expect full year 2023 to be in the range of 48% to 49% with improved year-over-year growth in the second half of 2023. We expect our margins to get back over 50% next year. In 2023, we expect our operating expenses to be in the range of approximately 290 million to 300 million. We continue to expect non-GAAP operating margins to be in the range of 2.5% to 3.5% for the full year.

In the medium term, we expect non-GAAP operating margins to achieve double digits as our growth plan unfolds. We anticipate a GAAP net loss of 78 million to 57 million, or $1.12 to $0.83 per diluted share, and a non-GAAP net income of 9 million to 17 million, or $0.12 to $0.24 per diluted share for the full year of 2023. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of 35 million to 50 million for the year. Capital expenditures are expected to range between 20 million to 25 million for the year.

We would also like to provide our expectations for some key annual financial metrics over the medium term. Starting in 2024, we expect to achieve non-GAAP gross margins above 50%, and we plan to deliver positive free cash flow. By 2026, we expect our revenue from organic growth to surpass $1 billion with adjusted EBITDA margins over 15%, driven by our innovative growth engines as we penetrate further into manufacturing and healthcare applications. Please note these are medium-term expectations, and we believe that as revenue continues to grow, the longer-term results will be even stronger.

We are encouraged by the level of engagement with our customers, remain confident in our growth potential, and we will continue to monitor global issues that can have an impact. With that, let me turn the call back over to Yoav for closing remarks. Yoav?

Yoav Zeif -- Chief Executive Officer

In closing, even as we navigate today's dynamic environment, the outlook for our customers' appreciation and adoption of 3D printing continues to grow. We have positioned the company to execute in challenging times and to lead through an expanding portfolio of hardware, materials, and software solutions as the shift to additive manufacturing at scale accelerates. We are being brought into customer opportunities as a strategic partner at higher levels than in the past because the demand to bring products to market faster, to reshape supply chains, and to give consumers more personalized products are very real. And we have proven our value with leaders across industries like TE Connectivity, the Mayo Clinic, NASA, and Toyota.

Our relentless focus on execution and continued investment for growth and ongoing profitability is expected to drive relative outperformance and enhance shareholder value. With that, let's open it up for questions. Operator?

Questions & Answers:

Operator

Thank you. The floor is now open for questions. [Operator instructions] The first question today is coming from Shannon Cross of Credit Suisse. Please go ahead.

Shannon Cross -- Credit Suisse -- Analyst

Thank you very much for taking my question. I'm curious as to your billion-dollar target. I remember--I mean, this industry has set targets in the past and then not achieved them, and it's caused volatility, to say the least, so I'm curious, can you give us more specifics and granularity behind how you came to that target number? I don't know, mix of revenue or just generally what gives you confidence that you're going to be able to achieve it? Thank you.

Yoav Zeif -- Chief Executive Officer

Hi, Shannon. Thank you for the question. We are quite a structured company. Nothing that we are saying on this call is based on something that we envisioned yesterday.

We have long term planning based on a three-year strategy, and we think the quarters are very important. And that's why we are delivering quarter after quarter above the expectations, but more important is the long term foundations, and that's what we are building at Stratasys. That's why we are confident in putting outside a target of 1 billion with double-digit operating income with above-50% gross margin, with above-15% EBITDA. It is based on the foundation that we have built and keep building for the last 3.5 years, and there are very clear growth drivers.

It's the new technologies. Yes, we are number two or three in each one of the new technologies, which is remarkable to do it, to achieve it in two years, but there is still so much room to grow there. New NPIs with our core technologies, the FDM, we are going to introduce amazing new technologies there. The materials position which cements our profitability, and Covestro is a good example.

The use cases that we are introducing, like the TrueDent, the fashion, the tooling, the automotive end use parts, the software. And when we are talking about software, we are talking about monetizing software because we are building, and maybe we'll have time later to elaborate on it, but we are building a unique software platform, which is open, and delivering added value to our huge installed base, and the bio printing. When you put all these together in a five-year plan, and of course we are not going now to get into the details, we get to the 1 billion with high level of profitability.

Shannon Cross -- Credit Suisse -- Analyst

OK. Thank you. And then, can you talk a bit more in the near term on consumables? It was a pretty tough compare. You did better than expected.

Can you talk about how usage is changing? How much of this is the pricing of materials versus utilization, P times Q, certain verticals that maybe are using more materials? Just wondering what's driving that, because I assume consumables are a pretty important part of the 1 billion as well.

Yoav Zeif -- Chief Executive Officer

It's an essential part of the 1 billion, an essential part of the profitability. And the main drivers are mainly utilization and the move to manufacturing. Since we are reporting every end of the year, how much of our overall sales went to end use parts, to manufacturing? We can see this growth year over year, and this growth drives the utilization because the machine that is being used for end use parts has a completely different unit economics in terms of consumables than a machine that is being used for prototyping. A good example is the dental.

