Encore Capital Group Inc (ECPG) Q2 2021 Earnings Call Transcript

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Encore Capital Group Inc (ECPG 1.73%)
Q2 2021 Earnings Call
Aug 4, 2021, 5:30 p.m. ET

Contents:

• Prepared Remarks
• Questions and Answers
• Call Participants

Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Encore Capital Group's Quarter second 2021 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Mr. Bruce Thomas, Vice President of Investor Relations for Encore. Sir, please go ahead.

Bruce Thomas -- Vice President, Investor Relations

Thank you, operator. Good afternoon, and welcome to Encore Capital Group's Second Quarter 2021 Earnings Call. Joining me on the call today are Ashish Masih, our President and Chief Executive Officer; Jonathan Clark, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; Ryan Bell, President of Midland and Credit Management; and Craig Buick, CEO of Cabot Credit Management. Ashish and Jon will make prepared remarks today, and then we will be happy to take your questions. Unless otherwise noted, comparisons made on this conference call will be between the second quarter of 2021 and the second quarter of 2020. In addition, today's discussion will include forward-looking statements subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially from these forward-looking statements. Please refer to our SEC filings for a detailed discussion of potential risks and uncertainties. During this call, we will use rounding and abbreviations for the sake of brevity. We will also be discussing non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are included in our earnings presentation, which was filed on Form 8-K earlier today. As a reminder, this conference call will also be made available for replay on the Investors section of our website, where we will also post our prepared remarks following the conclusion of this call.

With that, let me turn the call over to Ashish Masih, our President and Chief Executive Officer.

Ashish Masih -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Bruce, and good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining our earnings call. Encore delivered another strong performance in the second quarter as we continued to execute our strategy, improve our balance sheet and focus on our capital allocation priorities. To better understand our results, let's begin with some important highlights from the quarter. The primary driver of our financial performance in Q2 was the record collections for both our MCM and Cabot businesses. We continue to see consumers focus on resolving their debts, which led to a high volume of inbound calls and online engagement. We also started seeing an increase in legal collections in the second quarter. On a global basis, our portfolio purchases were $143 million in Q2, which was lower than last year due to lower market supply. Although issuers continue to sell, volumes are lower because of fewer charge-offs. As these conditions persist, we have maintained disciplined and continue to purchase at attractive returns. In addition, our success over the past several years in improving our collections effectiveness and cost efficiency has allowed us to mitigate the impact of higher market pricing on our returns. Our global financing structure continues to provide benefits.

In June, we refinanced the last of the legacy Cabot bonds with a significantly reduced coupon, saving 325 basis points, which will further reduce our interest expense in the future. Our business continues to generate significant excess capital, driving a further reduction in our leverage ratio, which is now at the low end of our target range of two times to three times. In line with our capital allocation priorities, we repurchased $27 million of Encore shares during the second quarter. As a result, through the first two quarters of 2021, we have spent a total of $47 million repurchasing shares. We will continue to allocate capital according to our stated priorities. Any future share repurchases are subject to maintaining our strong balance sheet, liquidity and the continuation of a strong financial performance. To further describe our results for the quarter, I would like to anchor the conversation to our previously outlined strategy. We deliver best-in-class financial performance as the result of our consistent strategy and execution. We look to purchase portfolios of nonperforming loans at attractive cash-on-cash returns, using funding with the lowest cost available to us.

For each portfolio that we own, we strive to exceed our collection expectations while both maintaining an efficient cost structure and ensuring the highest level of compliance and consumer focus. We achieve these objectives through our three pillar strategy. This strategy enables us to consistently deliver outstanding financial performance, positions us well to capitalize on future opportunities and is instrumental in building long-term shareholder value. The first pillar of our strategy, market focus, leads us to concentrate our efforts on the markets, where we can achieve the highest risk-adjusted returns. Consistent with this strategy, we recently entered into an agreement to sell our portfolios in Colombia and Peru. The sale is expected to close in the third quarter. Our largest and most valuable market is in the U.S. In Q2, MCM delivered another quarter of record collections in an environment characterized by two meaningful dynamics. First, consumers continue to reach out to us through our cost-efficient call center and digital channel to resolve their debts. Second, collections through our legal channel grew 31% due to increased legal activity as courts and legal services have reopened. We do not expect this to be a long-term shift in collection mix. MCM deployed $90 million during Q2 as the impacts of the pandemic tempered supply in the U.S.

