Is DreamWorks a Dream Come True, or are Disney and Lions Gate Better?

After being hit hard on news that its latest film performed poorly, shares in DreamWorks got hammered! Does this present the Foolish investor with an amazing opportunity to buy into the business, or would Disney or Lions Gate make for better prospects?

Jun 22, 2014 at 7:41AM


Source: DreamWorks. 

After news broke on Jun. 16 that "How to Train Your Dragon 2" reported lackluster box office results during its first weekend in theaters, shares of DreamWorks Animation SKG (NASDAQ:DWA) plummeted 11% to close at $24.35 before rising nearly 2% the next day. In light of these developments, some investors might be tempted to throw the entertainment company off stage in favor of The Walt Disney Company (NYSE:DIS) or Lions Gate Entertainment (NYSE:LGF), but is it possible that now might be the time to go all-in instead?

Knowing the difference between mediocre and disaster!
For the weekend, "How to Train Your Dragon 2" brought in $49 million. Although this sounds like a nice chunk of change, the fact that it fell 25% short of the $65 million analysts expected should be cause for concern. Because of the relatively poor release, the film will need a strong international opening in order to justify the $145 million required to make the movie.


Source: DreamWorks.

Despite its lackluster performance, the movie did perform better in its opening weekend than its predecessor, "How to Train Your Dragon." In its first weekend, the film raked in $43 million and went on to report box office sales of $494.9 million. Between its box office, home entertainment, and ancillary results, the film contributed $174.2 million for DreamWorks, second only to the $244.5 million recorded by "Shrek Forever After" in 2010.

Is this a chance to buy DreamWorks on the cheap?
Given that the performance of "How to Train Your Dragon 2" wasn't terrible when compared to its prequel, is it possible Mr. Market is overreacting to the news, and DreamWorks makes for a strong long-term play from these levels? To find out, it's important to look back and see how the business has performed in recent years.

Between 2011 and 2013, DreamWorks saw its revenue stay virtually flat, rising from $706 million to $706.9 million. According to its most recent annual report, this modest uptick in revenue came from a 43% jump in revenue in its Television Series and Specials segment, which rose from $74 million to $105.9 million, and its Consumer Products segment, which rose 56% from $43.1 million to $67.3 million. This was, however, offset by a 9% decline in its Feature Films segment, which fell from $551.4 million to $500.2 million.


Source: DreamWorks. 

From a profitability perspective, DreamWorks' performance was even worse. During the past three years, the studio saw its operating income fall 31% from $109.9 million to $76.3 million. The main driver behind this deterioration in profitability was its selling, general, and administrative expenses, which shot up from 15.9% of sales to 27.2% as higher executive compensation, incentive programs, and costs relating to recent acquisitions negatively affected the company's bottom line.

During this same three-year period, rival Lions Gate saw its revenue soar 66% from $1.6 billion to $2.6 billion. Pretty much all of this increase in revenue came from the company's Twilight Saga and The Hunger Games films. From a profitability standpoint, the studio did even better, with operating income skyrocketing 676% from $33.5 million to $259.9 million as higher revenue was complimented by a reduction in the business's cost of goods sold from 57.2% of sales to 52.1%.


Source: Lions Gate.

Probably the most interesting player in the market, however, was Disney. During this three-year period, the company saw revenue from its Studio Entertainment segment drop 6% from $6.35 billion to $5.98 billion. The drop in sales was due to a 28% drop in Home Entertainment revenue from $2.44 billion to $1.75 billion as its movie unit sales fell precipitously. This was, however, partially offset by an 8% improvement in both Theatrical Distribution and Theatrical and SVOD sales.


Source: Disney.

Even though this performance looks poor, the segment's operating income actually rose 7% from $618 million to $661 million. This rise in profitability for Disney's segment can be attributed to an 8% falloff in operating expenses as well as to a 9% decline in the segment's selling, general, and administrative expenses. Even after adding back unallocated expenses (assuming a pro rata distribution), the segment's operating income managed to grow 4% from $496.6 million to $514.5 million.

Foolish takeaway
Based on the data provided, Mr. Market was anything but happy with the performance metrics posted by "How to Train Your Dragon 2." When you combine these disappointing results with the fact that DreamWorks hasn't necessarily been the poster child for success in recent years, it's understandable for investors to worry. While it's possible that the future could very well be brighter for the business moving forward, a better play might be to consider a stake in Disney or Lions Gate instead.

Top dividend stocks for the next decade
One way to help mitigate your chances of being hit hard on poor news like what happened with DreamWorks is to invest in the shares of companies that have strong, stable dividends. 

The smartest investors know that dividend stocks simply crush their non-dividend paying counterparts over the long term. That's beyond dispute. They also know that a well-constructed dividend portfolio creates wealth steadily, while still allowing you to sleep like a baby. Knowing how valuable such a portfolio might be, our top analysts put together a report on a group of high-yielding stocks that should be in any income investor's portfolio. To see our free report on these stocks, just click here now.

Daniel Jones has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends DreamWorks Animation, Lions Gate Entertainment, and Walt Disney. The Motley Fool owns shares of Walt Disney. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Money to your ears - A great FREE investing resource for you

The best way to get your regular dose of market and money insights is our suite of free podcasts ... what we like to think of as “binge-worthy finance.”

Feb 1, 2016 at 5:03PM

Whether we're in the midst of earnings season or riding out the market's lulls, you want to know the best strategies for your money.

And you'll want to go beyond the hype of screaming TV personalities, fear-mongering ads, and "analysis" from people who might have your email address ... but no track record of success.

In short, you want a voice of reason you can count on.

A 2015 Business Insider article titled, "11 websites to bookmark if you want to get rich," rated The Motley Fool as the #1 place online to get smarter about investing.

And one of the easiest, most enjoyable, most valuable ways to get your regular dose of market and money insights is our suite of free podcasts ... what we like to think of as "binge-worthy finance."

Whether you make it part of your daily commute or you save up and listen to a handful of episodes for your 50-mile bike rides or long soaks in a bubble bath (or both!), the podcasts make sense of your money.

And unlike so many who want to make the subjects of personal finance and investing complicated and scary, our podcasts are clear, insightful, and (yes, it's true) fun.

Our free suite of podcasts

Motley Fool Money features a team of our analysts discussing the week's top business and investing stories, interviews, and an inside look at the stocks on our radar. The show is also heard weekly on dozens of radio stations across the country.

The hosts of Motley Fool Answers challenge the conventional wisdom on life's biggest financial issues to reveal what you really need to know to make smart money moves.

David Gardner, co-founder of The Motley Fool, is among the most respected and trusted sources on investing. And he's the host of Rule Breaker Investing, in which he shares his insights into today's most innovative and disruptive companies ... and how to profit from them.

Market Foolery is our daily look at stocks in the news, as well as the top business and investing stories.

And Industry Focus offers a deeper dive into a specific industry and the stories making headlines. Healthcare, technology, energy, consumer goods, and other industries take turns in the spotlight.

They're all informative, entertaining, and eminently listenable. Rule Breaker Investing and Answers are timeless, so it's worth going back to and listening from the very start; the other three are focused more on today's events, so listen to the most recent first.

All are available for free at

If you're looking for a friendly voice ... with great advice on how to make the most of your money ... from a business with a lengthy track record of success ... in clear, compelling language ... I encourage you to give a listen to our free podcasts.

Head to, give them a spin, and you can subscribe there (at iTunes, Stitcher, or our other partners) if you want to receive them regularly.

It's money to your ears.


Compare Brokers