Why Disney Stock Might Not Be a Monster After All

My eldest is aviation-obsessed. So naturally, he and his admiring siblings all want to see Walt Disney's (NYSE: DIS  ) next animated feature, Planes, when it opens on Aug. 9. Unfortunately for Disney stock investors, they might be in the minority.

Planes flies into theaters on Aug. 9. Source: Disney.

Percy Jackson: Sea of Monsters gets a two-day head start on Planes thanks to an Aug. 7 debut and is based on the popular children's book series of the same name. 21st Century Fox (NASDAQ: FOX  ) is distributing the film, just as it did its predecessor: 2010's Percy Jackson & The Olympians: The Lightning Thief.

Author Rick Riordan penned five Percy Jackson novels in all, each of which could be adapted into a film in the same way that Time Warner (NYSE: TWX  ) adapted J.K. Rowling's Harry Potter books into one of the most successful film franchises of all time. Sea of Monsters is book two of Riordan's series.

Fox investors shouldn't expect Percy Jackson to reach Hogwartian heights. Yet it could be much worse: Google's Trends data paints a discouraging picture for those hoping Planes will be a catalyst for Disney stock:

Source: Google.

The message? Families are likely to spend more to see Percy Jackson slug it out with creatures of the deep than they will to see Pixar's airborne take on Cars. A shame, really, because the film looks entertaining:

Sources: YouTube, Disney/Pixar.

Of course, I could be wrong. Planes could still be as successful as Monsters University, the not-so-scary sequel to Pixar's Monsters, that has earned $578 million worldwide in a summer that's been good for animated films. Universal's Despicable Me 2 crushed The Lone Ranger at the box office while Fox's Epic earned $245 million worldwide on a $100 million production budget, Box Office Mojo reports. Among the major releases, only DreamWorks Animation's (NASDAQ: DWA  ) Turbo has failed to live up to expectations.

Now it's your turn to weigh in. Do you expect Planes to fly? What about Disney stock? Leave your predictions in the comments box below.

And then, when you're done, check what The Motley Fool's chief investment office is predicting with a copy of the special free report: "The Motley Fool's Top Stock for 2013." We'll tell you which under-the-radar company he thinks is on track to crush the market. A simple click is all you need to access the report now.


Read/Post Comments (10) | Recommend This Article (1)

Comments from our Foolish Readers

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  • Report this Comment On August 03, 2013, at 9:45 AM, gloryroad wrote:

    Please do your research correctly. Pixar has NOTHING to do with Planes. It is not a Pixar movie. It is 100% Disney animation. Yes I know that Disney owns Pixar, but the two movie studios are completely separate.

    As a Disney stockholder, I'm not concerned about this movie. First, I highly doubt it had a HUGE production cost and second, even if every movie released by Disney this year bombed, they still had Iron Man 3 earlier that will cover it all.

  • Report this Comment On August 03, 2013, at 10:39 AM, elbowgrease88 wrote:

    In google trends: When you compare "Planes the movie" with "Percy Jackson Sea of Monsters the movie" it brings up completely different results than you have shown. Try it; Planes actually comes out way ahead. You lower the number of search results when you tag on "the movie" to the end of your search terms, so make sure you do it for both of them. Also, Planes is not a Pixar movie.

  • Report this Comment On August 03, 2013, at 11:29 AM, esxokm wrote:

    I read this article and the comments and I have to disagree. I think Planes and Pixar are significantly connected in a couple respects.

    First, Planes is essentially derived from the Cars universe.

    Second, isn't Pixar exec John Lasseter the head of Disney Animation? Correct me if I am wrong on that.

    I would have to assume that some of Pixar's intellectual capital was spent on this project and that some of its creative input was abosrbed and utilized.

  • Report this Comment On August 03, 2013, at 11:56 AM, TMFMileHigh wrote:

    Thanks for the comments, all.

    Pixar doesn't list Planes among its films but esxokm is right: the universe is substantially derived from "Cars" and "Cars 2." There's really no way to cleanly separate the franchise.

    Foolish best,

    Tim

    --

    TMFMileHigh in CAPS and on the boards

    @milehighfool on Twitter

    http://about.me/timbeyers

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  • Report this Comment On August 03, 2013, at 11:58 AM, TMFMileHigh wrote:

    @elbowgrease88,

    Here's a link to the chart you cite:

    http://www.google.com/trends/explore?hl=en-US#q=planes%20the...

    A much tighter race, just as you suggest. Thanks for the note!

    Foolish best,

    Tim

    --

    TMFMileHigh in CAPS and on the boards

    @milehighfool on Twitter

    http://about.me/timbeyers

    http://timbeyers.me

  • Report this Comment On August 03, 2013, at 12:16 PM, Chris1016 wrote:

    I'm increasing my position in Disney. Disney's not just movies and animation anymore. The Lone Ranger doesn't seem to have hurt them much and their cruse business is projected to be phenomenal. Not surprising, I haven't heard a single bad word about them and know people that go twice a year because their customer service is extraordinary.

  • Report this Comment On August 03, 2013, at 1:34 PM, DocEagle wrote:

    It's neither from Pixar or from Disney Feature Animation. It's another unit called Disney Toon Studios.

  • Report this Comment On August 03, 2013, at 3:41 PM, Jackittack wrote:

    If you don't have children, you're probably not looking at the big picture. Teen Beach Movie is the biggest Disney news of the summer, reason enough to bolster your Disney investment. And they'll most certainly have a sequel by next July.

  • Report this Comment On August 03, 2013, at 10:04 PM, Emblematicman wrote:

    Planes will do well and set up rides and merchandise at the theme parks

    Multi level marketing

    Wish I had an uncle walt

  • Report this Comment On August 14, 2013, at 1:48 AM, MHath wrote:

    Planes isn't about ticket sales; it's about merchandising. Go look into the billions (Yes, billions) of dollars made off of Cars merchandise.

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