Every investor would love to stumble upon the perfect stock. But will you ever really find a stock that provides everything you could possibly want?
One thing's for sure: You'll never discover truly great investments unless you actively look for them. Let's discuss the ideal qualities of a perfect stock, then decide if Cerus
The quest for perfection
Stocks that look great based on one factor may prove horrible elsewhere, making due diligence a crucial part of your investing research. The best stocks excel in many different areas, including these important factors:
- Growth. Expanding businesses show healthy revenue growth. While past growth is no guarantee that revenue will keep rising, it's certainly a better sign than a stagnant top line.
- Margins. Higher sales mean nothing if a company can't produce profits from them. Strong margins ensure that a company can turn revenue into profit.
- Balance sheet. At debt-laden companies, banks and bondholders compete with shareholders for management's attention. Companies with strong balance sheets don't have to worry about the distraction of debt.
- Money-making opportunities. Return on equity helps measure how well a company is finding opportunities to turn its resources into profitable business endeavors.
- Valuation. You can't afford to pay too much for even the best companies. By using normalized figures, you can see how a stock's simple earnings multiple fits into a longer-term context.
- Dividends. For tangible proof of profits, a check to shareholders every three months can't be beat. Companies with solid dividends and strong commitments to increasing payouts treat shareholders well.
With those factors in mind, let's take a closer look at Cerus:
|Factor||What We Want to See||Actual||Pass or Fail?|
|Growth||5-Year Annual Revenue Growth > 15%||(0.8%)||Fail|
|1-Year Revenue Growth > 12%||18.7%||Pass|
|Margins||Gross Margin > 35%||48.6%||Pass|
|Net Margin > 15%||(69.3%)||Fail|
|Balance Sheet||Debt to Equity < 50%||23.4%||Pass|
|Current Ratio > 1.3||1.77||Pass|
|Opportunities||Return on Equity > 15%||(92.2%)||Fail|
|Valuation||Normalized P/E < 20||NM||NM|
|Dividends||Current Yield > 2%||0%||Fail|
|5-Year Dividend Growth > 10%||0%||Fail|
|Total Score||4 out of 9|
Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard and Poor's. NM = not meaningful due to negative earnings for the period. Total score = number of passes.
With just four points, Cerus is well short of perfection. Like many of its peers, the small biotech firm is hoping to hit a home run, but shareholders have been waiting a long time without much success.
Founded 20 years ago, Cerus's primary product is its INTERCEPT blood system. Basically, the system promotes blood safety by preventing blood-borne pathogens from spreading while still allowing ordinary blood cells and platelets to function normally. With a private equity firm snapping up blood-testing equipment maker Immucor
Unfortunately, the only time Cerus has turned a profit in its 20-year history was when it settled a loan obligation with Baxter International
The company is taking steps to get INTERCEPT through the FDA approval process, seeking new applications for patients with chronic fatigue syndrome as well as potential treatments for cancer. But just as Cell Therapeutics
Cerus doesn't look like the perfect stock right now. Unless it can transform interest from the Immucor deal into a buyout proposition, shareholders will have to hope for positive news from the FDA in the near future.
No stock is a sure thing, but some stocks are a lot closer to perfect than others. By looking for the perfect stock, you'll go a long way toward improving your investing prowess and learning how to separate out the best investments from the rest.
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Finding the perfect stock is only one piece of a successful investment strategy. Get the big picture by taking a look at our 13 Steps to Investing Foolishly.