Dividend investing is a tried-and-true strategy for generating strong, steady returns in economies both good and bad. But as corporate America's slew of dividend cuts and suspensions over the past few years has demonstrated, it's not enough simply to buy a high yield. You also need to make sure those payouts are sustainable.
First and foremost, dividend investors like a large forward yield. But if a yield gets too high, it may reflect investors' doubts about the payout's sustainability. If investors had confidence in the stock, they'd be buying it, driving up the share price and shrinking the yield.
Occidental Petroleum yields 2.2%, a little bit higher than the S&P’s 1.9%.
2. Payout ratio
The payout ratio might be the most important metric for judging dividend sustainability. It compares the amount of money a company paid out in dividends last year to the earnings it generated. A ratio that's too high -- say, greater than 80% of earnings -- indicates that the company may be stretching to make payouts it can't afford, even when its dividend yield doesn’t seem particularly high.
Occidental Petroleum’s payout ratio is 23%.
3. Balance sheet
The best dividend payers have the financial fortitude to fund growth and respond to whatever the economy and competitors throw at them. The interest coverage ratio indicates whether a company is having trouble meeting its interest payments -- any ratio less than 5 is a warning sign. Meanwhile, the debt-to-equity ratio is a good measure of a company's total debt burden.
Occidental Petroleum’s debt-to-equity ratio is 12%, while its interest is covered 31 times.
A large dividend is nice; a large growing dividend is even better. To support a growing dividend, we also want to see earnings growth.
Let's examine how Occidental Petroleum stacks up next to its peers:
5-Year Earnings-Per-Share Growth
5-Year Dividend-Per-Share Growth
|Marathon Oil (NYSE: MRO )||(11%)||4%|
|ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP )||(6%)||13%|
|Hess (NYSE: HES )||1%||0%|
Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's.
The Foolish bottom line
Occidental Petroleum exhibits a clean dividend bill of health. It has a modest yield, minimal debt, and better earnings growth than its peers. Given the low payout ratio, the company could probably afford to continue raising its dividend somewhat in excess of earnings growth.
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