5 Potential Buffett Picks

By Tim Hanson May 6, 2008 Comments (0)

2 Recommendations

The track record of master investor Warren Buffett inspires envy: 40-plus years of greater-than-20% annualized returns. That performance helped him build a fortune of more than $50 billion -- among the world's largest -- while doing something he loves.

Can you replicate that success? Perhaps not. But a number of money managers have approximated it by investing the same way Buffett has for decades -- and that's something you can do.

The blueprint
Of course, Buffett has always tried to keep his methods and ideas under wraps. But page 25 of this year's Berkshire Hathaway annual report reveals a Willy Wonka-like glimpse into the inner workings of his empire. That's because Berkshire needs your help.

See, as the company's cash hoard grows, Buffett needs to add bigger and bigger businesses to the portfolio in order to keep returns high. But businesses that meet Buffett's high standards are difficult to find. So he's asked his shareholders to keep their eyes peeled. Buffett wrote that he's eager to hear from any company that meets the following five criteria:

  1. At least $75 million in pre-tax earnings.
  2. Consistent earning power.
  3. Good returns on equity while employing little or no debt.
  4. Management in place.
  5. Simplicity (if there's lots of technology, we won't understand it).

A master list for the master
Now, Buffett, for his part, is looking for private businesses he can buy whole-hog. But because none of us is likely to make a multibillion-dollar acquisition anytime soon, here are five publicly traded names that pass Buffett's sniff test:

Company

Industry

EBT*

5-Year EPS Growth

ROE

Debt/Equity Ratio

Insider
Ownership

Cerner (Nasdaq: CERN)

Health Care

$218

22%

12.7%

16.3%

16.3%

Gap (NYSE: GPS)

Apparel Retail

$1,440

15%

18.4%

4.4%

19.0%

Mercury General (NYSE: MCY)

P&C Insurance

$315

29%

13.3%

7.4%

51.2%

Perini (NYSE: PCR)

Construction and Engineering

$154

31%

31.7%

5.6%

9.1%%

Tractor Supply (Nasdaq: TSCO)

Specialty Stores

$145

16%

15.7%

18.6%

11.5%

*Earnings before taxes, in millions. Data from Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's.

While these are all promising businesses, the story doesn't end here. That's because Buffett also named a sixth criterion: an offering price.

Price may be the most important criterion of all. If you know anything about Buffett, then you know that he made his fortune not simply by buying great companies, but by buying great companies at great prices.

Pay for greatness
So what would Buffett pay for these five stocks? It's hard to say. The master keeps his specific valuation methods close to the vest. That said, I'm sure all five of these stocks are on the radars of Fool co-founders David and Tom Gardner in their Motley Fool Stock Advisor investing service.

And that's not surprising. Like Buffett, David and Tom seek shares of great companies at great prices. And like Buffett, their track record is impressive. Stock Advisor is beating the market 62% to 22% since the service's 2002 inception.

If you'd like to look at the stocks David and Tom are recommending today, join Stock Advisor free for 30 days. There's no obligation to subscribe, and you'll immediately have access to more than 100 recommendations that deserve your consideration. Click here for more information.

This article was first published May 7, 2007. It has been updated.

Tim Hanson does not own shares of any company mentioned. Mercury General is an Income Investor pick. Gap is a recommendation of both Inside Value and Stock Advisor. Like Rudie, the Fool's disclosure policy can't fail.

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

Be the first one to comment on this article.

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

Compare Brokers

TD AMERITRADE
more info
ShareBuilder
more info
Power E*Trade

more info
Scottrade
more info
Fool Disclosure

DocumentId: 638637, ~/articles/articlehandler.aspx, 7/24/2008 2:45:08 PM,

Sign up for FREE Motley Fool site access!

Already registered? Login Here

It’s FREE! Enter your email address, and we’ll rush you to the article you're looking for right now.

Privacy / Legal Information

We will use your email address only to keep you informed about updates to our web site and about other products and services that we think might interest you. The Motley Fool respects your privacy. Please read our Privacy Statement

.

Related Tickers

Cerner Corp

CERN Down! $46.87 -1.12 (-2.33%) 2:28 PM
CAPS Rating:
171 Outperforms
17 Underperforms
Rate This Stock

Major Indices

S&P 5001,262.06 -1.57%
DJIA11,425.98 -1.77%
RSL 2K707.52 -1.62%
NASD2,298.24 -1.19%
Updated: 2:29:09 PM
Sponsored by:

The Motley Poll

What company will see the next Bear Stearns-style implosion?

Sponsored by: