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7 Reasons to Worry About Next Week

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Are you feeling it?

Somewhere between the rallying equity prices and market research giant Forrester's predicting a 16% spike in online sales during the holiday shopping season, it's easy to begin feeling good about the economy.

Heck. Even the country's leading search engine reportedly is handing out 10% raises across the board.

Unfortunately, it's not all Turnaround City.

Despite the heady market gains in recent weeks, there are still plenty of companies posting lower earnings than they did a year ago. Let's go over a few of the names that are expected to go the wrong way on the bottom line next week.

Company

Latest Quarter's EPS (Estimated)

Year-Ago Quarter's EPS

Perfect World (Nasdaq: PWRD  ) $0.54 $0.81
RINO (Nasdaq: RINO  ) $0.48 $0.68
Bob Evans Farms (Nasdaq: BOBE  ) $0.40 $0.50
BJ's Wholesale (NYSE: BJ  ) $0.36 $0.45
Nepstar (NYSE: NPD  ) $0.03 $0.05
Warner Music Group (NYSE: WMG  ) ($0.13) ($0.03)
Canadian Solar (Nasdaq: CSIQ  ) $0.43 $0.69

Source: Thomson Reuters.

Clearing the table
More companies are expected to post lower earnings next week; these are just a few of the names that really jump out at me.

Perfect World was once a speedster in the realm of online gaming. China's youth would duck into Internet cafes to engage in Perfect World's fantasy multiplayer games. Web-based gaming is still huge in China, but Perfect World is no longer on the bandwagon. It's also hard to believe that analysts are underestimating Perfect World's potential this time, since the struggling company has missed Wall Street's profit target in two of the three previous quarters.

Lower earnings may be the least of RINO International's problems, as the Chinese cleantech firm is battling fraud allegations. It's going to be an interesting conference call for sure, come Monday.

Bob Evans is the sausage master behind a chain of casual-dining eateries that specialize in comfort foods. Bob Evans and its slightly more upscale Mimi's Cafe should be beneficiaries of an economic recovery. Dining out becomes an obvious use of discretionary income when folks are feeling confident about their financial wellbeing. Bob Evans bumped its dividend higher this summer, a scene that is unlikely to be repeated if earnings continue to decline.

It may be a shock to find BJ's Wholesale on this list. Warehouse clubs provide bargains in bulk, a compelling value in any market. It certainly didn't hurt during the recession. BJ's has posted year-over-year earnings growth in all but one quarter over the past three years. If the pros are right, this will be the second.

Nepstar runs a drugstore chain in China. Many of the other consumer-oriented companies in China are thriving. How can they not, when the emerging nation's economy is growing at a 10% annualized clip? This won't be a new feeling for Nepstar, since it's been clocking in under last year's results all year.

Warner Music Group is the major record label behind Green Day, Enya, and The White Stripes. No one is surprised to hear that the majors are struggling these days, but did you know that even digital music sales are starting to dip sequentially at Warner Music Group? Well, it happened during the company's previous quarter. Wall Street's projection of wider deficits this time around make it likely that the trend will continue.

Finally, we have Canadian Solar, which is relying heavily on China's push for sun-backed power. It's cashing in from all the way in Ontario. Solar energy stocks have been rocking for the most part. Canadian Solar is one of the few holdouts going the wrong way.

Why the long face, short-seller?
These seven companies have literally seen better days. The market has rewarded many of these stocks with reasonable gains over the past year, but they still haven't earned those upticks.

The good news here is that Wall Street already expects these companies to deliver shrinking bottom lines. In other words, the bad news is already baked into the shares.

The more I think about it, the less worried I become.

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Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz wonders if his contrarian heart will ever be happy. He does not own shares in any of the companies in this story. He is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On November 12, 2010, at 4:56 PM, clytn92 wrote:

    Thats Funny...just a few short weeks ago Motley Fool was bragging about how great Nepstar is, and now its not so great. Which is it I wonder?

  • Report this Comment On November 13, 2010, at 11:10 AM, DonkeyJunk wrote:

    @ clynt

    Yet another member who doesn't understand how Motley Fool works: multiple analysts, a diversity of positions and opinions designed to give you the information to make your own judgment. That's why all the articles related to a stock are visible on its page. Do not treat individual articles as the authority on a subject.

    Most people seem to understand this, but every person who doesn't feels obligated to point out the contradiction. Where is the disclaimer on each article?

    Oh, wait. Here it is:

    "We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

    Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz wonders if his contrarian heart will ever be happy. He does not own shares in any of the companies in this story. He is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early. The Fool has a disclosure policy."

    They're at the bottom of EVERY ARTICLE.

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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:00 PM
PWRD $11.18 Down -0.15 -1.32%
Perfect World CAPS Rating: **
RINO.DL $6.07 Down +0.00 +0.00%
RINO International CAPS Rating: ***
WMG $8.25 Down +0.00 +0.00%
Warner Music Group… CAPS Rating: *
NPD $2.62 Down -0.05 -1.87%
China Nepstar Chai… CAPS Rating: ***
BJ.DL $0.00 Down +0.00 +0.00%
BJ's Wholesale Clu… CAPS Rating: ****
BOBE $40.44 Down -0.13 -0.32%
Bob Evans Farms, I… CAPS Rating: **
CSIQ $3.14 Up +0.41 +15.02%
Canadian Solar, In… CAPS Rating: **

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