We continue to deploy capital at attractive returns. As announced by the CFPB last week, the industry rules will become effective on November 30, 2021. We are pleased to see the completion of this multiyear process, which will resolve uncertainty and finally leveled the playing field for participants in our industry. In addition, the new rules will modernize communications with consumers and allow us to engage using methods consumers prefer. We have prepared to fully implement the new rules by the confirmed effective date. Turning to our business in the U.K. and Europe. Our collections performance continues its return to normal levels after several quarters of COVID-related volatility. Collections in the second quarter grew 45% compared to Q2 last year, a period when the effects of the pandemic were most impactful. Collections for the first half of 2021 for Cabot portfolios owned at year-end 2020 exceeded our expectations by 7%. Second quarter collections on the legal channel increased 36% compared to Q2 last year, which drove cost to collect higher.

Deployments in Q2 of $53 million were higher compared to the second quarter of last year, and Cabot's portfolio purchases of $131 million in the first half of 2021 have already exceeded the total for all of 2020. Despite the fact that delinquencies remain low, supply has increased in U.K. and Europe as sellers are now coming back to market. Portfolio pricing has become more competitive across our European footprint and constrained our investments in the second quarter as we maintained our return-focused discipline and purchasing. The second pillar of our strategy focuses on enhancing our competitive advantages. Our competitive platform enables us to consistently generate significant cash flow. Our cash generation for the 12 months ending in June increased 16%, reflecting the steady improvement in our business, the efficiency of our operations and the resilience of our portfolios. Our consistent growth in cash generation has contributed to our reduced borrowings and the deleveraging of our balance sheet.

Our strong cash generation also provides us with additional flexibility when we consider our capital allocation priorities, which include portfolio purchases at attractive returns, strategic and disciplined M&A and share repurchases. Our competitive advantages also allow us to deliver differentiated returns. We emphasize ROIC as an important measure of our business because it takes into account both the performance of our collections operation as well as our ability to appropriately price risk when investing our capital. We believe it's important to demonstrate that our underlying business delivers strong long-term returns that we can maintain through the credit cycle. Our ROIC performance in the second quarter and our performance over time are solid indicators of the improvements in our business during a period that was characterized by uncertainty and volatility in global financial markets. We continue to believe it is difficult to find such attractive returns at other companies in or around our industry. The third pillar of our strategy makes strengthening of our balance sheet a constant priority. We believe that a strong balance sheet is critical to being successful in our sector.

Our continued focus on strengthening our balance sheet has enabled us to reduce a debt-to-equity ratio to 2.2 times and reduce our leverage ratio to 1.9 times, which is now at the low end of a targeted range of two times to three times and is near the lowest in the industry. A strong operating performance and focused capital deployment have driven higher levels of cash flow, which in turn has led to leverage reduction. As a result of our financing accomplishments over the last year, including the refinancing we completed in Q2, we have significantly lowered our cost of funds. And we believe we have established a best-in-class capital structure that will allow us to capitalize on future opportunities.

I'd now like to hand over the call to Jon for a more detailed look at our financial results.

Jonathan Clark -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Ashish. In the second quarter, very strong collections in both the call center channel and the legal channel drove higher revenue, net income and returns. Importantly, the resulting strong cash generation combined with lower purchase volume led to a further reduction in our leverage ratio and slightly lower ERC. The true quality of our strong underlying second quarter results is not readily apparent when comparing to the second quarter of 2020. This was a period during the emerging stages of the pandemic when we observe significant volatility in our business. Our continued strong financial performance becomes more clear when viewed as a comparison of the first half of 2021 to the first half of 2020. Through this lens, it is clear that our growth in collections drove higher revenues and earnings. It also shows that our operating expenses remain well managed. In fact, we've maintained an expense level within a tight relative range for the past several quarters, except for the second quarter of 2020, a period during which legal channel spending was significantly reduced due to the impact of the pandemic.

