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Every investor would love to stumble upon the perfect stock. But will you ever really find a stock that provides everything you could possibly want?
One thing's for sure: You'll never discover truly great investments unless you actively look for them. Let's discuss the ideal qualities of a perfect stock, then decide if Boston Scientific (BSX +0.00%) fits the bill.
The quest for perfection
Stocks that look great based on one factor may prove horrible elsewhere, making due diligence a crucial part of your investing research. The best stocks excel in many different areas, including these important factors:
With those factors in mind, let's take a closer look at Boston Scientific.
Factor |
What We Want to See |
Actual |
Pass or Fail? |
---|---|---|---|
Growth |
5-year annual revenue growth > 15% |
(2.5%) |
Fail |
1-year revenue growth > 12% |
(6.4%) |
Fail | |
Margins |
Gross margin > 35% |
65.4% |
Pass |
Net margin > 15% |
(55.3%) |
Fail | |
Balance sheet |
Debt to equity < 50% |
62.3% |
Fail |
Current ratio > 1.3 |
1.75 |
Pass | |
Opportunities |
Return on equity > 15% |
(43.8%) |
Fail |
Valuation |
Normalized P/E < 20 |
18.87 |
Pass |
Dividends |
Current yield > 2% |
0% |
Fail |
5-year dividend growth > 10% |
0% |
Fail | |
Total score |
3 out of 10 |
Since we looked at Boston Scientific last year, the company has given back one of the three points it gained from 2010 to 2011, as its debt-to-equity rose sharply. The stock, though, has managed a modest rise of about 10% over the past year.
Boston Scientific makes medical devices, ranging from stents and catheters to heart products like defibrillators. The industry has been a hotbed of competitive battles, as numerous players seek to defend their turf while expanding their reach. For instance, in a catheterized process known as renal denervation, which could potentially serve a 100 million patient market worldwide, Medtronic (MDT +0.00%) and St. Jude Medical (STJ +0.00%) lead the way with their own proprietary systems, but Boston Scientific bought Vessix Vascular early last month to stake its claim in the hot market.
Even in coronary stents, where Boston Scientific has had a big edge, the company faces competition. Abbott Labs (ABT +0.00%) is moving quickly to get its next-generation Absorb bioabsorbable stent through its pipeline to compete against Boston Scientific's Synergy stent. Whichever is first to market in the U.S. could have a huge advantage, and with Abbott having been first to the mark in Europe, Boston Scientific needs to do everything it can to be the winner this time around.
Unfortunately, Boston Scientific isn't starting from a position of strength. In its most recent quarter, sales plunged, with its interventional cardiology segment seeing a 20% decline and cardiac rhythm management revenue dropping 8%. Given that those two divisions make up half Boston Scientific's sales, that's bad news, and guidance for the current quarter hasn't been encouraging either.
For Boston Scientific to turn things around, it needs to get some of its many recent acquisitions fully integrated and producing better results. Otherwise, Boston Scientific may never reach perfection.
Keep searching
No stock is a sure thing, but some stocks are a lot closer to perfect than others. By looking for the perfect stock, you'll go a long way toward improving your investing prowess and learning how to separate out the best investments from the rest.
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