Investors have been fretting lately over Apple's (AAPL 0.52%) declining tablet market share. The days of the iPad gobbling up 75% of the market are gone. That's not to say that the iPad is faring poorly overall as a business; it's just that the overall tablet market is just growing too fast for Apple to maintain such hegemony as rivals jump in.
Market researcher Strategy Analytics has now released its estimates on first quarter tablet shipments, as the company was likely waiting for Apple to disclose its official iPad figures. Total units in the first quarter surged an incredible 117%, to 40.6 million. Google (GOOGL -1.97%) Android and Microsoft (MSFT -2.45%) Windows are starting to make a dent, even though Apple's own iPad units jumped 65%, to 19.5 million in the first quarter.
Operating System |
Q1 2012 Units |
Q1 2012 Market Share |
Q1 2013 Units |
Q1 2013 Market Share |
---|---|---|---|---|
iOS |
11.8 million |
63.1% |
19.5 million |
48.2% |
Android |
6.4 million |
34.2% |
17.6 million |
43.4% |
Windows |
0 |
0% |
3 million |
7.5% |
Others |
500,000 |
2.7% |
400,000 |
1% |
Total |
18.7 million |
100% |
40.6 million |
100% |
Android, in particular, has risen dramatically, in large part due to low-cost models targeting lower market segments. This is the first full quarter that Apple has been shipping the iPad Mini, but that device is still priced at a premium relative to the competition in the small-sized segment. Two of the most prominent Android tablets, Amazon.com's Kindle Fire and Google's Nexus 7, are also sold at cost, so there's little profit opportunity within the Android army.
Windows is now showing up on the scene with 3 million tablets shipped during the quarter. Strategy Analytics believes that there are several key factors holding Microsoft back: very limited distribution, a lack of top tier apps, and consumer confusion. It's for these reasons that Strategy Analytics currently considers Windows tablets a "niche" market segment.
Just because Apple's tablet market share is slipping doesn't mean its profit share will drop. If investors look back on how the smartphone market has played out, Apple's profit share will be just fine.