Collections were a record $612 million in the second quarter, up 21% compared to Q2 last year. MCM collections grew 13% in the second quarter to a record $437 million. Within that total, MCM's legal channel collections grew 31% compared to Q2 last year when the pandemic impact in the legal channel was most prevalent. Cabot's collections through our debt purchasing business in Europe in the second quarter were a record $168 million, up 45% compared to Q2 last year. Q2 of last year was a period during the early days of the pandemic, when Cabot collections were impacted severely. Encore's global collections in the second quarter for portfolios owned at year-end 2020 achieved 119% of our ERC. Revenues in the second quarter were $428 million compared to $426 million in Q2 last year. Recall that in early 2020, the uncertainty surrounding the coronavirus pandemic caused us to push our collections forecast in Q1 2020 and subsequently pull most of it back in during the Q2 and Q3 of 2020. This dynamic essentially suppressed our revenues in the first quarter last year and reversed the process in the second and third quarters of 2020.

Our estimated remaining collections at the end of Q2 was $8.1 billion, down 3% compared to the end of Q2 last year, primarily as a result of very strong collections performance during the past year as well as lower portfolio purchasing during the same period. Our global funding structure provides many benefits to Encore, including lower funding costs and extended maturities. In June, we refinanced the last of our legacy Cabot bonds with GBP250 million of new senior secured notes with a 325 basis point lower coupon while also extending the maturity from 2023 to 2028. We also expect the interest savings from these new notes will pay back the call premium from the redemption of our previous notes by the end of 2021. Available capacity under our global RCF was $720 million at the end of the second quarter, and we concluded Q2 with $175 million of nonclient cash on the balance sheet. With our strong balance sheet, our financial flexibility and access to a variety of capital sources, we are well prepared for the opportunities that lie ahead.

With that, I'd like to turn it back over to Ashish.

Ashish Masih -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, John. I'm proud of our accomplishments in the first half of 2021 and excited about the opportunities in front of us. As I reflect on the last 1.5 years, which has brought constant and unprecedented change to our personal and professional lives, I'm proud of my 7,000-plus colleagues at Encore, located across many countries around the world. Each of them has managed through a variety of COVID-related challenges impacting their families, their health and their communities. They have dealt admirably with the constant ups and downs in their lives. Through it all, they have kept their focus on our mission, which is to create pathways to economic freedom for our consumers and our vision, which is to make credit accessible by partnering with consumers to restore their financial health. We understand that no two consumers are the same, and we pride ourselves on gaining an understanding of each consumer circumstance to determine the best solution to help them resolve their debts and restore their financial health.

Everything we do at Encore is informed by our three core values -- we care, so we always put people first; we find a better way, so we remain committed to always delivering our best; and we are inclusive and collaborative, so we always embrace the differences so that each individual can thrive. Together, our mission, vision and values serve as the bedrock of our organization and for the performance that follows. To continue to deliver strong results and plan for a successful future, we remain focused on executing our strategy, which we believe is critical to building long-term shareholder value. We have a clear view of our financial priorities and their importance to building upon our success. Our bond refinancing in Q2 once again demonstrated the benefits of our global funding structure. We continue to be focused on achieving our balance sheet objectives, which include preserving our financial flexibility, targeting leverage in a range between two times and three times and maintaining a strong BB debt rating. Consistent with our capital allocation priorities, we followed a disciplined approach to purchase portfolios at attractive returns in the second quarter.

Furthermore, we continued to repurchase Encore shares in the second quarter after having initiated share repurchases and receiving board approval to increase our repurchase authorization earlier in the year. Finally, with regard to our operating and financial performance, our returns remain very strong. And we are committed to delivering strong ROIC through the credit cycle. Looking forward, I'm excited about our business for the remainder of this year and beyond. We continue to operate at a high level, building upon a solid liquidity position and a strong, flexible balance sheet, which will allow us to capitalize on whatever the future holds. Now we'd be happy to answer any questions that you may have.

Operator, please open up the lines for questions.

Questions and Answers:

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of David Scharf from JMP Securities.

David Scharf -- JMP Securities -- Analyst

Just a couple here. First, regarding Europe, maybe because U.S. obviously may take a while in terms of the credit environment turning, but can you give us your best guess about whether Europe, in your mind, is on the cusp of an inflection point where we'll see a meaningful return of supply at prices that you find conducive? Or it seemed to be a little bit of mixed messaging there on the pricing versus the supply front in the prepared remarks. So I wanted to make sure I didn't misinterpret.