This is end use parts, high level of consumption, and add to it the Covestro portfolio that is matched -- it's a fantastic match to what we have now in terms of our hardware portfolio. We are very optimistic on the consumption going forward of material, and also, you know, this quarter, we saw an increase in FDM and origin material in manufacturing. And it's also a reflection of our strategy as a company given the hardware, significant hardware sales in '21 and '22. You can see that our customers are buying our machine, and they are using it.

It's a long term investment, it's reliable, and it's a testimonial that we are delivering value in many, many different verticals, auto, aero. Those are the big consumers of our materials.

Shannon Cross -- Credit Suisse -- Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is coming from Troy Jensen of Lake Street Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Troy Jensen -- Lake Street Capital Markets -- Analyst

Hey, gentlemen. First of all, congrats on the good Q1 here.

Yoav Zeif -- Chief Executive Officer

Thank you.

Troy Jensen -- Lake Street Capital Markets -- Analyst

I guess could you first of all confirm Covestro and timing? I guess I'm curious if there was any material revenues from them in Q1 and what you think that's going to contribute for the year on a quarterly basis would be helpful.

Eitan Zamir -- Chief Financial Officer

Troy, thanks for the question. We closed the deal in early April, so no contribution whatsoever in Q1. However, Q2 onwards is going to have the full impact of Covestro into our business. It's largely consumables.

Troy Jensen -- Lake Street Capital Markets -- Analyst

Perfect. Ideally guys, we'd love to see organic growth of materials going forward, since it is such a key focus area for you guys on the profitability. Just a thought, or something to think about. My other question would be the H350.

I saw the nice comment about the multi-shipment customer. I'm just curious, I know you've got others in there also, Yoav. Can you just maybe quantify or talk about status of H350 in multicustomer units?

Yoav Zeif -- Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. Thanks for the question. The H350 is a fantastic machine, and it's focused completely, I would say, 99% on manufacturing end-use parts for professional users. A great example is Gotz Maschinenbau, the large service bureau in Germany, that bought one and then another four for end-use parts, many of them, by the way, to automotive.

However, it's a complex system that you need to be a professional, and we are doing a very conscious rollout of this machine. The SAF is deliberately -- we have a slower [Inaudible] to make sure that our customers are happy and we are delivering the promise, both on the quality of the part and, not less important, the cost per part that we believe we have the best position in the industry with it.

Troy Jensen -- Lake Street Capital Markets -- Analyst

Awesome.

Yoav Zeif -- Chief Executive Officer

And given the planned rollout, we expect significant better units out there in H2 because the way we are rolling it out and also because of the funnel that we are seeing now.

Troy Jensen -- Lake Street Capital Markets -- Analyst

Perfect, OK. Good luck. Keep up the good work.

Yoav Zeif -- Chief Executive Officer

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is coming from Greg Palm of Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Please go ahead.

Danny Eggerichs -- Craig-Hallum Capital Group -- Analyst

Hey, this is Danny Eggerichs on for Greg today. Congrats on the good results, and thanks for taking the questions. I guess I'll just start with what you're seeing out in the market right now from a demand perspective. Obviously, you and certainly some of your peers noted customer push-outs and maybe some increased uncertainty.

So, I guess, what have you seen over recent weeks, and with raising the floor on your guidance there, what gives you confidence in hitting that range, and maybe more specifically, what kind of visibility you have in the second half?

Yoav Zeif -- Chief Executive Officer

So, I don't need to share with the listeners that it's an interesting macroeconomic condition for everyone in terms of growth, GDP growth, interest rates, inflation, and everything. But luckily enough, 3D printing helps our customers to do better in this environment, and therefore we see high levels of engagement, especially with [Inaudible] managers and executives, the engagement is high. We had, over the last two quarters, some challenges with the sales cycle, which is longer. But we are starting to see that the sales cycles are somehow balancing, and we see better top-of-funnel demand.

That's why we are confident about H2. And that's why we raised the guidance, otherwise we wouldn't do it. So, overall, challenging environment but strong demand with better top-of-funnel leads and somewhat balanced sales cycle.

Danny Eggerichs -- Craig-Hallum Capital Group -- Analyst

OK, that's good. Maybe just switching to opex. Operating leverage was pretty strong in the quarter. Opex came in a bit lower than expectations.

You reiterated the full-year guide for opex, and I guess that implies a step up throughout the remainder of the year. How should we think about opex in Q2 and maybe the cadence throughout the year going forward?

Eitan Zamir -- Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Danny, for the question. As you noted, we reiterated the opex guidance for the full year while we increased the 620 to 630 on the revenue. That's part of our, I believe, the day-to-day management of the business. We are very tight on opex.

