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The Bull Market Is Over

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It has been two years since the start of the current bull market, and everyone is celebrating it differently. There is some evidence to suggest that individual investors frightened away by the financial collapse are returning to the markets now that they see some level of stability. Others think that the rising markets have erased the margin of safety in U.S. equities, leaving many stocks with valuations that require a series of best-case scenarios to provide even small returns.

In an interesting example of divergent opinion, the 170,000-member CAPS community is divided. Most players are continuing to make bullish calls, and they are doing so at the same pace that they have for the past six months. But lately the best players, the CAPS All-Stars, have been closing their bullish positions across the board and in high volume -- there are nearly 20,000 fewer All-Star outperform picks today than there were last Monday. Clearly, the best stock pickers in the community think that this bull market won't last until its leather anniversary.

While there were decreases across the board, the largest drops were in the materials and energy sector, both of which saw more than 3 times their normal traffic, and both of which have 5% fewer All-Star picks than they did a week ago. Even within those industries, some companies were hit harder than others, however, with seven standing out:

Company

Sector

Industry

Drop in Picks

New Gold (AMEX: NGD  ) Materials Metals and Mining 19%
Endeavour Silver (AMEX: EXK  ) Materials Metals and Mining 16%
WSP Holdings (NYSE: WH  ) Energy Energy Equipment and Services 14%
SandRidge Energy (NYSE: SD  ) Energy Oil, Gas and Consumable Fuels 13%
Hecla Mining (NYSE: HL  ) Materials Metals and Mining 12%
Massey Energy (NYSE: MEE  ) Energy Oil, Gas and Consumable Fuels 12%
Jaguar Mining (NYSE: JAG  ) Materials Metals and Mining 11%

Are the All-Stars right? With oil, gold, and silver all at or approaching new highs, perhaps the smartest move is to lock in gains and look elsewhere. Find out for yourself -- keep your eyes on all of these companies by adding them to My Watchlist, your free and customized hub for the news and numbers on the companies you care about:

The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

Enter your email address below to find out what made Jobs so enraged!

Chris Harris doesn't own any of the companies mentioned in this article. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On March 16, 2011, at 7:51 AM, cmatigen wrote:

    Shorting stocks is not easy to make money, is it?

  • Report this Comment On March 16, 2011, at 11:51 AM, hip2bsquare wrote:

    @cmatigan

    Define "easy".

    Of course you can profit, and profit very well, off of shorting. There are people that can still profit even when the market is spiraling downwards. There are many who succeeded during, say, the recent financial crisis, where most others lost big.

  • Report this Comment On March 16, 2011, at 5:57 PM, vaderblue wrote:

    Did someone drop a bomb on corporate earnings. Do bears not understand the fundementals of investing. Get back into the game. One or two bad quarters is not the end of investing and profits. It takes diligence, perserverance, patients and the ability to understand financials. Long term is the best way to make profits, maybe not as much when one takes high risks like options and day trading.

    That is no different than rolling dice at a casino.

    Risky and most unrewarding. The best profits

    are earned over time!!!!

  • Report this Comment On March 16, 2011, at 6:03 PM, vaderblue wrote:

    For u short term investors, u can profit on stocks

    even when they drop. IE: If you have an account

    with a broker, you can borrow from your broker

    to buy shares when u think they are near bottom

    and when the stock goes back up, sell the stock,

    repay your broker and keep the profits for youself. Do your homework. Money can be made in any market conditions,

  • Report this Comment On March 16, 2011, at 6:14 PM, vaderblue wrote:

    Define bear for me. A bear is skeptical unsure

    Bulls are true inestors. There game plan is too

    own the corporation. Buy, buy and buy, High low

    falling or rising. When u see a corporation with

    high debt ratio and serious cash flow with a poor

    growth with no opportunity to rebound then I might cut my loses and run but I have been investing since I was nineteen and now sixty-four.

    There are thousands to be made in any market

    if you stick with it. Stocks are always fighting to

    grow and 99% of them do. If you diversify, there is no reason why you one day would not have

    huge profits. "Make money the old fashion way" earn it don't gamble it. Reduce your risks. By stocks with low volatility and a proven track record. Remember all stocks are aiming to be large stocks but learn to minimize risks.

  • Report this Comment On March 16, 2011, at 6:27 PM, vaderblue wrote:

    New Gold will make 20% over the next five years

    Cim will make you rich. Analy, Citigroup, Kraft,

    They have a proven track record. The key to successful portfolio ie: Accumalate 500 shares of cim then start buying gold or silver or citigroup until you have accummulate shares for your porfilio like a 401k. After twenty years of investing

    removing profits as you go, u can be another Warren Buffett. It takes discipline. Pick small

    caps large caps, sound closed end funds and stick with it. Everyone wants to be rich yesterday.

    Good luck or u can just drop your money into

    lottery tickets. I prefer long term.

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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:02 PM
NGD $8.92 Up +0.24 +2.76%
New Gold, Inc. (US… CAPS Rating: ***
SD $6.48 Up +0.16 +2.53%
SandRidge Energy CAPS Rating: ****
WH $1.30 Up +0.03 +2.35%
WSP Holdings CAPS Rating: *****
HL $4.50 Up +0.02 +0.50%
Hecla Mining Compa… CAPS Rating: ***
JAG $1.35 Up +0.03 +2.27%
Jaguar Mining CAPS Rating: **
MEE.DL $0.00 Down +0.00 +0.00%
Massey Energy Comp… CAPS Rating: ***

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