Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.
What: Shares of hospital staffing provider IPC The Hospitalist
So what: IPC, as clearly evidenced by today's tumultuous drop, cut its full-year EPS forecast, down to $1.70-$1.74 from its own previous guidance of $1.78-$1.86. Sales expectations also fell to a range of $455 million-$458 million, down from earlier guidance of $463 million-$465 million. IPC blamed unexpected softness in patient volumes in certain areas of the U.S. and the use of temporary staff at some of its larger locations as the reason for the profit shortfall.
Now what: IPC's warning after the bell on Friday marked the third straight quarter profits have failed to hit their mark. Prior to updating its guidance, IPC was trading at 28 times trailing 12-month earnings, which is pretty expensive for a hospital staffing business -- even one that will grow sales by 26% in fiscal 2011. Today's warning simply reminds us that growth by acquisition doesn't always go as smoothly as you expect. Having completed 13 acquisitions last year, IPC clearly still has some kinks to work out. Personally, even after today's huge losses, I'm still not going anywhere near IPC until I see it meet or beat its own guidance.
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