Ashish Masih -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Yes. Well, thanks for your question, David. So let me provide a bit of context on the overall environment, and then I'll let Craig jump in after that with more color. So in general, in both U.S. and Europe, there are similarities, right? So as delinquencies and charge-offs are low, given how the consumers have behaved, the supply is lower. Now in U.S., all the banks who sell regularly have been selling. It's just that the delinquencies and the volumes have been lower. In Europe, particularly in U.K., what we found is banks stepped away last year, middle of last year, from sales a bit. So that compounded the reduction. But now they have come back, and we are seeing that. So the increase from relatively compared to last year is there. But U.S. banks have always continued to sell. So that's the environment. And I'll let Craig chime in with a bit of more color on whether supply or pricing in U.K. as you wanted to know.

Craig Buick -- Chief Executive Officer of Cabot Credit Management

Yes. Thanks, Ashish. David, I think Ashish has summarized it well. I think you've got to think about it, David, from a demand and a supply side here in terms of the European market. When I talk about Europe, I'm going to focus probably more in the U.K., which is our largest market. If you think about what's happening within our clients right now, credit card balances remain down compared to what they were previously. We are seeing that decrease starting to slow at this point in time. They are still decreasing, but the rate of decrease has slowed at this point. So we may be approaching an inflection in terms of the consumer credit balances, credit card balances, we see in the U.K. Delinquencies do remain low at this particular point. The consumers still appear to be in quite a strong position, and we see that with low delinquencies across many of our clients at this stage. We have seen supply starts to come back to market, as Ashish mentioned. Many of the players stopped selling last year -- they are coming back. They are bringing paper back to the market. On the demand side, you then see we have a number of well-funded experienced industrial players in this market. And we're all looking at this paper at this particular point in time. I would say pricing is back to, at times, maybe a little above where it was at pre-COVID levels. And we continue to maintain that capital deployment rigor at this particular point. Hope that helps.

David Scharf -- JMP Securities -- Analyst

Yes. No, no. It does. I mean, it certainly sounds like that market might see credit and selling behavior normalize quicker than the U.S. So just a follow-up to that, just a math question. I know I could plug in some assumptions and try to back into this, but you're equipped to provide it probably more quickly. Could you give us a sense generally how much you would have to deploy in the second half of the year to close out the year with ERC flat from where it was at June 30?

Ashish Masih -- President and Chief Executive Officer

This is Ashish, David. So let me just provide one more color to your comment that you had at the end of Craig. So I would say in terms of market normalization that you were looking at, so U.S. has been more normal. So sellers never stepped away.

David Scharf -- JMP Securities -- Analyst

Oh, I apologize. I was using the term the way the card issuers and their earnings calls have been using it in terms of loss rates rising to more normalized levels.

Ashish Masih -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Got it. Yes. So I just wanted to be clear on the sales environment what that is, and it's just delinquencies and charge-offs are low in both markets. But spending is rising. New card activations are back to normal from some of the reports I've seen in U.S. So many of those things are starting to turn, and then we'll have to wait and see how the government programs impact some of the consumer behavior to becoming more normal when -- at the end of which I think the lending levels will be normal and charge-off rates will be more normal. Any case, so to your second question on ERC, that depends on how we collect. We've been collecting really well. We still have $8 billion in ERC. And we don't think of it that way that we have to go to a certain target in ERC. We are focused on returns. And so we maintain that discipline. And depending on how the collections grow, it's kind of a math on what the period-end ERC is. And just keep in mind, again, the overall size of ERC is $8 billion, and it's a very substantial one.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Mike Grondahl from Northland Capital Markets.

Mike Grondahl -- Northland Capital -- Analyst

Can you talk a little bit about how you're thinking about collections? Maybe if you could comment on July and then how you're kind of thinking generally about the second half of the year. And I'm asking that question in light of that $600 million in 1Q, $600 million in 2Q, how you're thinking about it.

