Based on the aggregated intelligence of 130,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool's free investing community, shipping giant United Parcel Service (NYSE: UPS ) has received a distressing two-star ranking.
With that in mind, let's take a closer look at UPS' business, and see what CAPS investors are saying about the stock right now.
UPS facts
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Headquarters (founded)
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Atlanta, Ga. (1907)
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Market Cap
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$57.33 billion
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Industry
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Air freight and logistics
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TTM Revenue
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$49.75 billion
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Management
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CEO Scott Davis (since 2008)
CFO Kurt Kuehn (since 2008)
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Quarterly Earnings Growth (year over year)
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(55.7%)
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2-Month Price Change
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46%
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Competitors
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FedEx (NYSE: FDX )
Con-Way (NYSE: CNW )
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CAPS members bearish on UPS also bearish on
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General Motors (NYSE: GM )
Citigroup (NYSE: C )
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CAPS members bullish on UPS bullish on
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General Electric (NYSE: GE )
Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL )
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Sources: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's, and Motley Fool CAPS. TTM = trailing 12 months.
Over on CAPS, fully 67 of the 426 All-Star members who have rated UPS -- some 16% -- believe the stock will underperform the S&P 500 going forward. Among the entire bearish population are stockfreak1 and stjolly777, who is ranked in the top 10% of our community.
Late last month, stockfreak1 wrote that the UPS bear case all boiled down to price:
UPS will be here forever. Their management is too too good. They pay their workers and employees well and they're not going down without waging all out war. However, bottom line... this stock is too rich for my blood.
In a pitch from two weeks ago, stjolly777 delivered a bearish package of his own:
Good company....expensive Stock! ... $2.50 for '09 would be a miracle at this point...and why pay 22x earnings in this market? ... At a price of $52 (today) this stock is certainly not a compelling buy. Even if the company beat its own forecast (something they have NOT done in 3 years...) they probably don't get $3/share in earning until 2011...at which point they MIGHT justify today's share price (assuming interest rates haven't gone up and caused multiple contraction across the entire stock market.)
What do you think about UPS, or any other stock for that matter? Make your voice heard on Motley Fool CAPS today. More than 130,000 investors are waiting to hear what you have to say. CAPS is 100% free, so simply click here to get started.
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