The Biggest Risk to Google, Inc.'s One-Stop Information Shop

Google is on its way to becoming a conglomerate of information, which is rubbing some of its current advertising customers the wrong way.

Aug 20, 2014 at 3:30PM

Vertical integration sure can come at a cost, particularly in the form of hostile relationships with former customers turned competitors. That's the situation that Google (NASDAQ:GOOG)(NASDAQ:GOOGL) now finds itself in, according to a recent report from The Wall Street Journal.

When Google first started, it was just a search engine with an innovative new relevance algorithm that disrupted the nascent but growing Internet search industry. Things were simpler back then, and Google served up relevant ads next to relevant results. But things have changed a lot over the past 10 years, and Google's current ambitions seem limitless.

Over the years, Google has consistently grown its services and properties and now provides information from a plethora of industries. Many of the companies within these industries rely on Google's referrals for their own businesses, and pay handsomely for the traffic. Ad revenue is still 90% of Google's business.

Microsoft is doing it
In some ways, there are similarities to Microsoft's (NASDAQ:MSFT) acquisition of Nokia's handset business, but also notable differences. In Microsoft's case, becoming a first-party smartphone vendor means competing directly with the very same OEMs that Microsoft wants to build more Windows Phones. In a similar way, Google is now competing with its advertising customers in delivering information to users.

Of course, the big difference here is that Microsoft had very little to risk in terms of market share, and its acquisition of Nokia's handset business could be seen as a move of desperation. Having little to lose facilitates an ability to make bold moves. In contrast, Google remains the dominant search engine, so in theory it has a lot to lose if advertisers begin to shift away. But if Google can successfully provide its own information and content in a way that keeps users coming back, advertisers have little choice but to keep doing business with the company.

Yelp hears it loud and clear
Last month, some internal Yelp (NYSE:YELP) documents leaked to TechCrunch that showed just how scared Yelp is. Google still accounts for over half of Yelp's website traffic, so it's acutely aware of changes to Google's algorithms or how Google displays results.

Yelp's internal study suggests that even people specifically Googling for Yelp results by including "yelp" in the query will still see Google reviews first. Perhaps Google is still hurt that Yelp spurned its $500 million acquisition offer in 2009, leading to its Zagat acquisition instead.

A similar thing is happening with topics like hotel queries, according to the WSJ. The travel industry includes some of Google's biggest advertisers, and those companies aren't too keen on Google's encroachment.

Here's why
Google's justification is that the secular shift to mobile platforms necessitates a more efficient delivery method for information. That's in part because usage models have shifted away from mobile-optimized websites toward native apps, and mobile users complete purchases at a significantly lower rate. Those trends require Google to adapt.

In its quest to become a one-stop shop for information, Google risks alienating the very customers that pay its bills. This is an important and relatively new risk factor for Google's business in the years to come. Operating a dominant search engine is a very different business than running a conglomerate of information.

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Evan Niu, CFA owns shares of Apple. The Motley Fool recommends Apple, Google (A shares), Google (C shares), and Yelp. The Motley Fool owns shares of Apple, Google (A shares), Google (C shares), and Microsoft. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

A Financial Plan on an Index Card

Keeping it simple.

Aug 7, 2015 at 11:26AM

Two years ago, University of Chicago professor Harold Pollack wrote his entire financial plan on an index card.

It blew up. People loved the idea. Financial advice is often intentionally complicated. Obscurity lets advisors charge higher fees. But the most important parts are painfully simple. Here's how Pollack put it:

The card came out of chat I had regarding what I view as the financial industry's basic dilemma: The best investment advice fits on an index card. A commenter asked for the actual index card. Although I was originally speaking in metaphor, I grabbed a pen and one of my daughter's note cards, scribbled this out in maybe three minutes, snapped a picture with my iPhone, and the rest was history.

More advisors and investors caught onto the idea and started writing their own financial plans on a single index card.

I love the exercise, because it makes you think about what's important and forces you to be succinct.

So, here's my index-card financial plan:


Everything else is details. 

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