Ashish Masih -- President and Chief Executive Officer

So Mike, thanks for your question. The way we're focused on is just maximizing long-term value from our portfolios, right? So collections are a result of our efforts as well as consumer behavior. So as you know from our discussions and just broader discussions in the consumer financial services industry, consumers really accelerated payment rates and resolving the debts much more in Q1, continued some of it in Q2. So whether people were home, saving money, the savings rates were higher, that's how they decided to take care of the financials. And that's continuing, but I can't quite predict it, and we don't think in a way that kind of what that rate is going to be in the second half. We are very focused on making sure we are collecting for the long term. We are offering the right payment arrangements, discounts and terms to consumers that helps them resolve their debt, but also doesn't destroy long-term value. So based on kind of how the consumer behavior goes in the second half of the year, this COVID situation for the last 18 months has anything been usual and hard to predict how consumers will behave. Just imagine, I go back a year ago, what banks thought and what really happened. So we'll be focused. We have ample call center capacity because at times, consumers have called us a lot. We have very robust digital capabilities because consumers tend to be -- seem to be using that a lot to engage with us. And then we have ramped up our other channels of collections as well. So we'll just look to maximize value from the back book. But also, we continue to purchase at good returns and collections will come from those as well in the second half of the year and beyond. So that's what I can offer in terms of how we think about it. And where it ends up, we'll find out at the end of the quarter.

Mike Grondahl -- Northland Capital -- Analyst

Sure. That's fair. Any thoughts on July? Can you comment on that month?

Ashish Masih -- President and Chief Executive Officer

I will not comment on that, Mike. A year ago, I think we provided some color for the first month into the quarter. We've not done that typically, and we're not going to get into that at this point, how July is going.

Mike Grondahl -- Northland Capital -- Analyst

Got it, got it. And then the buyback, the $27 million that was in 2Q after the $20 million that was in 1Q. Is that about a rate that we should think of going forward? Or is it going to be more mechanical based on purchase levels and leverage, it could be higher than $27 million. It could be lower. How do you want people to think about the buyback going forward?

Ashish Masih -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Yes, that's a great question. So as we have initiated buybacks this year, if you step back, for many quarters, we had been generating excess capital. So that's one driver. The other one is we approach the lower end of a leverage target of two times to three times, right? So that -- if you combine those two factors that led us to initiate repurchasing, and we bought $47 million, as you correctly said, in the first half of the year. And simultaneously, we increased our authorization to a multiyear program of $300 million, which is what our board authorized. So that was originally $50 million. So that's the context that we have to -- the framework and parameters we have to operate around. And then we're going to allocate capital according to our priorities, which is -- leverage is one of the targets, but any future repurchases are subject to our strong balance sheet, subject to maintaining enough liquidity and subject to continuing strong financial performance.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Mark Hughes from Truist Securities.

Mark Hughes -- Truist Securities -- Analyst

Any historical perspective on supply? Do you see a market that's restricted and then opens up? And I don't know if there is any historical precedent, but could you see people coming back in in a flurry of activity trying to make up for lost ground and then it evens out? Or any historical perspective would be helpful.

Ashish Masih -- President and Chief Executive Officer

I think historical perspectives are there, Mark, but I'm not sure how to extrapolate or use them for futures. In the great recession time, the charge-off spike was very rapid, and many players who didn't sell also sold in that time. 1.5 years ago or a year and four months ago, banks thought something similar was about to happen. They increased their reserves, but they never materialized into losses. And then the other factor is at times, for example, U.S. is heavily forward flow based. All the banks who sell are selling, they just have lower volumes. And in U.K., we found some banks stepping back and coming back in. And in Continental Europe, there's also a lot of secondary markets, so sales that other buyers have made and a lot of sales are from the stock that's built up over the years. So there's different factors that drive, and the outcome in each market will depend. So I'd be hesitant to try to predict exactly based on past behavior what may happen. I think as the economies are normalizing, they're normalizing in a very steady way. Lending is rising and people are spending more, and cards are getting activated. So it will normalize to a more normal level over time, I think, than some rapid reaction. Please go ahead. Sorry, I think you were trying to jump in. Yes.

Mark Hughes -- Truist Securities -- Analyst

Yes. No, and I appreciate your completing your thought there. How about from a buyer perspective? Do you think they may be front-end loading things, and therefore, this spike in competition, so to speak, might not last? Just curious.

Ashish Masih -- President and Chief Executive Officer

We've found buyer approaches are different. There are many sectors in Europe, different kind of paper. But on U.S. side, let me let Ryan jump in here, what he's seeing on the how the market is behaving and what the supply situation is. Ryan?