We've built throughout the years the right infrastructure to leverage the growth with minimal to no increase in opex. Now, the addition of Covestro starting Q2 will add a small opex because it comes with naturally the employees and the business. But overall, our infrastructure is built structurally in a way to keep lower -- as we grow, lower opex as a percentage, as we demonstrated this quarter even with lower revenue.

Danny Eggerichs -- Craig-Hallum Capital Group -- Analyst

OK, great. I'll leave it there. Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is coming from Ananda Baruah of Loop Capital. Please go ahead.

Ananda Baruah -- Loop Capital Markets -- Analyst

Yeah. Good evening, guys. Good afternoon. Thanks for taking the question.

Yoav Zeif -- Chief Executive Officer

Hey.

Ananda Baruah -- Loop Capital Markets -- Analyst

Hey. Two, if I could. On the denture business, congrats on getting the product out the door. How do you see the velocity of the ramping potential there philosophically?

Yoav Zeif -- Chief Executive Officer

Thank you for the question, Ananda. Dental will be huge for us. It will be huge for us, and we are focusing on a specific segment in dental, which we believe is the right one for us because of our capabilities and also because of the potential, which is restorative dental use cases, so people have to buy. And what we are offering here with our dental solution is a disruption to the current market.

It's a complete disruption to the market. We're talking about overall dental, a $50 billion market, with only the dentures, a $5 billion market, which currently is labor intensive. And we are bringing a solution which is simple, higher quality, better aesthetics with a click, practically. It's only $5 billion in the U.S., put aside, where we have the FDA approval, put aside the rest of the world.

We'll start to see initial revenues in H2 because we are building it step by step, building the foundation, showcasing it, making sure that dentists build a confidence around it. By the way, we are saving them between one to three visits. Think about the dentist that is sitting in his clinic and suddenly because of our solution, he needs to see the patient one to three times less than on average. So, we ramp it up during H2, expect significant impact in 2023 -- sorry, at the end of 2023 and 2024.

And we keep innovating there. It's not the last product that we are going to introduce with this unique resin and unique J5 DentaJet.

Ananda Baruah -- Loop Capital Markets -- Analyst

Thanks for that. And when we think geographic-wise, it sounds like you're starting in the U.S. What's the--I guess, is there a plan for a European rollout and other geographies, and what would the timing of those be?

Yoav Zeif -- Chief Executive Officer

Definitely no doubt, we have global expansion plans. The next one is Europe. And not too far from now. And then Asia, of course.

The market is there. It's a global plan.

Ananda Baruah -- Loop Capital Markets -- Analyst

Awesome, I appreciate it. One last one there, how do you guys -- like what's the into market selling product look like there? Do you have specialty sales people, or are you sort of plugging into the dental equipment market? Thanks.

Yoav Zeif -- Chief Executive Officer

So, we have a combined plan of go-to-market with different channels, multichannel plan for the dentures, starting with building the confidence through dental labs with very amazing traction from their side. Then, we're also going to work with institutions or those consolidators of clinics in the U.S. and the rest of the world. We have also our own go-to-market because it's such a specialized product, and we are exploring business development opportunities currently with the largest distributors in dental.

And it's a combination of the four.

Ananda Baruah -- Loop Capital Markets -- Analyst

Thank you. Thanks so much.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is coming from Brian Drab with William Blair. Please go ahead.

Blake Keating -- William Blair and Company -- Analyst

Hi, good morning. This is Blake Keating on for Brian. I just wanted to ask, you guys have talked a lot about the strength that you're seeing in dental, but across other end markets, what markets are you most excited about, and what other end markets could you potentially see a pullback if this type of macro environment continues longer than you expect?

Yoav Zeif -- Chief Executive Officer

Thank you for the question. It's a great question because our problem is where to focus. We see so much enthusiasm across different verticals, and we are so strong in many of them. Just lately, I can share that we had fantastic results with government/aerospace, fantastic results.

We see demand growing in automotive. We see the fashion business and, of course, the dental, but for us, the strongest ones are automotive and aerospace, then dental. And, of course, we're also very optimistic about regenerative medicine down the road, three to five years. Not now, but we are building a unique position with our partner, CollPlant.

So, if I'm trying to summarize, aerospace, automotive, medical, dental -- medical is the patient-specific solution, and also fashion.

Blake Keating -- William Blair and Company -- Analyst

Got it. Thank you. And then, under new products, again you talked a lot about dental, but where else are you seeing a lot of strong demand for new products? And if you can give any color on maybe the last few years of new products that have been introduced, what they're contributing now to revenue or growth, how should we think about that?

Yoav Zeif -- Chief Executive Officer

We don't share the specific data per product, but I can share that since I joined, we replenished the portfolio. Literally you can go to any trade show of Stratasys, and you can see that most of the things we are selling are new, like our leading machine PolyJet, J55, and the J3, which are completely new. If I go to FDM, then we introduced the new carbon fiber machine, and of course, the three new technologies which are well selling. And we see significant demand, both for the Origin and the RPS, the liquid resin solution.

