LUV Hurts

Recs

0

Even as it reported its 53rd consecutive profitable quarter today, Southwest Airlines (NYSE: LUV) is clearly feeling the pain of higher fuel costs and increased competition in the airline industry. Revenues beat analysts' estimates, but earnings fell two cents short of expectations.

Its executive ranks are also in pain today. Following the firm's earnings release this morning, CEO James Parker abruptly resigned, effective immediately. The official reason given in Southwest's press release was "personal reasons," but the timing can't help but encourage investors to form their own conclusions. Parker ascended to the CEO title in 2001, and has been with Southwest for 18 years. CFO Gary Kelly will step in to fill the position, and treasurer Laura Wright will become CFO.

While revenues of $1.72 billion for the most recent quarter beat both Wall Street estimates of $1.66 billion and the $1.52 billion in revenues for the same quarter last year, earnings fell short. The company reported net income of $113 million, or $0.14 a share, below both Wall Street's estimate of $0.16 per share and last year's results of $246 million, or $0.30 a share.

As I wrote in June, higher fuel costs may actually be good for the industry in the long term by forcing a much-needed shakeout. But in the short term, industry profits are being squeezed across the board. Southwest is 80% hedged on fuel costs through 2005 with prices capped at approximately $25 per barrel. If, despite the hedge, its results are below expectations, weaker carriers that have not been able to hedge will feel an even greater amount of pain from the high cost of fuel.

In addition, pricing is now coming under severe pressure in the industry. As Brian Gorman reported, Southwest recently initiated a vicious price war. Other airlines were forced to quickly follow its price cuts, with JetBlue (Nasdaq: JBLU) announcing that it will slash fares by up to 50% on 1 million seats for the fall. Legacy carriers such as Delta (NYSE: DAL), Continental (NYSE: CAL), and American (NYSE: AMR) as well as other low-cost carriers including AirTran (NYSE: AAI) and ATA (Nasdaq: ATAH) all cut fares. Given that low-cost competition now exists on 70% of domestic routes in the U.S., the legacy carriers have had no option other than to make widespread price concessions.

Southwest is the first airline to announce second-quarter earnings, but a couple of recent announcements from legacy carriers indicate that they are suffering. Delta said earlier this week that it would take $1.65 billion in non-cash charges, including $1.53 billion related to deferred income taxes, because of the fact that it is unlikely to generate sufficient taxable income to realize its deferred income tax assets. In addition, this week United (OTC BB: UALAQ.OB) also stated that it has made the decision to postpone its minimum quarterly payment to its pension funds.

Most airlines will announce second-quarter earnings next week. Based on Southwest's disappointing announcement today, next week's news is likely to be even more painful.

Southwest competitor JetBlue is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor recommendation. Check out the newsletter by subscribing today.

Fool contributor Salim Haji lives in Denver and does not own shares in any of the companies mentioned.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

Be the first one to comment on this article.

Compare Brokers

TD AMERITRADE
more info
ShareBuilder
more info
Power E*Trade

more info
Scottrade
more info
Fool Disclosure

DocumentId: 509240, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 11/9/2009 6:32:21 AM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

The Must-Read Story on Fool.com
Which Companies Can Buy It Like Buffett?

Related Tickers

11/6/2009 4:02 PM
AAI $4.64 Up +0.49 +11.81%
AirTran Holdings,… CAPS Rating: **
AMR $5.65 Up +0.23 +4.24%
AMR Corp CAPS Rating: *
CAL $12.77 Up +1.03 +8.77%
Continental Airlin… CAPS Rating: *
LUV $8.65 Up +0.29 +3.47%
Southwest Airlines… CAPS Rating: ***
JBLU $5.24 Up +0.41 +8.49%
JetBlue Airways Co… CAPS Rating: ***

Community: Investing Wiki

Term Of The Hour

Conforming loan: A Conforming loan is a mortgage backed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac which is at or under a dollar limit set by the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight to ensure that lower-income people have access to such loans. The limit is the maximum amount Fannie or Freddie can back.

Want to learn more or edit this definition?
Click here to read more!