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Yingli's Margin Glee

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Yingli Green Energy (NYSE: YGE  ) can't touch solar competitor First Solar (Nasdaq: FSLR  ) in the margin department, but in its latest earnings report, it blew past SunPower (Nasdaq: SPWR  ) in gross and operating margins. So even though investors dumped shares of Yingli yesterday, there was plenty of sunny news in the quarterly press release.

In fact, Yingli's 20% operating margin is where SunPower aspires to be within a few quarters. The company is achieving strong wafer yields and high conversion efficiencies, both of which contribute to the stronger margins. But there was other good news, too: Top-line growth was torrid, as expected, even though the 25% sequential surge was lower than the quarter-on-quarter growth that First Solar and SunPower reported.

There was also a marked improvement in Yingli's working-capital management. The company cut days sales outstanding to 47 days, from 66 in the previous quarter. You know my cash-flow concerns in this space, so any improvement in cash collection is great news.

Left unaddressed in the company's announcement, however, were the company's polysilicon costs. Yingli has been sewing up incremental supply from companies such as DC Chemical, but it can still claim nothing on the order of Suntech Power's (NYSE: STP  ) late-May silicon score. I'd like to see Yingli come out with a big, fat supply agreement with someone like REC Group or MEMC Electronic Materials (Nasdaq: WFR  ) , to lay the margin-squeeze fears to rest.

Not all of my concerns were allayed this quarter. Yingli's prepayments to suppliers are up almost 50% since year's end and now equal 27% of total company assets. Compare that with roughly 9% for SunPower, and you'll see why this situation makes me uneasy.

Finally, although Yingli's equity dilution is pretty straightforward (the diluted share count is up 64% in a year), maybe less obvious is the impact of a line item on the income statement called minority interest. Here, we see that 30% of reported profits were directed to minority holders, and that left only 70% of the spoils to ordinary shareholders. Yingli can buy back this equity interest over time, but for now, it presents a significant extra hurdle for creating shareholder value.

Few Fools have yanked their support for Yingli, though, and the company retains a solid four-star rating in Motley Fool CAPS. Don't be shy -- tell us what you see in Yingli's future.

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Comments from our Foolish Readers

Help us keep this a respectfully Foolish area! This is a place for our readers to discuss, debate, and learn more about the Foolish investing topic you read about above. Help us keep it clean and safe. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Fool's Rules, please report it via the Report this Comment Report this Comment icon found on every comment.

  • Report this Comment On August 07, 2008, at 1:11 PM, 88778877 wrote:

    But do all those comments justify a forward 12mos P/E under 2? There must be more to it.

    Even with 70% of profits to ordinary stock holders and the other issues that may be common to other solar companies, why is YGE being punished so much.

    FSLR has a forward P/E of 55 and investors still like this stock.

  • Report this Comment On August 07, 2008, at 1:42 PM, dhragtop wrote:

    investor's dumped share's ,hah,that's the problem with share price ,no investor's only trader's ,mostly short,i wouldn't be surprised if most were naked.the house not signing the energy bill before taking the Aug break doesn't help long's a bit either.this is the most manipulated sector going for the last 4 month's with, he said ,she said kind of reporting innuendo.fair and level playing field,,,, BS

  • Report this Comment On August 07, 2008, at 3:13 PM, AnomaLee wrote:

    There are plenty of reasons for YGE to trade at a significant discount. They are completely different companies with the only similarity being they are a solar company.

    I'm not as concerned about supply deals considering the price of poly-silicon is expected to fall due to new capacity coming online --- mainly in Asia.

    Also, China is now the worlds largest supplier of solar products.

  • Report this Comment On August 07, 2008, at 10:07 PM, siteasolar wrote:

    It would be nice if the MM's would stop beating YGE to death. They've brought it down in order to allow most of the trading houses to short the hell out it on the way down. Now that it's been at these levels for the last few months they've been waiting for all of them to average down but with all the trouble in the credit market nearly every house has been pre-occupied with trying to clean up their own books that they put the reigns on any new investment in the sector until Q4.

    Coming from the silicon sector I can tell you from personal experience that there is no shortage in silicon supply. In fact, manufacturers have been holding back capacity in order to keep prices elevated and lock in longer term contracts. The dilemma that the chemical companies are running into now is that most the global production is with the Chinese who have decided to vertically integrate supply rather than get raped. It usually takes 18 months to build a new facility given the lead time for deliver of mix vessels as well as the time to evaluate off set formulation.

    So it's time for the MM stop waiting on the other investment houses and just let the stock run already!!

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