And now, together with Covestro, I'm very optimistic. But put all this aside, we are focusing on use cases, use case by use case. This is a completely new strategy that we started only two years ago, and it works. We see new use cases in automotive.

We see new use cases in aerospace, like drones. We see new use cases with our Origin with injection moulding replacement and so on and so forth.

Blake Keating -- William Blair and Company -- Analyst

Got it. Thank you. I'll pass it along.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is coming from Jim Ricchiuti with Needham & Company. Please go ahead.

Jim Ricchiuti -- Needham and Company -- Analyst

Hi, thank you. A question just on the targets that you're sharing with us today for '24 for gross margins and your medium-term targets. I'm wondering what kind of assumptions are you making for manufacturing, which I guess was, what, about a third of the business at the end of last year? What kind of assumptions do you make for '24 and looking out for the medium-term target for '26? Thank you.

Eitan Zamir -- Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Jim, for the question. So, as you mentioned, the starting point, end of 2022 is that one-third of the business is coming from end use cases or manufacturing. We don't share for the future the specific percentage, but we expect it to increase significantly. And that will drive the very positive impact of consumables on our gross margins.

That's a significant portion of the increase to the 50%-plus on the gross margins, together with scale. Keep in mind that Covestro, that we've just acquired, comes with high gross margins, so the combination of our journey to manufacturing of this scale -- of this software that comes with probably the highest gross margin out of the different streams, the combination of all this will bring us to the 50%-plus gross margin.

Jim Ricchiuti -- Needham and Company -- Analyst

Got it. That actually is a segue to the next question. I wonder if you could talk a little bit about the progress you're making in the software business and how we should be thinking about this business over the next one to two years.

Yoav Zeif -- Chief Executive Officer

Hey, Jim. Thank you for the question. We are making significant progress in software. It took us a while because we are investing -- have invested for the last two years in a new platform, but we have a very unique approach.

Very unique because we are not focusing on the MES part of the business. We are not going to be the one managing the whole manufacturing enterprise. We are focusing on an AM platform, making sure that we deliver to our customers the ability to manage the entire digital thread -- additive manufacturing work flow. So, that's what we are doing.

And we opened it up from both sides to the printers, but also to the partners or added-value partners that we just announced lately some of this. But we are building an ecosystem. What does this mean? And by the way, this is something that I saw three years ago, and I was surprised to see that to print a part, you need to use between three to six different software, and you need to save, export, import. It's so cumbersome.

It doesn't make sense, so we are solving it. We have one platform across our technologies, and this one platform allows the customer to sit on one stream and manage his additive manufacturing operations. It's very unique to us, and the way we do it, we have a basic solution based on the GrabCAD Print. We have a basic solution, and then, we have packages that we add to it.

Only now we introduced the GrabCAD Print, but stay tuned. We will have more products like this with basic and additional added value. We are going to monetize it because it's such a big opportunity. It's, you know, [Inaudible] said that it's above $3 billion in the next two, three years.

But that's not the most important thing. The most important thing is that if we scale additive manufacturing and we allow to use it in manufacturing. And we have a very unique position here because we produce the system, so we have access to the logs. We know exactly what the customer needs and how to deliver it to him in the best way.

We have the largest installed base, which allows us to create this ecosystem, because many other companies that are needed and are working on their solution need access to the installed base. And we have the best operating system, the GrabCAD, across all our technologies. And we've heard from our customers, we want to be on one system. We want to be on one system, so I'm very optimistic about our software.

But again, it's building foundations. I started talking about this, about building foundations. And once you build the foundation, you see that our customers are utilizing the machines, and you can see record use and consumption of our materials. This is the plan.

Build the foundation, and deliver value to our customers in the long term, hardware, materials, software, service, and use cases. And it is working.

Jim Ricchiuti -- Needham and Company -- Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. That brings us to the end of the question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the floor back over to management for any additional or closing comments.

Yoav Zeif -- Chief Executive Officer

Thank you for joining us. Looking forward to updating you again next quarter.

Operator

[Operator signoff]

Duration: 0 minutes

Call participants:

Yonah Lloyd -- Vice President, Investor Relations and Chief Communications Officer

Yoav Zeif -- Chief Executive Officer

Eitan Zamir -- Chief Financial Officer

Shannon Cross -- Credit Suisse -- Analyst

Troy Jensen -- Lake Street Capital Markets -- Analyst

Danny Eggerichs -- Craig-Hallum Capital Group -- Analyst

Ananda Baruah -- Loop Capital Markets -- Analyst

Blake Keating -- William Blair and Company -- Analyst

Jim Ricchiuti -- Needham and Company -- Analyst

More SSYS analysis

All earnings call transcripts