5 Stocks the Smart Money Loathes

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Want to know one secret to high returns in the stock market? It's not about picking stocks that go up; it's really about picking stocks that don't go down, and picking stocks that don't go down big-time.

Avoiding big losses will dramatically increase your returns, and may be easier than finding big winners. All well and good, you say, but how do I know which companies are the next Principal Financial Group (NYSE: PFG) or JA Solar Holdings (Nasdaq: JASO)?

One way is to piggyback off of other smart investors, such as the All-Star investors in CAPS, The Motley Fool's interactive stock-rating database.

All-Stars have a ranking of 80 or more out of 100, meaning their picks are outperforming 80% of the more than 60,000 rated CAPS members. The top players have accuracy levels of well over 60% and are so good, they have drawn attention, so it pays to follow what they do. 

We can easily search for their least favorite picks using the handy CAPS screener. For example, the following names came from a search for stocks with:

  • At least 200 All-Star underperform picks.
  • A rating of one star (the lowest) out of five stars.

Company Name

CAPS Rating

All Star Underperform Picks

All-Star Outperform Picks

Raser Technologies (NYSE: RZ)

*

205

24

SulphCo (AMEX: SUF)

*

192

11

Centex (NYSE: CTX)

*

285

59

Overstock.com (Nasdaq: OSTK)

*

278

41

NVR (NYSE: NVR)

*

153

41

Source: Motley Fool CAPS; data as of Oct. 8, 2008.

It's probably a good idea to stay away from these stocks. I'm all for being a contrarian, but the All-Stars include the savviest members in all of CAPS.

See if any of your stocks are rated underperform by CAPS All-Stars by heading over to the CAPS site yourself. 

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Fool analyst Andrew Sullivan does not have a financial position in any of the stocks mentioned in this article. Try any of our Foolish newsletters today, free for 30 days. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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  • Report this Comment On October 14, 2008, at 9:14 PM, Tup1 wrote:

    Mr. Sullivan,

    Your Oct 14th article naming "5 stocks the SMART money loathes" had an interesting day on October 15th...a day that the S&P 500 was down a half of one percent. These 5 stocks were up over 7% as a group assuming one would have purchased a 20% stake in each one equal. 3 out of the 5 were up for the day. I will be interested to see if this CAPS system has better peformance on a long term basis for these 5 picks that were loathed.

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