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Why Shares of JetBlue Are Down Today

By Lou Whiteman - Apr 26, 2022 at 11:51AM

Key Points

  • JetBlue reported a smaller-than-expected loss in the first quarter, but investors were focused on the airline's scaled-back growth expectations.
  • JetBlue can't expand as aggressively as it hoped because of a lack of pilots.
  • The airline's proposed acquisition of Spirit would help to address the shortage, but it comes with its own set of risks.

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The airline's aggressive growth forecast for the year was apparently too aggressive.

What happened

JetBlue Airways (JBLU 0.79%) reported a first-quarter loss that was less than what Wall Street had expected, but the airline warned pilot shortages will crimp growth plans for the year. Investors reacted by heading for the emergency exits, sending shares down as much as 9% on Tuesday morning.

So what

JetBlue lost $0.80 per share in the quarter, better than the $0.87-per-share loss analysts had expected, on revenue that met consensus at $1.74 billion. The airline, like most of its peers, reported a weak start to the quarter but improvements in March, and it forecast record June-quarter revenue as tourists return to the skies this summer.

A JetBlue plane on the tarmac.

Image source: JetBlue Airways.

The airlines struggled through much of the last two years due to the pandemic, but heading into 2022, investors had hoped strong pent-up demand would boost revenues and help to rebuild industry balance sheets. The demand appears to be as strong as hoped, but a lack of pilots is preventing airlines from fully taking advantage of that strong demand.

JetBlue lowered its growth forecast for all of 2022 to between flat and up 5% compared to 2019, the last full year before the pandemic. JetBlue had previously said it intends to grow capacity this year at a low-double-digit rate.

"The access to pilots is becoming the governing factor for growth in the industry over the next few years," JetBlue CEO Robin Hayes said during a post-earnings call with investors.

Now what

JetBlue is attempting to ramp up hiring to address the issue. One of its goals is to add 5,000 new crewmembers in New York this summer. But with the entire industry short on flight professionals, it is a difficult time to recruit new pilots, and JetBlue's forecast would seem to indicate that the airline is having a more difficult time bringing in new aviators than some of its larger rivals.

The airline kicked off the month of April with a bid to acquire Spirit Airlines (SAVE 0.51%), attempting to break up a planned merger between Spirit and Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC 1.33%). JetBlue's bold bid, which is still being considered by Spirit, is in large part an effort to address the pilot shortage: A larger airline should have the wherewithal to pay better and offer more scheduling flexibility. But it also speaks to JetBlue's desperation as it scrambles to find a way to grow.

JetBlue has a well-loved brand and legions of loyal fliers, but it is tough to see how the turbulence it is currently facing will clear soon. Investors would be wise to think twice about hopping aboard after this sell-off.

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Stocks Mentioned

JetBlue Airways Corporation Stock Quote
JetBlue Airways Corporation
JBLU
$11.46 (0.79%) $0.09
Spirit Airlines, Inc. Stock Quote
Spirit Airlines, Inc.
SAVE
$21.75 (0.51%) $0.11
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. Stock Quote
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.
ULCC
$10.67 (1.33%) $0.14

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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