Recs

1

7 Reasons to Worry About Next Week

And -- just like that -- year-to-date market returns are negative again for 2011. The market was already in a foul mood before yesterday's plunge, but global turmoil and country credit ratings aren't alone in upsetting investors.

There are still plenty of companies posting lower earnings than they did a year ago. Let's go over a few of the names that are expected to go the wrong way on the bottom line next week.

Company

Latest Quarter EPS (Estimated)

Year-Ago Quarter EPS

My Watchlist

GameStop (NYSE: GME  ) $0.22 $0.26 Add
E-House (NYSE: EJ  ) $0.04 $0.17 Add
SINA (Nasdaq: SINA  ) $0.19 $0.42 Add
Brocade (Nasdaq: BRCD  ) $0.11 $0.13 Add
JA Solar (Nasdaq: JASO  ) $0.14 $0.18 Add
Marvell Technology (Nasdaq: MRVL  ) $0.37 $0.40 Add
Sears Holdings (Nasdaq: SHLD  ) ($0.46) ($0.36) Add

Source: Thomson Reuters.

Clearing the table
There will likely be more companies posting lower earnings next week, but these are just a few of the names that really jump out at me.

After posting five consecutive quarters of year-over-year earnings growth, GameStop may finally prove mortal on Thursday. It's about time, really. GameStop managed to show some impressive tenacity in recent quarters, since industry sales have been sluggish for more than two years.

GameStop has managed to keep growing as a popular reseller of used games and gear at healthy markups. It has also countered the digital delivery revolution with some acquisitions of its own. To be fair, analysts see this as a one-time blip. They see GameStop bouncing back to earnings growth for the current quarter and for the entire fiscal year. We'll see if they still feel that way after hearing from the small box retailer.

E-House is a leading real estate agency in China. If you thought that the Chinese economy was booming because it was growing at a far healthier clip than the rest of the world, you may have overlooked the real-estate bubble that's been building in the world's most populous nation. It's apparently catching up to E-House now.

Staying in China, SINA runs one of the country's most popular online portals. This is also the company behind SINA Weibo, the hot micro-blogging platform that's garnering viral Web 2.0 love in the country. It may be a shock to see analysts targeting profitability to be cut by more than half, but this doesn't mean that SINA has stopped growing. These same pros see SINA's revenue climbing a healthy 21% during the period.

A few implosions by networking equipment makers have sent shares of Brocade down to two-year lows this week. Brocade will have the chance to speak for itself come Thursday, though Wall Street already sees a slight dip in profitability.

Much like the sun, solar energy stocks rise and set in popularity. JA Solar -- a Shanghai-based maker of photovoltaic modules and solar cells -- may be on wrong side of the sun right now, but it also announced a $100 million share repurchase plan this week. That should help ease some of the sting.

Marvell is a beefy semiconductor giant with a $7 billion market cap. Wall Street is targeting a profit of $0.37 a share for Marvell, just short of the $0.40 a share it posted a year earlier. The bad news here is that Marvell has missed analyst estimates in its two previous quarters, so the trend isn't its friend right now.

Finally, we have Sears.

I went to Chicago with the family earlier this summer. I asked a cabbie to drive us out to the Sears Tower. He gave me a blank look.

"It's the Willis Tower now," he said. "It hasn't been Sears in years."

Like so many things Sears-ish, we tend to forget that it's there -- or not there. I didn't know. I wasn't just setting myself up for the obvious "whatchu talkin' bout Willis" comeback.

Perhaps that's why Sears has delivered a decade of cascading comps. At least the parent of K-Mart and Sears is still around, though a steeper deficit during the sleepy summer months isn't very comforting.

Why the long face, short-seller?
These seven companies have seen better days. The market has rewarded many of these stocks with reasonable gains over the past year, but they still haven't earned those upticks.

The good news here is that Wall Street already expects these companies to deliver shrinking bottom lines. In other words, the bad news is already baked into the shares.

The more I think about it, the less worried I become.

Take the Motley Poll

Which way do you think the market will go next week?

The Steve Jobs Betrayal
You may already know that in the final year of his life, Jobs revealed a stunning betrayal — and told his biographer, "I will spend my last dying breath... and every penny of Apple's $40 billion in the bank to right this wrong." What was it that made Jobs so irate — and why could it make a few in-the-know investors some major profits over the coming months and years?

Enter your email address below to find out what made Jobs so enraged!

The Motley Fool owns shares of GameStop and Marvell Technology. Motley Fool newsletter services have recommended buying shares of Sina and writing covered calls on GameStop. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz wonders if his contrarian heart will ever be happy. He does not own shares in any of the companies in this story. He is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

Be the first one to comment on this article.

Compare Brokers

Fool Disclosure

DocumentId: 1538227, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 5/26/2012 2:11:23 PM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

Today's Market

updated 16 hours ago Sponsored by:
DOW 12,454.83 -74.92 -0.60%
S&P 500 1,317.82 -2.86 -0.22%
NASD 2,837.53 -1.85 -0.07%

Create My Watchlist

Go to My Watchlist

You don't seem to be following any stocks yet!

Better investing starts with a watchlist. Now you can create a personalized watchlist and get immediate access to the personalized information you need to make successful investing decisions.

Data delayed up to 5 minutes

Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:00 PM
MRVL $13.07 Up +0.21 +1.63%
Marvell Technology… CAPS Rating: ****
SHLD $56.84 Up +0.25 +0.44%
Sears Holdings Cor… CAPS Rating: *
SINA $53.31 Down -0.06 -0.11%
SINA CAPS Rating: ***
JASO $0.92 Down -0.03 -3.65%
JA Solar Holdings… CAPS Rating: **
BRCD $4.76 Up +0.03 +0.63%
Brocade Communicat… CAPS Rating: ****
EJ $5.59 Up +0.14 +2.57%
E-House (China) Ho… CAPS Rating: **
GME $19.52 Up +0.35 +1.83%
GameStop CAPS Rating: **

Advertisement