MAKO Investors Getting Cut Out of the Loop

The world's top value investors love it when their best stock ideas are selling at bargain-basement prices. For those rarified investors, companies offering fire-sale prices become no-brainer buys. So regular investors like you and me would do well to emulate the masters and look at companies offering a "buy one, get one" sale on their stocks.

Surgical robot maker MAKO Surgical (Nasdaq: MAKO  ) has found sales of its systems falling behind estimates all year long, and then, right in the middle, it went and did a $40 million secondary offering that caught investors by surprise. With a $50 million line of credit already available, why go through a capital raise now? Management says it's merely a "spare tire," a chance to get money for a rainy day, particularly with a looming fiscal cliff.

Even if you accept this explanation, you'll still want to do more due diligence before buying in to see if this is an opportunity to pick up a quality stock at a severe discount.

MAKO Surgical snapshot

Market Cap

$634 million

Revenues (TTM)

$105 million

1-Year Stock Return

(51.3%)

Return on Investment

(32.9%)

Dividend and Yield

N/A

Estimated 5-Year EPS Growth

25%

52-Week High

$45.15

Recent Price

$13.80

% Below 52-Week High

(69.4%)

CAPS Rating (out of 5)

*****

Source: FinViz.com. N/A = not available, MAKO Surgical doesn't pay a dividend.

Let's just make sure there's nothing more seriously wrong with it before you go and plug it into your portfolio.

Surgical strike
The third-quarter loss that MAKO reported earlier this month may have been significantly narrower than the year-ago period, but there's still a long road to travel before it reaches profitability, and the surgical robotics specialist may find itself confronted with a credibility problem that makes the process more difficult.

There have been a lot of complaints about MAKO's Rio software and the loss of tactile feedback during an operation. Earlier this year, the company noted that it had to undertake a review of whether it may have "inadvertently" forgotten to file medical reports with the Food and Drug Administration -- and found 105 such instances. It filed 120 reports a few days later. According to a report from BioLogic Equity Research, 85 of these were characterized as system malfunctions, with others classified as doctor error.

Yet very quietly and without any fanfare, MAKO notified the FDA in August that it recalled its Rio 2.4 software and replaced it with version 2.5 because of those malfunctions. Investors have only just discovered this because the letter was posted on the FDA website, though analysts at Piper Jaffray say it looks like a minor glitch that was previously disclosed. . Still, it makes you wonder why everyone was surprised by the news.

A taxing question
So it seems like there might have been a lot of reasons to do the capital raise when it did. Next year might not prove as hopeful as 2012 was, and this year was brutal. Moreover, starting Jan. 1, a 2.3% excise tax on medical device sales kicks in to help pay for Obamacare, wreaking havoc on device makers. Stryker's (NYSE: SYK  ) already announced it is cutting employees to save money, while Boston Scientific (NYSE: BSX  ) is cutting as many as 1,400 jobs and moving some operations to China. Earlier this year, Medtronic (NYSE: MDT  ) said the law will cost it between $125 million and $175 million annually.

For a company like MAKO struggling to gain profitability, losing millions of dollars in sales to pay the taxman could be devastating.

Hip-pointer
Amid higher taxes, fewer procedures, botched operations, and product recalls, MAKO stands the very real chance of getting run over. It lags behind industry leader Intuitive Surgical (Nasdaq: ISRG  ) in the number of procedures performed, and it lowered the number of knee and hip replacement procedures it expects to be performed, ostensibly because of superstorm Sandy. It previously expected to perform between 11,000 and 12,000 surgical procedures, but now anticipates somewhere around 10,200 to 10,600.

It's hard to see an immediate catalyst for MAKO at the moment. Its surgical robotics are undoubtedly groundbreaking, but there's more competition these days, and system issues and product recalls don't instill confidence. Even at its current discount, I can't recommend the stock, but let me know in the comments section below if you think MAKO Surgical can get its bearings again and rise to the occasion.

