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Is Pandora's Loss Sirius XM's Gain?

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Is there more to Pandora's subpoena than meets the eye?

The wildly popular music-streaming website turned heads earlier this week when it modified its IPO filing to indicate that it was part of a federal grand jury investigation on information-sharing practices.

Pandora claims that it's not the specific target of the investigation, but this doesn't mean that it will be smooth sailing toward its Wall Street debut.

App security specialist Veracode dug into Pandora's code, concluding that the site is sharing user data it collects -- gender, age, and location -- with mobile advertisers. As many as five networks, including Google's (Nasdaq: GOOG  ) AdMob, are obtaining user and GPS data to ideally serve up the most pertinent and lucrative mobile ads.

Pandora obviously isn't the only one doing this. When you're running a largely free ad-supported platform, you're going to want to maximize the monetization potential of relevant advertising. However, we may still see a backlash coming from consumers who didn't realize how much of their personal information was being shared with sponsors.

This is ultimately a case of lousy timing for Pandora. The IPO prospectus reveals a dynamic company with 82 million registered users. It served up 3.9 billion hours of content last year! Revenue grew 150% last year, though losses continue.

A successful IPO would give Pandora the liquidity to expand even faster, along with broader brand exposure. Pandora is often singled out as the biggest threat to Sirius XM Radio (Nasdaq: SIRI  ) , even though terrestrial heavies Clear Channel (OTC BB: CCMO.PK), CBS (NYSE: CBS  ) , Entercom (NYSE: ETM  ) , and Cumulus (Nasdaq: CMLS  ) all have smartphone apps.

Should Sirius XM shareholders be relishing Pandora's stumble? Not just yet. This is unlikely to derail the IPO. The bigger concern for Pandora -- and all app makers -- would be if smartphone users recoil after learning how much of their information is being doled out to advertisers. The reaction would justify the federal jury investigation that suggests that developers need to do a better job of informing the public.

There is clearly room for both Sirius XM and Pandora to succeed. Both companies haven't had a problem attracting listeners. Pandora collects more ad revenue and is growing substantially faster, but Sirius XM is the profitable one.

If Pandora's reputation takes a hit, Sirius XM may benefit in the near term but both companies are likely to be reaching even larger audiences in the long run.

Would you rather own Pandora or Sirius XM? Share your thoughts in the comment box below.

The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

Enter your email address below to find out what made Jobs so enraged!

Google is a Motley Fool Inside Value selection. Google is a Motley Fool Rule Breakers recommendation. The Fool owns shares of Google. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz is a Sirius subscriber. He does not own shares in any of the stocks in this article. He is also a member of the Rule Breakers analytical team, seeking out the next great growth stock early in its defiance. The Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On April 08, 2011, at 1:10 PM, siriuslyrick wrote:

    I really find it strange that almost no one mentions the Sirius XM smartphone apps in these sorts of articles, and now even Rick has done that. Has Sirius also shared information the way others have? If not, is this not a big plus for Sirius in that particular market? Either way, the reality is the opposite of the claims: Sirius XM is the biggest threat to Pandora, after the demise of unlimited data plans.

  • Report this Comment On April 11, 2011, at 9:34 AM, pete163 wrote:

    Pandora is in the hole for so much money, it's now make's Sirius XM look good. Pandora dose not share anything it has been selling information and a lot of in order to raize money behind closed doors without anyone knowing it, untill now. Pandora has also been given away it's equipment as a last ditch efford to save the Company. Pandora is nothing more than a candle that has burn down to the base and is about to go out. This case will show everyone that there is not much to Pandora. Long Sirius XM

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