Ryan Bell -- President, Midland Credit Management, Inc.

Sure. Yes, to your specific question around a spike in buyer competition, we're not seeing that. It's pretty much still a rational market. The buyers that were buying before are still buying now, just a lower supply based on lower charge-offs from the seller. So I wouldn't say there's been any significant change in the competitive landscape on the U.S. side. And then to your earlier question for how we expect to see the supply increase, unless -- our belief now, unless there is an event, it will be a steady increase in supply, not a sharp spike at a one-time point -- at some point in the future. But we do expect to see a steady increase in supply probably starting later this year, early next year as we talk to our banking partners.

Mark Hughes -- Truist Securities -- Analyst

Jonathan, the $109 million in overperformance in the quarter, what was the comparable number in Q1?

Jonathan Clark -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Give me a second.

Mark Hughes -- Truist Securities -- Analyst

And while you're contemplating that one, the outlook for legal costs, how should we think about the absolute level of spending in the coming quarters?

Jonathan Clark -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Before we go to you, mark-market was roughly $91 million, was in 2021 Q1.

Mark Hughes -- Truist Securities -- Analyst

Is it fair to assume then the collections environment, at least with that measure, was better, more robust in the second quarter? Because you've got the usually seasonally slower quarter, but you had the sequential increase, you had more overperformance. So is that a fair takeaway?

Jonathan Clark -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

I probably should have Ryan weigh in from his perspective on collections, but I view Q2 as being a very strong collections quarter.

Ryan Bell -- President, Midland Credit Management, Inc.

Yes. And then from the U.S. side, I think not much of a difference between Q1 and Q2, both very strong collections quarter. I wouldn't see a material difference between the two on the U.S. side.

Mark Hughes -- Truist Securities -- Analyst

Yes. And on the legal cost?

Ashish Masih -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Yes, on the legal cost, Mark, so I'm going to let Ryan and then Craig jump in, but we have seen a pickup in our legal collections as legal activity has normalized. So on the U.S. side, Ryan, and then Craig, if you can just chime in on what that looks like.

Ryan Bell -- President, Midland Credit Management, Inc.

Yes. On the legal cost side specifically, we're probably at a run rate number. We feel it was obviously depressed in the middle of last year because of the situation with the courts. But as that's picked back up, I wouldn't expect any material change in legal costs.

Craig Buick -- Chief Executive Officer of Cabot Credit Management

Yes. Okay. The same holds true for Europe, Ryan, the same dynamic in terms of last year versus this year and where we are today.

Mark Hughes -- Truist Securities -- Analyst

Then, Jonathan, you mentioned 119% performance on collections, 119% of ERC. Was that in the U.S.?

Jonathan Clark -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

That's combined. That is for -- yes. And to be clear, that's as a percentage of ERC at year-end. So it measures how we're doing based on what we expected to do coming into the year.

Mark Hughes -- Truist Securities -- Analyst

At year-end 2020?

Jonathan Clark -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Correct. And then you mentioned you were going to be selling portfolios in Colombia and Peru. What would you expect to clear on those sales?

Ashish Masih -- President and Chief Executive Officer

So if I could jump in, John there and Mark. So we have not closed this transaction, so I'm a bit limited in what I can provide you, but we expect the FX-related losses of these portfolio sales will be around $15 million or $0.50 impact in Q3.

Mark Hughes -- Truist Securities -- Analyst

So EPS loss? What about the -- is that going to be recognized as a -- is that going to contribute to collections, though, whatever your proceeds are?

Jonathan Clark -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

No. It will not.

Mark Hughes -- Truist Securities -- Analyst

Okay. Okay. And then, Jonathan, the interest expense on a go-forward basis, you had, what, $44 million this quarter? Does that already reflect this refinancing? Or what will be the incremental impact?

Jonathan Clark -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Well, I think you can probably look to our interest expense going forward to be mid- to low 40s. A lot of that's going to be driven, obviously, by how much debt we have outstanding and, to a lesser extent, where rates go.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Robert Dodd from Raymond James.

