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How Valuable Is Canadian Natural Resources?

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When it comes to the oil and gas industry, assets matter a lot. For companies operating here, there’s nothing more important than reserves, rigs, submersibles, and refineries. However, these assets must be capable of generating profitable returns.

Value for money
These returns indicate whether a given company has the capability of using its assets efficiently and profitably. After all, it makes little sense for an exploration and production company to have a lot of acreage but not the ability to extract the oil (or natural gas, for that matter) within. In short, it pays to find out how valuable these assets are to the company.

Here, we will find out whether a given company’s assets are profitable and efficient compared to its peers based on some important metrics:

  • Return on assets, or net income divided by total assets, shows how much the company is earning compared to the assets it controls. The ratio is an indication of how effectively the company is converting the money it has invested in reserves, property and other equipment into net earnings. The higher the value, the more profitable the assets are. The metric is pretty useful when used as a comparative measure -- against peers and also against the industry in general. A value greater than 7.5% is what investors should ideally be looking for in this industry.
  • Fixed-asset turnover ratio, or revenues divided by total fixed assets (like plant, property, and equipment). Fixed assets form a major chunk of total assets for companies in this industry. This metric shows how efficiently the company is using its fixed assets to generate revenues. The higher the turnover rate, the better. A value of 1.2 looks ideal.
  • Total enterprise value/discounted future cash flows shows how expensive the company is when compared to its standardized future cash flows. The denominator indicates the total present value of estimated future cash inflows from proven reserves, less future development and production costs, discounted at 10% per annum. It’s based on today’s energy prices and doesn’t give any credit for unproven reserves.

With these in mind, let’s take a look at Canadian Natural Resources (NYSE: CNQ  ) and see how it stacks up against its peers:

Company

Return on Assets

Fixed-Asset Turnover Ratio

P/B

TEV/DFCF

Canadian Natural Resources 3.1% 0.3 1.78 1.23

Cenovus Energy

(NYSE: CVE  )

4.6% 1.2 2.81 2.27

Suncor Energy

(NYSE: SU  )

4.6% 0.7 1.27 1.56

EnCana

(NYSE: ECA  )

1.4% 0.3 1.07 1.41

Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's. 

Canadian Natural’s assets don’t seem to generate great returns compared to its peers and the industry at large. Its asset turnover is among the weakest as well.

Deeper analysis suggests that the company is the cheapest among its peers when compared to its future cash flows. Also, if we consider the company’s probable reserves, future cash flows could increase by up to 40%. However, that largely depends on various factors including management’s future capital expenditures program and the intervening market conditions. Given these figures, I feel that the stock is fairly priced compared to its book value.

Foolish bottom line
While this is not the only criterion, assets generally indicate how oil and gas companies have been faring in terms of operations. A more comprehensive understanding can be sought by digging deeper, but Canadian Natural doesn’t appear to offer the best returns in the industry.

If you'd like to stay up to speed on the top news and analysis on Canadian Natural Resources or any other stock, simply add it to your stock watchlist.

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Fool contributor Isac Simon does not own shares of any of the companies mentioned in this article. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.


Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On August 30, 2011, at 4:05 AM, CNQFool wrote:

    Finally, An article about CNQ.

    I am currently employed by CNRL and I am working at their Horizon Oil sands Project in northern Alberta. I guess I can't say much due to non disclosure rules but I can say that as an Employee I am a shareholder as is every other employee and I enjoy my job. I strongly believe that we will continue to grow successfully.

    I am long CNQ.TO

  • Report this Comment On August 30, 2011, at 11:34 AM, holly2007 wrote:

    Hummmm. Let me see if I understand? Boone Pickens is investing millions upon millions to purchase shares of Canadian Natural Resources. Some stooge at Motley Fool comes up with a funny-money idiotic formula for forecasting how much CNQ is actually worth. So should I believe Boone, with his 50+ years in the oil patch, is just throwing his money away? Or should I use my brain and come to the conclusion that this was just another "hatchet job" by the clowns working at Motley Fool? Sorry MF, I guess I will have to go with Boone on this one.

  • Report this Comment On September 27, 2011, at 12:03 PM, quickbucks100 wrote:

    Revenues have been down the first half of the year due to loss of almost 20% of total production at their Horizon oil sands mine. This is led to high P/E and poor return on assets. These numbers will both improve dramatically in the next year. Don't miss this one!

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Related Tickers

5/25/2012 4:02 PM
CNQ $30.75 Up +0.09 +0.29%
Canadian Natural R… CAPS Rating: *****
SU $28.03 Up +0.23 +0.83%
Suncor Energy, Inc… CAPS Rating: ****
ECA $20.50 Up +0.24 +1.18%
EnCana Corp (USA) CAPS Rating: *****
CVE $31.45 Down -0.18 -0.57%
Cenovus Energy Inc… CAPS Rating: *****

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