Everyone would love to find the perfect stock. But will you ever really find a stock that gives you everything you could possibly want?
One thing's for sure: If you don't look, you'll never find truly great investments. So let's first take a look at what you'd want to see from a perfect stock, and then decide if EMC (NYSE: EMC ) fits the bill.
The quest for perfection
When you're looking for great stocks, you have to do your due diligence. It's not enough to rely on a single measure, because a stock that looks great based on one factor may turn out to be horrible in other ways. The best stocks, however, excel in many different areas, which all come together to make up a very attractive picture.
Some of the most basic yet important things to look for in a stock are:
- Growth. Expanding businesses show healthy revenue growth. While past growth is no guarantee that revenue will keep rising, it's certainly a better sign than a stagnant top line.
- Margins. Higher sales don't mean anything if a company can't turn them into profits. Strong margins ensure a company is able to turn revenue into profit.
- Balance sheet. Debt-laden companies have banks and bondholders competing with shareholders for management's attention. Companies with strong balance sheets don't have to worry about the distraction of debt.
- Money-making opportunities. Companies need to be able to turn their resources into profitable business opportunities. Return on equity helps measure how well a company is finding those opportunities.
- Valuation. You can't afford to pay too much for even the best companies. Earnings multiples are simple, but using normalized figures gives you a sense of how valuation fits into a longer-term context.
- Dividends. Investors are demanding tangible proof of profits, and there's nothing more tangible than getting a check every three months. Companies with solid dividends and strong commitments to increasing payouts treat shareholders well.
With those factors in mind, let's take a closer look at EMC.
What We Want to See
Pass or Fail?
|Growth||5-Year Annual Revenue Growth > 15%||11.7%||fail|
|1-Year Revenue Growth > 12%||16.4%||pass|
|Margins||Gross Margin > 35%||58.2%||pass|
|Net Margin > 15%||10.2%||fail|
|Balance Sheet||Debt to Equity < 50%||18.9%||pass|
|Current Ratio > 1.3||1.91||pass|
|Opportunities||Return on Equity > 15%||10.5%||fail|
|Valuation||Normalized P/E < 20||32.28||fail|
|Dividends||Current Yield > 2%||0%||fail|
|5-Year Dividend Growth > 10%||0%||fail|
|Total Score||4 out of 10|
Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard and Poor's. Total score = number of passes.
With a score of 4, EMC doesn't have everything we're looking for in a stock. But it's certainly in the middle of some exciting times in its industry.
On one hand, EMC recently announced a bid for Isilon Systems (Nasdaq: ISLN ) , paying $33.85 per share in cash for the networked storage specialist. The move fits in with an overall corporate strategy that emphasizes acquisitions as a way to grow.
But even as EMC gobbles up smaller companies, the storage company itself is the subject of takeover speculation. Rumors have it that Oracle (Nasdaq: ORCL ) may make a bid for the company, and fellow Fool Anders Bylund thinks that Cisco Systems (Nasdaq: CSCO ) could be another logical choice to buy EMC out.
Perhaps the most interesting thing about EMC from an investing standpoint is that it essentially gives you two companies in one. EMC owns about 80% of VMware (NYSE: VMW ) , so you get not only EMC's storage business but also VMware's virtualization software.
Unfortunately, all the attention has made EMC's shares somewhat pricey. Like many tech stocks, it doesn't pay a dividend, and its net margins and return on equity aren't all that great. But as a play on the cloud computing trend or continued consolidation in the industry, EMC is worth a closer look.
No stock is a sure thing, but some stocks are a lot closer to perfect than others. By looking for the perfect stock, you'll go a long way toward improving your investing prowess and learning how to separate out the best investments from the rest.
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