Have half a mind
The recent market sell-off of MAKO Surgical shares has many wondering whether the potential growth prospects of the robotic surgery company make this stock a buy or a stock to stay away from. To answer this question, Fool.com analyst and MAKO expert David Meier has authored a 
premium research report covering all of the must-know details on the company, including key areas to watch and risks looming in the future. As an added bonus, David will keep you informed with a full year of updates and guidance on MAKO Surgical as news breaks. Click here now to learn more and start reading.


Read/Post Comments (9) | Recommend This Article (8)

Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On December 03, 2012, at 6:11 PM, Dawgpac wrote:

    Actually software version 2.5 was planned and brings a number of upgrades increasing efficiency and reducing the time for registration of the device pre-surgery. A fix for the aforementioned problem was included. On the Q3 conference call, MAKO said that all upgrades will be completed by the end of the year, that the fix was due to "low incidences" of a problem on version 2.4, and that "there were no injuries". Q3 RIO sales were a step in the right direction and MAKO has said they expect an uptick in procedures and utilization rates in Q4.

  • Report this Comment On December 03, 2012, at 6:37 PM, kthor wrote:

    ohh the obamaCare tax ...goodbye many American jobs

  • Report this Comment On December 03, 2012, at 7:08 PM, TMFVelvetHammer wrote:

    While this is still a very risky investment, Rich is leaving out a few positives:

    Robot sales are improving, as is management's ability to more accurately project unit sales.

    Same-quarter procedure numbers are increasing consistently, meaning utilization rates of devices in hospitals is growing.

    The early results of several key studies is showing positive data, and this is one of the key things that will help the largest hospital organizations justify adding a RIO to their facilities.

    Risky? Yes. As hopeless as our Fearless author would have us believe?

    Maybe not...

  • Report this Comment On December 03, 2012, at 9:32 PM, RedCloud1 wrote:

    Rich also makes an un-necessary and somewhat deceptive comparison to Intuitive Surgical. While both companies are in the same industry, they do not compete with each other. His comment that Mako has lowered its expectations for procedures performed is certainly fair, but he implies that Intuitive Surgical is taking Mako's business. And that isn't so since Intuitive doesn't do knee and hip replacements. There are many good reasons to question Mako's future as a company, and Mako has competitors, but Intuitive Surgical is not one of them.

  • Report this Comment On December 05, 2012, at 8:05 PM, henjo wrote:

    bash away, FOOL.

  • Report this Comment On December 06, 2012, at 10:03 AM, nancydog wrote:

    I cannot understand, when a company makes a secondary offering, why it doesn't notify the share holders first, and give them an opportunity to buy in. It is a slap in our face!

  • Report this Comment On December 06, 2012, at 11:59 AM, hudsondusters wrote:

    At least Rich is now highlighting issues, unlike prior Fool articles hyping the company when it was at $40, including special e-mail alerts breathlessly advising to buy the stock.

  • Report this Comment On December 06, 2012, at 11:47 PM, robmxa wrote:

    Being a contrarian this article suggest I buy some more.

  • Report this Comment On December 07, 2012, at 3:06 PM, hudsondusters wrote:

    Robmxa, since you already have some, were you being a contrarian when you bought the first batch?

Add your comment.

Sponsored Links

Leaked: Apple's Next Smart Device
(Warning, it may shock you)
The secret is out... experts are predicting 458 million of these types of devices will be sold per year. 1 hyper-growth company stands to rake in maximum profit - and it's NOT Apple. Show me Apple's new smart gizmo!

DocumentId: 2136607, ~/Articles/ArticleHandler.aspx, 10/21/2014 6:49:02 AM

Report This Comment

Use this area to report a comment that you believe is in violation of the community guidelines. Our team will review the entry and take any appropriate action.

Sending report...

Apple's next smart device (warning, it may shock you

Apple recently recruited a secret-development "dream team" to guarantee its newest smart device was kept hidden from the public for as long as possible. But the secret is out. In fact, ABI Research predicts 485 million of this type of device will be sold per year. But one small company makes Apple's gadget possible. And its stock price has nearly unlimited room to run for early-in-the-know investors. To be one of them, and see Apple's newest smart gizmo, just click here!


Advertisement