Every investor can appreciate a stock that consistently beats the Street without getting ahead of its fundamentals and risking a meltdown. The best stocks offer sustainable market-beating gains, with improving financial metrics that support strong price growth. Let's take a look at what Aqua America's
What the numbers tell you
The graphs you're about to see tell Aqua America's story, and we'll be grading the quality of that story in several ways.
Growth is important on both top and bottom lines, and an improving profit margin is a great sign that a company's become more efficient over time. Since profits may not always reported at a steady rate, we'll also look at how much Aqua America's free cash flow has grown in comparison to its net income.
A company that generates more earnings per share over time, regardless of the number of shares outstanding, is heading in the right direction. If Aqua America's share price has kept pace with its earnings growth, that's another good sign that its stock can move higher.
Is Aqua America managing its resources well? A company's return on equity should be improving, and its debt to equity ratio declining, if it's to earn our approval.
Healthy dividends are always welcome, so we'll make sure that Aqua America's dividend payouts are increasing, but at a level that can be sustained by its free cash flow.
By the numbers
Now, let's take a look at Aqua America's key statistics:
WTR Total Return Price data by YCharts
Passing Criteria |
3-Year* Change |
Grade |
---|---|---|
Revenue Growth > 30% | 12.1% | Pass |
Improving Profit Margin | 35.3% | Pass |
Free Cash Flow Growth > Net Income Growth | (161.8) vs. 46.7% | Fail |
Improving Earnings per Share | 42.3% | Pass |
Stock Growth (+ 15%) < EPS Growth | 52.5% vs. 42.3% | Pass |
Source: YCharts. * Period begins at end of Q2 2009.
WTR Return on Equity data by YCharts
Passing Criteria |
3-Year* Change |
Grade |
---|---|---|
Improving Return on Equity | 23.3% | Pass |
Declining Debt to Equity | 2.4% | Fail |
Dividend Growth > 25% | 22.2% | Fail |
Free Cash Flow Payout Ratio < 50% | NM | Fail |
Source: YCharts. * Period begins at end of Q2 2009. NM = not material due to negative free cash flow.
How we got here and where we're going
Aqua America's recent free cash flow drop hurts it on two fronts, preventing this stable water utility from earning more than five out of nine passing grades. The company's capital expenditures shot higher in its most recent quarter, so a return to its usual rate of spending should help Aqua America earn a better grade next time around.
Aqua America's attracted a lot of investor interest recently, which helped push its past-year performance close to that of sector leader American Water Works
Aqua America, along with Veolia and American Water Works, has a place in the PowerShares Water Resources Portfolio
Putting the pieces together
Aqua America has some of the qualities that make up a great stock, but no stock is truly perfect. These numbers are likely to change over time, so it's important to keep track of Aqua America's progress. The Fool is here to help. When you add Aqua America to your free personalized Watchlist, you'll get updates whenever we uncover any news you'll need.
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