Robert Dodd -- Raymond James -- Analyst

Congratulations on the collections performance. Again, a question on leverage, coming back to the leverage and the potential buyback issue, and I appreciate the comments you've already made. I mean, obviously, the 1.9 times leverage, there's a numerator and a denominator effect. Obviously, you've generated a lot of cash, you've delevered, but obviously, also cash EBITDA, if I can call it that, has been extremely strong with the collections elevated. Obviously, it's been outperforming your expectations. So if EBITDA were to perform more in line with your expectations, where conceptually would that put you in your leverage target range? And how does that influence how much excess capital, if you will, you have available potentially to fund the buyback program? I realize that's a little tricky to estimate.

Ashish Masih -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Yes, Robert, thanks for your question. I'm not going to try to speculate what a leverage number in future might be. The way we think about buybacks, as I said, is we have been generating excess cash and -- or capital. And what's important is our broader set of criteria, which is leverage should be at the lower end of the 2% to 3%. So that led us to start the repurchases. And then we also look at just generally overall balance sheet being strong and liquidity, given the portfolio purchase outlook, and just overall strong financial performance. We have had all of those things for a period of time. Therefore, we were able to buy for the two quarters. So I would leave it at that. Leverage is a range for 2% to 3% as opposed to a specific number, what would initiate or not initiate buybacks. So I would leave it at that. Hopefully, that provides enough framework on how we think about repurchases.

Robert Dodd -- Raymond James -- Analyst

Yes, I appreciate that. And then one more just on Europe. On the dimension that the pricing, in some cases, is worse and worse, in a sense than pre-COVID. Any color or idea on -- is that just driven by the scarcity of supply, relatively speaking? Even though some of it's coming back because, obviously, a lot of your competitors in Europe, some have been irrational before. I mean, bluntly, is it back to the old habits? Or is this just scarcity and it's -- is their leverage not playing the role that it was in, say, 2019 in terms of inhibiting some of the irrational pricing?

Ashish Masih -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Yes. In U.S., in both markets, of course, as you correctly said, supply demand clearly plays a role in pricing. So when that goes in a different balance, so pricing would go up. In U.S., it's -- what we see is a very rational set of players and no new entrants. And there was no lack of liquidity on the part of the major buyers. So it's a similar market. It's just lower volumes. Pricing has been stable in U.S., we do see a portfolio here or there that has higher pricing. So marginally up, I would say, but in general, staying in line. And then in Europe, there are players who had leveraged funding constraints before the pandemic. Those have gone away. So there are many well-funded players, as Craig alluded to. And that, when combined with the less supply, can create an environment where some portfolios we've seen have had higher pricing, and we make our bids based on our return expectations. And there are also players who have different specializations. They focus on different kinds of paper, so everyone has their ability to get what they want. But in general, you're right. The lack of leverage constraint and funding is more normal in Europe now than it used to be before the pandemic. Craig, anything else on that front on Europe?

Craig Buick -- Chief Executive Officer of Cabot Credit Management

No, I think, Ashish, you covered the key elements. Robert, it's really about there's been a bit of a quiet period as it's coming back. In Europe, we've got experienced, well-funded industrial players. And as they're looking at that paper, some people look at it in a different way than we do. And you've got to also think when you're looking at Europe, there's lots of differences in terms of asset classes, what you buy and where. Many of the players in this sector we've each got a slightly different area of specialism, certain portfolios might appeal more to others. When we don't believe the return's there, we'll let it pass, and we'll move on to the next opportunity at that particular point in time. Europe is a big market, and we'll continue to maintain that capital allocation discipline that we've demonstrated in the past that's allowed us to be able to generate the sort of ROIC that Ashish had talked about earlier.

Operator

There are no further questions in the queue. I will now turn the call over back to Mr. Masih. Sir, please go ahead.

Ashish Masih -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you. That concludes the call for today. Thanks for taking the time to join us, and we look forward to providing our third quarter 2021 results in November.

Operator

[Operator Closing Remarks]

Duration: 44 minutes

Call participants:

Bruce Thomas -- Vice President, Investor Relations

Ashish Masih -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Jonathan Clark -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Craig Buick -- Chief Executive Officer of Cabot Credit Management

Ryan Bell -- President, Midland Credit Management, Inc.

David Scharf -- JMP Securities -- Analyst

Mike Grondahl -- Northland Capital -- Analyst

Mark Hughes -- Truist Securities -- Analyst

Robert Dodd -- Raymond James -- Analyst

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