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Checking the Margins at AerCap Holdings

Margins matter. The more AerCap Holdings (NYSE: AER  ) keeps of each buck it earns in revenue, the more money it has to invest in growth, fund new strategic plans, or (gasp!) distribute to shareholders. That's why I check on my holdings' margins at least once a quarter. I'm looking for the absolute numbers, comparisons to sector peers and competitors, and any trend that may tell me how strong AerCap Holdings' competitive position could be.

Here's the current margin snapshot for AerCap Holdings and some of its sector and industry peers and direct competitors.

Company

TTM Gross Margin

TTM Operating Margin

TTM Net Margin

 AerCap Holdings

62%

31.6%

14.6%

 FLY Leasing (NYSE: FLY  )

98.8%

51.7%

26.1%

 Aircastle (NYSE: AYR  )

97.4%

48.7%

16.4%

 Atlas Air Worldwide Holdings (Nasdaq: AAWW  )

29.3%

17.3%

8.9%

 Raytheon (NYSE: RTN  )

19.5%

10.5%

6.6%

Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's. TTM = trailing 12 months.

Unfortunately, that table doesn't tell us much about where AerCap Holdings has been, or where it's going. A company with rising gross and operating margins often fuels its growth by increasing demand for its products. If it sells more units while keeping costs in check, its profitability increases. Conversely, a company with gross margins that inch downward over time is often losing out to competition, and possibly engaging in a race to the bottom on prices. If it can't make up for this problem by cutting costs -- and most companies can't -- then both the business and its shares face a decidedly bleak outlook.

Of course, over the short term, the kind of economic shocks we recently experienced can drastically affect a company's profitability. That's why I like to look at five fiscal years' worth of margins, along with the results for the trailing 12 months (TTM), the last fiscal year, and last fiscal quarter (LFQ). You can't always reach a hard conclusion about your company's health, but you can better understand what to expect, and what to watch.

Here's the margin picture for AerCap Holdings over the past few years.

anImage

(Because of seasonality in some businesses, the numbers for the last period on the right -- the TTM figures -- aren't always comparable to the FY results preceding them.)

Here's how the stats break down:

  • Over the past five years, gross margin peaked at 85.7% and averaged 67.9%. Operating margin peaked at 52.3% and averaged 39.1%. Net margin peaked at 16.5% and averaged 14.4%.
  • TTM gross margin is 62%, 590 basis points worse than the five-year average. TTM operating margin is 31.6%, 750 basis points worse than the five-year average. TTM net margin is 14.6%, 20 basis points better than the five-year average.

With recent TTM operating margins below historical averages, AerCap Holdings has some work to do.

If you take the time to read past the headlines and crack a filing now and then, you're probably ahead of 95% of the market's individual investors. To stay ahead, learn more about how I use analysis like this to help me uncover the home run stock you're too afraid to buy. Do-it-yourselfers can head over to our quotes page to review AerCap Holdings' latest filings directly.

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Seth Jayson had no position in any company mentioned here at the time of publication. You can view his stock holdings here. He is co-advisor of Motley Fool Hidden Gems, which provides new small-cap ideas every month, backed by a real-money portfolio. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On August 26, 2010, at 3:53 PM, CONSULTAV wrote:

    Seth,

    Not anywhere in your piece do you mention that AER closed a major acquisition (aircraft leasing) in March 2010. This necessitated writing up the assets of the acquired company to market values. You have not adjusted for this factor when comparing margins to other aircraft leasing companies and to historical results. One effect was that the second quarter (June 2010) demonstrated some of the economies of scale in this business, but also included higher direct costs (depreciation, etc.). Also, you did not mention that AER has quite a different business mix with engine leasing, engine trading, parts sales, aircraft and engine part-out and repair and maintenance-business activities that the comparables you include do not have. Finally, you did not mention that AER sells new aircraft from its order book, which it increased in 2010 (vs. 2009), and this drastically affects margins.

    Your analysis needs further work!

  • Report this Comment On August 27, 2010, at 12:44 AM, mikebinsf wrote:

    Failure to account for the GLS buyout in the analysis makes this piece worse than nothing at all!! It's flat out misleading!

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